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Sheffield Wednesday crestSheffield Wednesday
v
Blackpool crestBlackpool

League One | Sun 01 Nov, 14:00

Sheffield Wednesday v Blackpool Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 20:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sheffield Wednesday and Blackpool meet in a League One clash where defensive solidity and cautious play have marked recent encounters. Sheffield Wednesday, positioned mid-table, have shown a moderate scoring rate but also a tendency to concede, while Blackpool struggle near the relegation zone with defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams have similar over 2.5 goals rates at 40%, indicating a balanced chance for a low-scoring match. The tactical setup suggests a measured approach, with both sides likely to prioritize defensive organization over aggressive attacking, making a low-scoring game probable.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Sheffield Wednesday and Blackpool both have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency towards lower scoring games.
  • Sheffield Wednesday average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, showing moderate attacking output and defensive resilience.
  • Blackpool average 1 goal scored but concede 2.2 per game, highlighting defensive issues but limited offensive threat.
  • Recent form points show Sheffield Wednesday with 5 and Blackpool with 3, reflecting cautious play and fewer high-scoring matches.
  • Head-to-head average goals over last 10 matches is 1.4, supporting a trend of low-scoring encounters.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 59.8% chance, supported by both teams' moderate scoring and defensive records. Sheffield Wednesday's average goals for and against suggest balanced play, while Blackpool's defensive struggles are offset by limited attacking potency. The head-to-head average of 1.4 goals per game and recent form data reinforce a low-scoring outlook. The price at 2.35 offers positive value with a 17.2% edge, making this a statistically sound selection for a cautious, tight contest.

Model Chance57.6% model chance vs 42.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance57.6% model chance vs 42.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge57.6% model chance vs 42.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Goals DataLow average goals and BTTS rates
Positive
Head-to-Head Goals1.4 average goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a fitting choice given the defensive focus and recent low-scoring trends between these sides. Sheffield Wednesday's balanced attack and Blackpool's limited offensive threat suggest a tight game with few clear-cut chances. The statistical evidence from recent matches and head-to-head history supports a cautious, low-goal outcome.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Under 2.5 Goals

“This fixture's tactical balance and historical low scoring make Under 2.5 Goals a compelling angle, especially with Blackpool's defensive issues likely contained by Sheffield Wednesday's moderate attacking style.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Sheffield Wednesday and Blackpool both have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency towards lower scoring games.

Sheffield Wednesday average 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, showing moderate attacking output and defensive resilience.

Blackpool average 1 goal scored but concede 2.2 per game, highlighting defensive issues but limited offensive threat.

Recent form points show Sheffield Wednesday with 5 and Blackpool with 3, reflecting cautious play and fewer high-scoring matches.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.4, indicating a trend towards low-scoring encounters.
  • This sample suggests a tempo and tactical approach favoring defensive solidity and limited attacking breakthroughs, making Over 2.5 Goals less likely despite occasional goal opportunities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sheffield Wednesday1.6
Avg goals scored
Blackpool1
Sheffield Wednesday1.4
Avg goals conceded
Blackpool2.2
Sheffield Wednesday40%
BTTS rate
Blackpool40%
Sheffield Wednesday40%
Over 2.5 goals
Blackpool40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams have a 40% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and a 40% BTTS rate, indicating a balanced tendency towards low-scoring games with occasional goals. The head-to-head average of 1.4 goals per match further supports a cautious scoring pattern, suggesting that while goals can occur, a tight defensive game is more probable.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more League One analysisfull betting preview for Sheffield Wednesday v Blackpoolcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 78% · edge -3.1 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
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Sheffield Wednesday Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Sheffield Wednesday to WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Blackpool Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Blackpool to WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
4
Check odds @ 4
The 57.6% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 42.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Sheffield Wednesday and 40% for Blackpool, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sheffield Wednesday

DLLWD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
27 Oct 2026H Cambridge United1-1
24 Oct 2026A Doncaster0-2
20 Oct 2026A Notts County0-2
17 Oct 2026H AFC Wimbledon5-0
10 Oct 2026A Huddersfield2-2

Blackpool

LWLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
24 Oct 2026H Mansfield Town1-4
20 Oct 2026H Milton Keynes Dons2-0
17 Oct 2026A Leyton Orient0-2
10 Oct 2026A Cambridge United0-1
19 Sep 2026H Plymouth2-4
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 85% vs implied 83% · edge +1.4 pts
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
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Sheffield Wednesday Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Sheffield Wednesday to WinBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Blackpool Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Blackpool to WinBet365 guide price · model 24%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
4
Check odds @ 4
Recent form shows Sheffield Wednesday earning 5 points with 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, reflecting a balanced but cautious approach. Blackpool's 3 points with 1 goal scored and 2.2 conceded per game highlight defensive vulnerabilities but limited offensive output. Both teams' 40% over 2.5 goals rate aligns with a tendency for lower-scoring matches in current form.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Sheffield Wednesday Over 2.5
40%Blackpool Over 2.5
1.4H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.4, indicating a trend towards low-scoring encounters. This sample suggests a tempo and tactical approach favoring defensive solidity and limited attacking breakthroughs, making Over 2.5 Goals less likely despite occasional goal opportunities.

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