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Spezia crestSpezia
v
Atalanta II crestAtalanta II

Serie C - Girone B | Sun 01 Nov, 14:00

Spezia v Atalanta II Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 08:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Spezia leads Serie C - Girone B with a strong defensive record, conceding just 0.4 goals per game, while Atalanta II sits 11th with a more vulnerable defense allowing 1.4 goals per match. Both teams have shown attacking intent, with Spezia scoring 1.4 goals and Atalanta II 1.2 on average. This clash features a top side against a mid-table team, where Atalanta II's offensive efforts could challenge Spezia's sturdy backline, setting up a contest where both sides have realistic chances to score.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Spezia concedes only 0.4 goals per game, showing defensive solidity.
  • Atalanta II averages 1.2 goals scored per match, indicating attacking threat.
  • Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 50%, with Atalanta II at 60%.
  • Spezia's over 2.5 goals rate is low at 20%, but Atalanta II's is 60%, suggesting open games.
  • No previous head-to-head data, making current form and stats crucial for analysis.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 66.7% chance for both teams to score, reflecting Atalanta II's consistent scoring record and Spezia's occasional defensive lapses despite overall solidity. The 14.3% at of 1.91 indicates a favorable price for this market. The contrasting defensive profiles and attacking outputs suggest a match where both sides can find the net, supported by Atalanta II's higher BTTS rate and Spezia's moderate scoring. The data quality is solid, with no limitations, reinforcing in this selection.

Model Chance66.7% model chance vs 52.4% implied (+14.3 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance66.7% model chance vs 52.4% implied (+14.3 pts)
Positive
Value Edge66.7% model chance vs 52.4% implied (+14.3 pts)
Strong positive
Confidence Level83%
Strong positive
Data QualityGood for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown enough attacking quality to suggest goals at both ends. Spezia's defensive strength is countered by Atalanta II's willingness to attack, making both teams to score a logical choice. The data supports this with Atalanta II's higher BTTS rate and Spezia's ability to score regularly, indicating a balanced contest with goals from both sides.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Atalanta II's offensive approach combined with Spezia's occasional defensive vulnerabilities creates a compelling case for both teams finding the net in this Serie C encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Spezia concedes only 0.4 goals per game, showing defensive solidity.

Atalanta II averages 1.2 goals scored per match, indicating attacking threat.

Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 50%, with Atalanta II at 60%.

Spezia's over 2.5 goals rate is low at 20%, but Atalanta II's is 60%, suggesting open games.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the recent matches, Atalanta II has a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating games with multiple goals, while Spezia's rate is lower at 20%.
  • This trend suggests that while Spezia games are often tighter, Atalanta II's matches tend to be more open, supporting the possibility of a higher scoring game with goals from both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Spezia1.4
Avg goals scored
Atalanta II1.2
Spezia0.4
Avg goals conceded
Atalanta II1.4
Spezia40%
BTTS rate
Atalanta II60%
Spezia20%
Over 2.5 goals
Atalanta II60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 59%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Despite Spezia's low over 2.5 goals rate of 20%, Atalanta II's 60% rate and higher BTTS rate of 60% indicate a tendency for open games with goals at both ends. The combination of Spezia's solid defense and Atalanta II's attacking efforts suggests a controlled but goal-involving match, supporting the BTTS selection.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Spezia to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Atalanta II Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Spezia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
Atalanta II to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
4
Check odds @ 4
The 66.7% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 52.4% implied by the current price (+14.3 pts). Spezia show a 40% BTTS rate and Atalanta II show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Continue the research

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Spezia

DWWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 109W 1D 0L
24 Oct 2026H Latina1-1
18 Oct 2026A Ravenna1-0
10 Oct 2026H Gubbio2-0
04 Oct 2026A Reggiana1-0
27 Sep 2026A Pescara2-1

Atalanta II

WLWLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 5L
28 Oct 2026H Vis Pesaro2-1
24 Oct 2026H Campobasso FC1-2
18 Oct 2026A Gubbio2-0
14 Oct 2026A Latina0-2
11 Oct 2026A Torres1-2
Best odds for this sectionSpezia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 71% · edge +2.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Atalanta II Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 39%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Spezia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.23
Check odds @ 1.23
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Atalanta II to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
4
Check odds @ 4
Recent form shows Spezia with 13 points and a strong defensive record, conceding only 0.4 goals per game, while Atalanta II has 6 points with a higher concession rate of 1.4. Atalanta II's ability to score and Spezia's occasional concessions underpin the likelihood of goals from both sides in this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Spezia Over 2.5
60%Atalanta II Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the recent matches, Atalanta II has a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, indicating games with multiple goals, while Spezia's rate is lower at 20%. This trend suggests that while Spezia games are often tighter, Atalanta II's matches tend to be more open, supporting the possibility of a higher scoring game with goals from both sides.

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