Football Stats Hub

Lausanne crestLausanne
v
FC Thun crestFC Thun

Super League | Sun 01 Nov, 15:30

Lausanne v FC Thun Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 08:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lausanne and FC Thun meet in a Swiss Super League clash marked by defensive vulnerabilities and attacking promise. Thun's recent matches reveal a porous defense, conceding 19 goals in six games, while still showcasing offensive firepower, highlighted by a 4-3 win at St Gallen. Lausanne, despite recent defeats, have maintained a strong scoring run, netting 12 goals in their last six outings. Both teams' tactical approaches, including Thun's susceptibility to shots and Lausanne's ability to generate chances, set the stage for a high-scoring encounter with multiple goal opportunities expected.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Thun conceded 19 goals in their last six matches, showing defensive fragility.
  • Lausanne scored 12 goals in their past six games, averaging 2.0 goals per match.
  • Thun allow 7.5 shots on target per game, providing scoring chances for opponents.
  • Both teams have recent matches with multiple goals, supporting a high-scoring game.
  • Previous meetings and attacking stats suggest a lively match with at least three goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model supports Over 2.5 Goals with a 65.4% chance, reflecting the clear defensive weaknesses of Thun who concede an average of 3.0 goals per game and allow high shot volumes. Lausanne's recent scoring form, averaging 2.0 goals in their last six matches, complements this, indicating a match likely to produce multiple goals. While the are slightly short, the tactical and statistical evidence points to a game where both teams' offensive capabilities and defensive lapses combine to exceed 2.5 goals. Reduced stakes are advised due to the price sensitivity.

Thun Defensive Concession Rate3.0 goals per game
Strong positive
Lausanne Recent Scoring2.0 goals per game (last 6 matches)
Strong positive
Shots on Target Allowed by Thun7.5 per game
Strong positive
Model Probability vs Implied Odds65.4% model chance vs 65.4% implied (+0 pts)
Negative

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This fixture is poised for a high-scoring outcome due to Thun's defensive frailty and Lausanne's consistent attacking threat. Thun's tendency to concede many shots on target and goals, combined with Lausanne's recent scoring form, suggests multiple goals will be scored. The tactical imbalance and recent form data strongly support Over 2.5 Goals as a logical selection for this match.

Main risk

They can score, and they can score against pressure, but they are conceding at a rate that makes almost any lead vulnerable.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match goal-scoring potential

“Thun's porous defense and Lausanne's attacking momentum create a compelling scenario for a goal-rich game, making Over 2.5 Goals a well-founded prediction despite slightly short .”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Thun conceded 19 goals in their last six matches, showing defensive fragility.

Lausanne scored 12 goals in their past six games, averaging 2.0 goals per match.

Thun allow 7.5 shots on target per game, providing scoring chances for opponents.

Both teams have recent matches with multiple goals, supporting a high-scoring game.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3.7 goals per game, a notably high figure.
  • This trend over a significant sample highlights the fixture's historical tendency for multiple goals, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals expectation for this encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lausanne0.2
Avg goals scored
FC Thun1.6
Lausanne2
Avg goals conceded
FC Thun2.6
Lausanne20%
BTTS rate
FC Thun80%
Lausanne40%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Thun80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 65% · edge +0 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 83%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Despite the high goal expectation, recent form shows a divergence in BTTS rates: Thun have an 80% BTTS rate while Lausanne's is only 20%. This suggests that while multiple goals are likely, they may not always come from both teams scoring. The Under 3.5 Goals angle also fits as the match is expected to have goals but not an excessive number, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals pick.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Lausanne v FC Thun predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 65% · edge +0 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
FC Thun Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
FC Thun to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Lausanne Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
The 65.4% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 65.4% implied by the current price (+0 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Lausanne and 80% for FC Thun, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Thun's 4-3 win shows attacking potency but defensive frailty, while Lausanne's average of 2.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lausanne

LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 7L
25 Oct 2026A FC Sion0-1
11 Oct 2026A FC ST. Gallen0-1
20 Sep 2026H FC Lugano0-4
13 Sep 2026H Servette FC0-1
05 Sep 2026A FC Vaduz1-3

FC Thun

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
25 Oct 2026H FC Lugano2-3
10 Oct 2026A FC Zurich2-4
20 Sep 2026A FC Vaduz2-1
16 Sep 2026H Servette FC2-4
12 Sep 2026H Grasshoppers0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 82% vs implied 67% · edge +15 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
FC Thun Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
FC Thun to WinBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Lausanne Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Lausanne to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Recent form data highlights Thun's high-scoring matches, with an 80% rate of Over 2.5 Goals in their games, contrasting with Lausanne's 40%. Thun's ability to score and concede frequently aligns with the anticipated goal-rich environment. Lausanne's lower Over 2.5 rate suggests some variability, but their recent scoring streak supports the overall expectation of a high total goal count.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Lausanne Over 2.5
80%FC Thun Over 2.5
3.7H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3.7 goals per game, a notably high figure. This trend over a significant sample highlights the fixture's historical tendency for multiple goals, reinforcing the Over 2.5 Goals expectation for this encounter.

Loading deeper match data…