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Cercle Brugge crestCercle Brugge
v
Antwerp crestAntwerp

Jupiler Pro League | Sun 01 Nov, 12:30

Cercle Brugge v Antwerp Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 19:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cercle Brugge and Antwerp meet in a Jupiler Pro League clash where attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities shape expectations. Cercle Brugge struggles defensively, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game, while Antwerp also concedes over two goals per match but maintains a more balanced attack. Recent form shows Cercle Brugge involved in high-scoring games, with 80% of their matches exceeding 2.5 goals, and Antwerp contributing to open contests. This fixture promises an open, end-to-end encounter with both sides likely to push forward aggressively, setting the stage for multiple goals.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Cercle Brugge concedes 2.8 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty
  • 80% of Cercle Brugge’s recent matches have gone over 2.5 goals
  • Antwerp averages 11.6 shots per game, showing attacking activity
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.3, supporting a goal-rich game
  • Model projects a 47.1% chance for over 3.5 goals, above market implied chance

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 47.1% probability for over 3.5 goals, slightly above the market's implied 42%, indicating a small positive . Cercle Brugge's porous defense and Antwerp's consistent attacking pressure, reflected in high shot volumes and goal involvement from key players like F. Valencia, underpin this projection. Both teams have a history of matches with multiple goals, and recent form data confirms a trend towards open, high-scoring games. This combination of tactical openness and statistical signals supports the over 3.5 goals selection as a plausible outcome.

Cercle Brugge Defensive Record2.8 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Goals Rate80% for Cercle Brugge, 60% for Antwerp
Positive
Attacking Shots VolumeCercle Brugge 9.8, Antwerp 11.6 shots per game
Positive
Model Probability vs Market47.1% model chance vs 42% implied (+5.1 pts)
Positive
Player Attacking InfluenceHigh shot and key pass rates from Antwerp’s F. Adekami and A. Valencia
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both teams pushing forward, especially given Cercle Brugge's defensive struggles and Antwerp's attacking threat. The statistical trends and player activity suggest a match likely to produce multiple goals, making over 3.5 goals a compelling selection for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and defensive weaknesses

“This fixture features two sides with attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities, creating fertile ground for a high-scoring encounter. The combination of Cercle Brugge's leaky defense and Antwerp's shot volume makes over 3.5 goals a logical expectation.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Cercle Brugge concedes 2.8 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty

80% of Cercle Brugge’s recent matches have gone over 2.5 goals

Antwerp averages 11.6 shots per game, showing attacking activity

Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.3, supporting a goal-rich game

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.3, slightly below the over 3.5 threshold but indicative of a generally open game.
  • Recent league trends show a high frequency of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting that tempo and attacking transitions favor goal-scoring opportunities in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cercle Brugge1.2
Avg goals scored
Antwerp1
Cercle Brugge2.8
Avg goals conceded
Antwerp2.2
Cercle Brugge80%
BTTS rate
Antwerp40%
Cercle Brugge80%
Over 2.5 goals
Antwerp60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 42% · edge +5.1 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 83%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams show contrasting BTTS rates, with Cercle Brugge at 80% and Antwerp at 40%, reflecting differing defensive solidity. The goal-scoring averages and recent matches indicate a tendency towards open games with multiple goals, supporting the over 3.5 goals angle through combined attacking and defensive profiles.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAntwerp Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Antwerp to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Cercle Brugge Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
The 47.1% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 42% implied by the current price (+5.1 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Cercle Brugge and 60% for Antwerp, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cercle Brugge

LLLDL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 3D 6L
25 Oct 2026A Union St. Gilloise2-5
10 Oct 2026H Anderlecht1-2
19 Sep 2026A Charleroi2-3
12 Sep 2026A OH Leuven1-1
06 Sep 2026H Gent0-3

Antwerp

WLLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 5L
24 Oct 2026H Charleroi3-0
11 Oct 2026A KVC Westerlo1-5
20 Sep 2026H Union St. Gilloise0-2
13 Sep 2026A Club Brugge KV1-3
05 Sep 2026A Standard Liege0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Antwerp Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Antwerp to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Cercle Brugge Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Cercle Brugge to WinBetMGM guide price · model 33%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Recent form data shows Cercle Brugge involved in 80% of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, reflecting their defensive vulnerabilities and open play style. Antwerp’s 60% over 2.5 rate and moderate goal-scoring record complement this, indicating both teams are accustomed to games with multiple goals, reinforcing the over 3.5 goals expectation.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Cercle Brugge Over 2.5
60%Antwerp Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.3, slightly below the over 3.5 threshold but indicative of a generally open game. Recent league trends show a high frequency of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting that tempo and attacking transitions favor goal-scoring opportunities in this fixture.

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