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Telstar crestTelstar
v
Utrecht crestUtrecht

Eredivisie | Sun 01 Nov, 13:30

Telstar v Utrecht Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 08:46 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Eredivisie clash features Telstar and Utrecht, two teams with contrasting league positions but a shared tendency for open play. Utrecht, positioned 11th, have shown a potent attack averaging 1.6 goals per game, while Telstar, struggling near the bottom, concede heavily with 2 goals against per match. Both sides have a history of high-scoring encounters, and recent form data highlights their propensity for games with multiple goals. This fixture promises an engaging contest with offensive intent from both teams, setting the stage for a potentially goal-rich encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Utrecht averages 1.6 goals scored and concedes 1.8 per game, indicating open play.
  • Telstar concedes 2 goals per match, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Both teams have over 2.5 goals rates of 60% (Telstar) and 80% (Utrecht).
  • Recent head-to-head matches averaged 3.5 goals per game.
  • Both teams average around 16 shots per match, reflecting attacking intent.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a value bet with a 57.6% chance against an implied market chance of 44.4%, reflecting a 13.2% . Both teams show attacking tendencies and defensive frailties, with high shots and goals conceded per game. The recent head-to-head average of 3.5 goals supports the likelihood of a high-scoring match. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake opportunity based on solid offensive and defensive data.

Model Chance57.6% model chance vs 44.4% implied (+13.2 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance57.6% model chance vs 44.4% implied (+13.2 pts)
Positive
Value Edge57.6% model chance vs 44.4% implied (+13.2 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Head-to-Head Goals3.5 goals per game
Positive
Shots per Game (Both Teams)~16 each
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both teams pushing forward, especially Utrecht who have demonstrated consistent attacking threat. Telstar's defensive struggles and the high volume of shots from both sides suggest a lively match with multiple goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling selection.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking threat and defensive vulnerability

“Utrecht's attacking players like Stepanov and Blake create significant goal threats, while Telstar's defensive record points to a match ripe for goals. The combination of offensive firepower and defensive lapses makes Over 3.5 Goals a logical choice.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Utrecht averages 1.6 goals scored and concedes 1.8 per game, indicating open play.

Telstar concedes 2 goals per match, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

Both teams have over 2.5 goals rates of 60% (Telstar) and 80% (Utrecht).

Recent head-to-head matches averaged 3.5 goals per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored was 3.5, indicating a history of high-scoring games.
  • This trend, combined with both teams' recent attacking form, suggests a fast-paced match with multiple goal chances and a high tempo.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Telstar1.4
Avg goals scored
Utrecht1.6
Telstar2
Avg goals conceded
Utrecht1.8
Telstar60%
BTTS rate
Utrecht80%
Telstar60%
Over 2.5 goals
Utrecht80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 44% · edge +13.2 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Both teams have strong over 2.5 goals rates (Telstar 60%, Utrecht 80%) and BTTS rates matching these figures, reflecting open games with goals at both ends. The recent head-to-head average of 3.5 goals further supports a high-scoring encounter with goals from both sides.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionUtrecht Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Telstar Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Telstar to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
The 57.6% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 44.4% implied by the current price (+13.2 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Telstar and 80% for Utrecht, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Telstar

LLDLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
23 Oct 2026A GO Ahead Eagles2-3
17 Oct 2026H Feyenoord3-4
11 Oct 2026H ADO Den Haag2-2
20 Sep 2026A AZ Alkmaar0-1
13 Sep 2026A Heerenveen0-0

Utrecht

DWWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
24 Oct 2026H PEC Zwolle1-1
18 Oct 2026A Twente2-1
11 Oct 2026H Willem II3-1
20 Sep 2026A Feyenoord0-5
13 Sep 2026A Excelsior2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 84% vs implied 71% · edge +12.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Utrecht Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Utrecht to WinBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Telstar Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Telstar to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 19%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Recent form shows Utrecht with 10 points and a strong attacking output of 1.6 goals per game, while Telstar has struggled with only 2 points and conceding 2 goals per match. Both teams have high over 2.5 goals rates, indicating a trend towards high-scoring matches in their recent fixtures.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Telstar Over 2.5
80%Utrecht Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
In the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored was 3.5, indicating a history of high-scoring games. This trend, combined with both teams' recent attacking form, suggests a fast-paced match with multiple goal chances and a high tempo.

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