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Kasımpaşa crestKasımpaşa
v
Beşiktaş crestBeşiktaş

Süper Lig | Sun 01 Nov, 16:00

Kasımpaşa v Beşiktaş Stats

Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 08:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Kasımpaşa and Beşiktaş meet in a Süper Lig clash where both teams have shown attacking intent and a willingness to push forward, creating opportunities from wide areas. Kasımpaşa ranks 6th and Beşiktaş 4th, reflecting competitive form. Both sides average a combined 13 corners per game, with recent matches featuring sustained pressure and territorial battles that often lead to numerous set-piece opportunities. This fixture promises an open, dynamic encounter with plenty of wing play and crossing, setting the stage for a high corner count.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Kasımpaşa averages 6 corners per game, Beşiktaş 7, combining for 13 per match
  • Recent Süper Lig matches between these teams feature high corner counts due to open play and wing attacks
  • Both teams create significant shot volume, indicating sustained attacking pressure and set-piece chances
  • Model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, showing clear statistical support
  • No price warning; offer positive value with a 9.1% edge at 1.67

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a strong value bet with a 69% chance versus a 59.9% implied market chance, reflecting a 9.1% . Both teams generate high corner averages—Kasımpaşa 6 and Beşiktaş 7 per game—driven by attacking styles that emphasize wing play and crossing. Recent form data confirms consistent corner production, supported by shot volumes and territorial control. The positive value and tactical context make this a compelling corners market selection without price sensitivity.

Corner averagesKasımpaşa 6, Beşiktaş 7 per game
Strong positive
Model chance vs implied chance69% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+9.1 pts)
Strong positive
Recent form corner ratesConsistently high in last matches
Positive
Shot volume and attacking pressureHigh shots and shots on target support corners
Positive
Price sensitivity69% model chance vs 59.9% implied (+9.1 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Over 9.5 Corners is a solid pick given both teams' attacking tendencies and recent corner statistics. Kasımpaşa and Beşiktaş consistently generate numerous corners through wide play and sustained pressure, making this market a logical choice. The statistical edge and tactical patterns align well to suggest a lively match with plenty of set-piece chances.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“This matchup features two sides that rely heavily on wing play and crossing, naturally leading to a high number of corners. The statistical data and tactical approach both point to Over 9.5 Corners as a strong market to consider.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Kasımpaşa averages 6 corners per game, Beşiktaş 7, combining for 13 per match

Recent Süper Lig matches between these teams feature high corner counts due to open play and wing attacks

Both teams create significant shot volume, indicating sustained attacking pressure and set-piece chances

Model estimates a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, showing clear statistical support

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals tally is 3.3 per game, indicating open matches with attacking intent.
  • Over the last five matches, both teams have maintained a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting a tempo and style conducive to multiple attacking phases and consequently a high number of corners.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Kasımpaşa1.6
Avg goals scored
Beşiktaş1.8
Kasımpaşa1
Avg goals conceded
Beşiktaş1.2
Kasımpaşa60%
BTTS rate
Beşiktaş40%
Kasımpaşa60%
Over 2.5 goals
Beşiktaş60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 58% · edge +5.5 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 41%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams average 1.6 and 1.8 goals per game respectively, with a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals for each side. Kasımpaşa has a 60% BTTS rate while Beşiktaş is at 40%, suggesting attacking intent but some defensive solidity. This balance supports open play that often results in multiple corners from attacking sequences and transitions.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 71% · edge +3.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Kasımpaşa Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Kasımpaşa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Beşiktaş Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 59.9% implied by the current price (+9.1 pts). Beşiktaş lead the corner sample at 7 per match, with Kasımpaşa lower at 6.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Kasımpaşa

WWLDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 1L
24 Oct 2026A Eyüpspor1-0
18 Oct 2026H Samsunspor4-1
09 Oct 2026A Galatasaray1-3
18 Sep 2026H Konyaspor0-0
13 Sep 2026A Gençlerbirliği S.K.2-1

Beşiktaş

WLWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 0D 3L
26 Oct 2026H Başakşehir2-0
19 Oct 2026A Trabzonspor0-2
11 Oct 2026H Kocaelispor2-1
20 Sep 2026A Amed2-3
11 Sep 2026H Erzurumspor FK3-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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Kasımpaşa Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Kasımpaşa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Beşiktaş Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Beşiktaş to WinBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Recent form shows both teams maintaining high corner averages, with Kasımpaşa and Beşiktaş consistently exceeding 9.5 corners in their last matches. Their attacking momentum and territorial control have translated into frequent set-piece situations, reinforcing the likelihood of a corner-rich game in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Kasımpaşa Over 2.5
60%Beşiktaş Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals tally is 3.3 per game, indicating open matches with attacking intent. Over the last five matches, both teams have maintained a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting a tempo and style conducive to multiple attacking phases and consequently a high number of corners.

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