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Hellas Verona crestHellas Verona
v
Carrarese crestCarrarese

Serie B | Sun 01 Nov, 16:15

Hellas Verona v Carrarese Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 08:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie B fixture features Hellas Verona and Carrarese, two sides with a penchant for open play and goal-scoring opportunities. Hellas Verona, positioned 9th, have shown attacking intent with an average of 1.6 goals per game, while Carrarese, ranked 13th, also maintain a solid offensive output at 1.4 goals per match. Both teams have a history of conceding goals, setting the stage for a contest where both sides are likely to find the net. Recent form data highlights their offensive capabilities and suggests a lively encounter at this mid-season juncture.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Hellas Verona score and concede at rates of 1.6 and 1.4 goals per game respectively.
  • Carrarese average 1.4 goals scored and concede just 1 goal per game, indicating balanced attack and defense.
  • Both teams have BTTS rates of 80% (Hellas Verona) and 60% (Carrarese), supporting mutual scoring likelihood.
  • Hellas Verona average 16 shots and 5.2 shots on target per game, showing offensive pressure.
  • Carrarese maintain a respectable average of 13.2 shots and 3.8 shots on target per match.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% probability to both teams scoring, reflecting strong offensive and defensive patterns from both sides. Hellas Verona's high BTTS rate of 80% combined with Carrarese's consistent goal-scoring and defensive vulnerabilities underpin this view. The of 18.9% at of 1.75 indicates a favorable price for this market. Both teams' attacking metrics, including shots and shots on target, reinforce the likelihood of goals at both ends. The data quality is solid, with comprehensive stats for both teams, enhancing in this selection.

Model Probability72.1% model chance vs 57.1% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Hellas Verona BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Carrarese BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Value Edge72.1% model chance vs 57.1% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Shots and SOT AveragesHigh offensive activity for both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both Hellas Verona and Carrarese pushing forward to score. Hellas Verona's aggressive attacking style and Carrarese's consistent goal threat create a tactical environment conducive to goals at both ends. The data supports this with strong BTTS rates and offensive metrics, making both teams to score a compelling choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“Both teams have shown a tendency to attack and concede, making this fixture ripe for goals at both ends. Hellas Verona's offensive firepower combined with Carrarese's resilience suggests a lively contest where both sides find the net.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Hellas Verona score and concede at rates of 1.6 and 1.4 goals per game respectively.

Carrarese average 1.4 goals scored and concede just 1 goal per game, indicating balanced attack and defense.

Both teams have BTTS rates of 80% (Hellas Verona) and 60% (Carrarese), supporting mutual scoring likelihood.

Hellas Verona average 16 shots and 5.2 shots on target per game, showing offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten matches, both teams have recorded over 2.5 goals in 60% of their games, indicating a trend towards higher-scoring encounters.
  • This tempo suggests that this fixture is likely to feature multiple goals, aligning with the BTTS prediction and supporting an open, attacking game.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hellas Verona1.6
Avg goals scored
Carrarese1.4
Hellas Verona1.4
Avg goals conceded
Carrarese1
Hellas Verona80%
BTTS rate
Carrarese60%
Hellas Verona60%
Over 2.5 goals
Carrarese60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams exhibit solid goal-scoring and conceding patterns, with Hellas Verona scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 goals per game, and Carrarese scoring 1.4 while conceding 1.0. Hellas Verona's 80% BTTS rate and Carrarese's 60% rate indicate a high likelihood of goals from both teams, supported by their offensive and defensive profiles.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Carrarese Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Carrarese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
6
Check odds @ 6
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Hellas Verona Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
The 72.1% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 57.1% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Hellas Verona show a 80% BTTS rate and Carrarese show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hellas Verona

WDDLW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 3L
28 Oct 2026A Juve Stabia1-0
25 Oct 2026H Pisa1-1
16 Oct 2026H Catanzaro2-2
11 Oct 2026A Modena2-3
20 Sep 2026H Vicenza Virtus2-1

Carrarese

WLWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 5L
28 Oct 2026H Arezzo2-1
25 Oct 2026A Palermo1-2
17 Oct 2026H Modena2-1
11 Oct 2026A Padova2-0
19 Sep 2026H Benevento0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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Carrarese Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Carrarese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 32%
6
Check odds @ 6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Hellas Verona Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Hellas Verona to WinBetUK guide price · model 38%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Recent form data shows Hellas Verona earning 8 points with a high BTTS rate of 80%, while Carrarese has 9 points and a 60% BTTS rate. Both teams have maintained over 2.5 goals in 60% of their matches, reinforcing the trend of open games with goals at both ends in their current campaigns.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Hellas Verona Over 2.5
60%Carrarese Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, both teams have recorded over 2.5 goals in 60% of their games, indicating a trend towards higher-scoring encounters. This tempo suggests that this fixture is likely to feature multiple goals, aligning with the BTTS prediction and supporting an open, attacking game.

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