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La Liga | Sun 01 Nov, 13:00

Getafe v Sevilla Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 14:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This La Liga fixture sees Sevilla visit Getafe, with Sevilla currently sixth in the table and showing stronger recent form and attacking output. Sevilla averages 1.6 goals per game compared to Getafe's 0.4, reflecting a more potent offense. Getafe's defensive struggles and low scoring rate contrast with Sevilla's more balanced attack and midfield creativity. Sevilla's recent momentum and higher league standing set the stage for a tactical battle where Sevilla's quality and consistency give them the edge to claim victory in this early November clash.

BT4Y best bet

Sevilla to Win

  • Sevilla ranks 6th with 17 points; Getafe is 18th with 9 points
  • Sevilla averages 1.6 goals per game; Getafe only 0.4 goals per game
  • Sevilla has a 60% rate of Over 2.5 goals matches; Getafe 40%
  • Sevilla averages 12.8 shots and 5.2 shots on target per game, higher than Getafe's 10.2 shots and 3 SOT
  • Sevilla's recent form yields 7 points versus Getafe's 4 points in last matches

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Sevilla to win with a 61.7% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, attacking efficiency, and league position. Sevilla's higher shot volume and goal threat, combined with Getafe's defensive vulnerabilities and low scoring, underpin this . The at 2.4 offer positive value given the implied chance of 41.7%. Sevilla's offensive players like Manu Bueno and Isaac contribute significantly to their goal threat, reinforcing the model's preference. No data limitations or price warnings affect this pick, supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Model Chance56.7% model chance vs 41.7% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance56.7% model chance vs 41.7% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Value Edge56.7% model chance vs 41.7% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent FormSevilla stronger with 7 points vs Getafe's 4
Positive
Shots and Goal ThreatSevilla averages 12.8 shots and 1.6 goals per game
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Sevilla's superior attacking metrics and recent form make them the logical choice to win this match. Their ability to generate more shots and convert chances contrasts with Getafe's struggles to score and defend effectively, suggesting Sevilla will control the game and secure the three points.

Main risk

However, their home record offers encouragement.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match outcome

“Sevilla's consistent offensive pressure and higher-quality chances give them a clear tactical and statistical advantage over Getafe, making their win the most probable outcome in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Sevilla to Win evidence

Sevilla ranks 6th with 17 points; Getafe is 18th with 9 points

Sevilla averages 1.6 goals per game; Getafe only 0.4 goals per game

Sevilla has a 60% rate of Over 2.5 goals matches; Getafe 40%

Sevilla averages 12.8 shots and 5.2 shots on target per game, higher than Getafe's 10.2 shots and 3 SOT

What To Watch In The Data

Sevilla to Win notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 1.9 goals per game, indicating moderately low-scoring encounters.
  • However, Sevilla's recent matches show a 60% Over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting a faster tempo and more open play that could increase goal opportunities in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Getafe0.4
Avg goals scored
Sevilla1.6
Getafe1.8
Avg goals conceded
Sevilla2
Getafe20%
BTTS rate
Sevilla60%
Getafe40%
Over 2.5 goals
Sevilla60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 60% vs implied 46% · edge +14.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 28%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Sevilla's matches feature a 60% Over 2.5 goals rate and a 60% BTTS rate, indicating open games with scoring from both sides. Getafe's lower scoring and BTTS rates suggest a more defensive approach, but Sevilla's attacking threat likely pushes the game towards more goals and both teams scoring is plausible given Sevilla's offensive consistency.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSevilla to WinBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
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Sevilla Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 60%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The 56.7% for Sevilla to Win sits against roughly 41.7% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Sevilla have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Getafe. Sevilla carry the stronger scoring threat, but Getafe must contribute for BTTS to land.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Getafe

LDLWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
25 Oct 2026A Athletic Club0-4
19 Oct 2026H Rayo Vallecano1-1
10 Oct 2026A Barcelona0-3
20 Sep 2026H Malaga1-0
17 Sep 2026A Real Betis0-1

Sevilla

WLDLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
26 Oct 2026H Osasuna2-0
18 Oct 2026A Real Madrid1-4
12 Oct 2026A Levante3-3
19 Sep 2026H Barcelona1-3
16 Sep 2026A Deportivo La Coruna1-0
Market aligned with main pickSevilla to WinBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Sevilla Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Sevilla's recent form shows a stronger points return and better goal production than Getafe, with 7 points gained compared to Getafe's 4 in recent matches. This momentum supports Sevilla's and ability to control the game tempo, increasing their chances to secure a win in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Getafe Over 2.5
60%Sevilla Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 1.9 goals per game, indicating moderately low-scoring encounters. However, Sevilla's recent matches show a 60% Over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting a faster tempo and more open play that could increase goal opportunities in this fixture.

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