Football Stats Hub

FC Nordsjaelland crestFC Nordsjaelland
v
FC Midtjylland crestFC Midtjylland

Superliga | Sun 01 Nov, 15:00

FC Nordsjaelland v FC Midtjylland Stats

Data last updated: Mon 02 Nov 2026, 00:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Midtjylland enters this Superliga clash as league leaders, boasting a strong recent run with 13 points compared to FC Nordsjaelland's 6 from their last five matches. Midtjylland's attack is notably potent, averaging 2.4 goals per game and an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, reflecting an aggressive style that has overwhelmed opponents. Nordsjaelland, ranked fourth, have struggled to maintain defensive solidity, conceding 1.6 goals per game. This fixture promises a tactical battle where Midtjylland's offensive efficiency and league control set the stage for a likely away victory, despite the home side's resilience and higher shot volume.

BT4Y best bet

FC Midtjylland to Win

  • FC Midtjylland leads the league and has collected 13 points in recent form compared to Nordsjaelland's 6.
  • Midtjylland averages 2.4 goals per game with an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating strong attacking output.
  • Nordsjaelland concedes 1.6 goals per game, showing defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Midtjylland's shot accuracy is high with 4.8 shots on target per game, supporting their goal threat.
  • Midtjylland's discipline is better with fewer yellow cards, aiding sustained pressure and control.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors FC Midtjylland to win due to their superior recent form, league leadership, and attacking efficiency. Midtjylland's 70% aligns with their 2.4 goals per game and strong shot accuracy (4.8 SOT per match), contrasting with Nordsjaelland's defensive concessions and lower points haul. The of 35.5% at of 2.9 reflects a clear statistical advantage. No data limitations affect , and the pick is supported by both form and season-long performance metrics.

Recent form pointsMidtjylland 13 vs Nordsjaelland 6
Strong positive
Goals per gameMidtjylland 2.4 vs Nordsjaelland 1.4
Strong positive
Defensive recordMidtjylland concedes 1.2 vs Nordsjaelland 1.6
Positive
Shot accuracyMidtjylland 4.8 SOT/game vs Nordsjaelland 4.4
Positive
League standingMidtjylland 1st vs Nordsjaelland 4th
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

FC Midtjylland's consistent league-leading form and efficient attack make them the clear choice for victory. Their ability to convert chances and maintain defensive discipline contrasts with FC Nordsjaelland's recent struggles, suggesting Midtjylland will control the match and secure the win.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Midtjylland's clinical finishing and league control create a strong tactical and statistical foundation for an away win in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

FC Midtjylland to Win evidence

FC Midtjylland leads the league and has collected 13 points in recent form compared to Nordsjaelland's 6.

Midtjylland averages 2.4 goals per game with an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating strong attacking output.

Nordsjaelland concedes 1.6 goals per game, showing defensive vulnerabilities.

Midtjylland's shot accuracy is high with 4.8 shots on target per game, supporting their goal threat.

What To Watch In The Data

FC Midtjylland to Win notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 3.4, indicating a tendency for open, attacking encounters.
  • Midtjylland's high Over 2.5 Goals rate (80%) aligns with this trend, suggesting the fixture will feature multiple goals and a fast tempo, favoring the away side's offensive strengths.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Nordsjaelland1.4
Avg goals scored
FC Midtjylland2.4
FC Nordsjaelland1.6
Avg goals conceded
FC Midtjylland1.2
FC Nordsjaelland60%
BTTS rate
FC Midtjylland100%
FC Nordsjaelland40%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Midtjylland80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 79%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Midtjylland's matches feature an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate and 100% BTTS rate, indicating open, high-scoring games. Nordsjaelland's 40% Over 2.5 and 60% BTTS rates suggest more defensive matches, but the attacking firepower of Midtjylland points toward a likely goal-rich encounter with both teams scoring.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickFC Midtjylland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
FC Midtjylland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The 49.5% for FC Midtjylland to Win sits against roughly 34.5% implied by the current price (+15 pts). FC Midtjylland have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 6 for FC Nordsjaelland.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Nordsjaelland

DDDLW
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
25 Oct 2026A Silkeborg1-1
18 Oct 2026A Lyngby3-3
09 Oct 2026H Odense0-0
20 Sep 2026A Viborg1-4
13 Sep 2026H Aarhus2-0

FC Midtjylland

WWWDW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 4D 0L
25 Oct 2026H Lyngby3-2
19 Oct 2026A Viborg2-1
11 Oct 2026H FC Copenhagen2-1
19 Sep 2026A Odense1-1
14 Sep 2026H Brondby4-1
Market aligned with main pickFC Midtjylland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
FC Midtjylland Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Midtjylland's recent form is strong, accumulating 13 points in their last five matches with a high goal output of 2.4 per game. Nordsjaelland's 6 points and 1.4 goals per game reflect inconsistency and less offensive threat. This form disparity underpins Midtjylland's favored status and likelihood to control the match tempo.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%FC Nordsjaelland Over 2.5
80%FC Midtjylland Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 3.4, indicating a tendency for open, attacking encounters. Midtjylland's high Over 2.5 Goals rate (80%) aligns with this trend, suggesting the fixture will feature multiple goals and a fast tempo, favoring the away side's offensive strengths.

Loading deeper match data…