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Ravenna crestRavenna
v
Pineto crestPineto

Serie C - Girone B | Sun 01 Nov, 13:30

Ravenna v Pineto Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 08:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ravenna hosts Pineto in a Serie C - Girone B clash where defensive solidity is expected to shape the contest. Ravenna, sitting second in the standings, have conceded just 0.8 goals per game recently and scored sparingly with only 2 goals in their last matches. Pineto, positioned 14th, have struggled offensively, averaging 0.6 goals per game and failing to score in most recent outings. Both teams show a cautious approach, with Ravenna's 60% over 2.5 goals rate contrasting Pineto's 20%, suggesting a likely low-scoring encounter with tactical discipline prevailing.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Ravenna averages only 2 goals scored in recent matches, indicating limited attacking output.
  • Pineto has a low scoring rate of 0.6 goals per game and a 0% BTTS rate, showing offensive struggles.
  • Recent form shows Ravenna concedes less than 1 goal per game, supporting a tight defensive game.
  • Head-to-head matches average 2 goals, reinforcing a low-scoring trend.
  • Ravenna's higher league position suggests control but not control in attack, favoring under 2.5 goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 61.1% chance, reflecting the defensive strengths and low scoring rates of both Ravenna and Pineto. Ravenna's solid defense and Pineto's offensive difficulties combine to limit goal opportunities. The head-to-head average of 2 goals and recent form data support a cautious game with few goals. The current at 1.95 offer positive value, aligning well with the tactical and statistical context of this Serie C fixture.

Ravenna Defensive SolidityConcedes 0.8 goals per game
Strong positive
Pineto Offensive Struggles0.6 goals per game, 0% BTTS rate
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Goal Average2 goals per match in last 2 meetings
Positive
Recent Scoring FormRavenna scored 2 goals in recent matches
Neutral
Market Price61.1% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+9.8 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible pick given Ravenna's strong defensive record and Pineto's limited attacking threat. The data shows both teams have struggled to score consistently, and their recent matches have been low scoring. This tactical setup suggests a tight game where goals will be at a premium, making the under 2.5 goals market a logical choice.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match tactical and scoring outlook

“This fixture is poised for a tactical battle with both sides showing defensive discipline and limited attacking firepower, making under 2.5 goals a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Ravenna averages only 2 goals scored in recent matches, indicating limited attacking output.

Pineto has a low scoring rate of 0.6 goals per game and a 0% BTTS rate, showing offensive struggles.

Recent form shows Ravenna concedes less than 1 goal per game, supporting a tight defensive game.

Head-to-head matches average 2 goals, reinforcing a low-scoring trend.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last two head-to-head matches averaged 2 goals, indicating a trend towards low scoring in this fixture.
  • This recent sample suggests a steady tempo with defensive focus, supporting the expectation of under 2.5 goals in the upcoming match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ravenna2
Avg goals scored
Pineto0.6
Ravenna0.8
Avg goals conceded
Pineto1
Ravenna40%
BTTS rate
Pineto0%
Ravenna60%
Over 2.5 goals
Pineto20%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 51% · edge +9.8 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Recent form data shows Ravenna scoring 2 goals and conceding 0.8 per game, while Pineto scores just 0.6 and concedes 1. Pineto's 0% BTTS rate indicates a strong chance of one or both teams failing to score, supporting a controlled, low-goal match scenario.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionPineto Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
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Ravenna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Ravenna to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Pineto to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The 61.1% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 51.3% implied by the current price (+9.8 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Ravenna and 20% for Pineto, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ravenna

WLWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 1D 2L
24 Oct 2026A Vis Pesaro4-0
18 Oct 2026H Spezia0-1
11 Oct 2026H Campobasso FC3-1
04 Oct 2026A Pianese1-2
27 Sep 2026H Gubbio2-0

Pineto

WWDLL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
23 Oct 2026H Gubbio1-0
20 Oct 2026H Reggiana2-0
17 Oct 2026A Pianese0-0
04 Oct 2026A Guidonia Montecelio 19370-1
26 Sep 2026H Grosseto0-4
Best odds for this sectionPineto Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 47%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Ravenna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Ravenna to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Pineto to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Ravenna's recent 9 points with a modest 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game contrasts with Pineto's 7 points and 0.6 goals scored, highlighting a defensive mindset. This form supports a match where both teams prioritize solidity over attacking risk, aligning with the under 2.5 goals prediction.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Ravenna Over 2.5
20%Pineto Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The last two head-to-head matches averaged 2 goals, indicating a trend towards low scoring in this fixture. This recent sample suggests a steady tempo with defensive focus, supporting the expectation of under 2.5 goals in the upcoming match.

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