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Brann crestBrann
v
Molde crestMolde

Eliteserien | Sun 01 Nov, 13:30

Brann v Molde Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 08:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brann hosts Molde in a crucial Eliteserien clash where attacking intent is expected to dominate. Molde, sitting third with 43 points, boasts a potent offense averaging 3.8 goals per game recently, while Brann, ninth with 29 points, has shown flashes of scoring ability despite defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams have a history of open play and goal-rich encounters, setting the stage for a high-scoring contest. Tactical setups suggest Molde's dynamic attackers will test Brann's defense, making goal opportunities likely throughout the match.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Molde averages 3.8 goals per game recently, indicating strong scoring form.
  • Brann concedes 2.2 goals per game, showing defensive frailty.
  • Both teams have a 60-100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
  • Recent head-to-head matches average 3 goals per game, supporting goal volume.
  • Molde's attackers generate high shot and shot-on-target numbers, increasing scoring chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 3.5 Goals with a 57.8% chance, slightly above the implied market chance of 55.6%, indicating a small positive . Molde's prolific attack and Brann's defensive lapses create conditions for multiple goals. Both teams' recent matches frequently exceed 2.5 goals, and the head-to-head average of 3 goals per game supports a high-scoring outcome. The data quality is solid with no limitations, reinforcing in the prediction. Standard stake guidance applies given the modest .

Molde recent scoring3.8 goals per game
Strong positive
Brann defensive record2.2 goals conceded per game
Positive
Over 2.5 goals rate (Molde)100%
Strong positive
Over 2.5 goals rate (Brann)60%
Positive
Head-to-head average goals3 goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as Molde's high-powered offense meets Brann's leaky defense. Molde's recent form and goal-scoring prowess suggest multiple goals, while Brann's vulnerability at the back increases the likelihood of a high-scoring match. This makes Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical matchup

“Molde's dynamic attackers combined with Brann's defensive struggles create a fertile ground for goals. The statistical trends and player roles strongly indicate a match with plenty of scoring action.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Molde averages 3.8 goals per game recently, indicating strong scoring form.

Brann concedes 2.2 goals per game, showing defensive frailty.

Both teams have a 60-100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals.

Recent head-to-head matches average 3 goals per game, supporting goal volume.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 3, indicating a history of open and attacking matches.
  • This trend, combined with recent form data, suggests a continued pattern of goal-rich encounters between these teams, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel for this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Brann1
Avg goals scored
Molde3.8
Brann2.2
Avg goals conceded
Molde1.4
Brann60%
BTTS rate
Molde100%
Brann60%
Over 2.5 goals
Molde100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.2 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Both teams have high recent rates of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with Molde at 100% and Brann at 60%. The head-to-head average of 3 goals per game further supports a high-scoring encounter. Molde's attacking players consistently generate shots and chances, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionMolde Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
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Molde to WinBetUK guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Brann Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Brann to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
The 57.8% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+2.2 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Brann and 100% for Molde, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Brann

LLLWL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
25 Oct 2026A Lillestrom2-3
18 Oct 2026A Valerenga1-3
09 Oct 2026H Viking0-2
20 Sep 2026H Bodo/Glimt2-1
13 Sep 2026A Start0-2

Molde

WWDLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
25 Oct 2026H Fredrikstad5-1
18 Oct 2026H Start6-1
11 Oct 2026A Lillestrom2-2
19 Sep 2026H Aalesund1-2
13 Sep 2026A Ham-Kam5-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 71% · edge +12.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Molde Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Molde to WinBetUK guide price · model 62%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Brann Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Brann to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Molde's recent form shows an average of 3.8 goals scored per game and a 100% rate of matches over 2.5 goals, indicating strong offensive momentum. Brann's form is less prolific but still features a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, reflecting openness in matches. This recent scoring trend aligns well with the Over 3.5 Goals prediction.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Brann Over 2.5
100%Molde Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 3, indicating a history of open and attacking matches. This trend, combined with recent form data, suggests a continued pattern of goal-rich encounters between these teams, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel for this fixture.

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