Avellino
PisaSerie B | Sun 01 Nov, 14:00
Avellino v Pisa Stats
Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 08:50 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
This Serie B clash features Pisa visiting Avellino in a contest where Pisa's recent form and attacking prowess stand out. Pisa ranks 6th with 15 points, showing a strong goal-scoring rate of 2.4 goals per game compared to Avellino's 1.4. Both teams have similar defensive records, conceding 1.4 goals per match, but Pisa's offensive edge and higher recent points tally suggest they hold the initiative. The match promises tactical battles with Pisa likely pushing to maintain their momentum and climb the standings, while Avellino aims to leverage home advantage to disrupt their visitors' rhythm.
Pisa to Win
- Pisa has a 65.4% to win, with strong value at 2.3 .
- Pisa averages 2.4 goals per game, significantly higher than Avellino's 1.4.
- Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate, indicating likely goals at both ends.
- Pisa averages 7.4 corners per game, suggesting sustained attacking pressure.
- Pisa's top attackers like T. Ferrah show high shot volumes and goal threat.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors Pisa to win due to their superior recent form, higher goal-scoring rate, and attacking efficiency. Pisa's 65.4% win probability reflects their ability to create and convert chances, supported by key players generating numerous shots and assists. Avellino's defensive record is similar but their lower scoring output and fewer points indicate Pisa's edge. The pricing offers positive value with a 21.9% edge, making Pisa a compelling pick based on both data and tactical context.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Pisa's attacking momentum and higher recent points tally make them the favored side to win this fixture. Their ability to generate shots and create chances through players like Marras and Ferrah provides a tactical edge, while Avellino's lower scoring rate and mid-table form suggest they may struggle to contain Pisa's offense.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and form advantage for Pisa
“Pisa's dynamic attacking players and consistent goal output position them well to secure victory here, especially given Avellino's modest scoring and defensive vulnerabilities.”
Key Data Signals
Pisa to Win evidence
Pisa has a 65.4% to win, with strong value at 2.3 .
Pisa averages 2.4 goals per game, significantly higher than Avellino's 1.4.
Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate, indicating likely goals at both ends.
Pisa averages 7.4 corners per game, suggesting sustained attacking pressure.
What To Watch In The Data
Pisa to Win notes
- In the last two head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored were low at 1 per match, but current season trends show Pisa's matches often exceed 2.5 goals with an 80% rate.
- This suggests a faster tempo and more open play this season, increasing the likelihood of an over 2.5 goals outcome in this game.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Avellino
Pisa
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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