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Paris FC crestParis FC
v
Monaco crestMonaco

Ligue 1 | Sun 01 Nov, 16:15

Paris FC v Monaco Stats

Data last updated: Mon 19 Oct 2026, 06:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Paris FC face Monaco in Ligue 1 on Sun 01 Nov, 16:15. Market pricing anticipates a competitive fixture, with the 1-1 draw and 2-1 Monaco victory the most statistically likely outcomes. Monaco are the sharpest side in France right now, arriving with seven consecutive Ligue 1 wins.

BT4Y best bet

Home wins over Nice and Le Havre showed that clearly

  • Home wins over Nice and Le Havre showed that clearly is rated around 53% by the current BT4Y model.
  • They are not blowing teams away, but they are staying in games, protecting space better and striking at the right time.
  • Paris FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for Monaco.
  • Monaco have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Home wins over Nice and Le Havre showed that clearly angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Paris FC sit 3 in the table, while Monaco sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Home wins over Nice and Le Havre showed that clearly around 53% on the latest available numbers. Paris FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for Monaco. They are not blowing teams away, but they are staying in games, protecting space better and striking at the right time.

Paris FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 10.Visible data support
Positive
Monaco have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
They are not blowing teams away, but they are.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Paris FC Win is the preferred angle because they are not blowing teams away, but they are staying in games, protecting space better and striking at the right time. Paris FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for Monaco. Risk Factor: Paris FC's high percentage of draws (4 in the last 6) makes a 1-1 stalemate a constant danger for correct score selections.

Main risk

Risk Factor: Paris FC's high percentage of draws (4 in the last 6) makes a 1-1 stalemate a constant danger for correct score selections.

Key Data Signals

Home wins over Nice and Le Havre showed that clearly evidence

They are not blowing teams away, but they are staying in games, protecting space better and striking at.

Paris FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for Monaco.

Monaco have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Paris FC Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Paris FC sit 3 in the table, while Monaco sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Home wins over Nice and Le Havre showed that clearly notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Paris FC1.8
    Avg goals scored
    Monaco1.4
    Paris FC1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Monaco1.2
    Paris FC60%
    BTTS rate
    Monaco80%
    Paris FC60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Monaco60%

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Paris FC

    WLWDW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 1L
    18 Oct 2026H Rennes4-3
    10 Oct 2026A Lorient0-1
    19 Sep 2026H Strasbourg2-1
    12 Sep 2026H Lyon0-0
    06 Sep 2026A Marseille3-2

    Monaco

    LDWDW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 1L
    18 Oct 2026A Lorient0-1
    10 Oct 2026H Toulouse2-2
    18 Sep 2026H Lens2-1
    12 Sep 2026A Strasbourg1-1
    04 Sep 2026A Paris Saint Germain2-1

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Paris FC Over 2.5
    60%Monaco Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Paris FC sit at 60% and Monaco sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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