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Paris FC crestParis FC
v
Monaco crestMonaco

Ligue 1 | Sun 01 Nov, 16:15

Paris FC v Monaco Stats

Data last updated: Tue 10 Nov 2026, 19:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Paris FC face Monaco in Ligue 1 on Sun 01 Nov, 16:15. Paris FC can extend their unbeaten home league run to seven matches. Paris FC vs Monaco Preview: Home Strength Meets Monaco’s Search for Form.

BT4Y best bet

Demands absolute precision: the match must finish exactly 1-0 in favour of Paris FC after 90 minutes plus stoppage time

  • At 6/4, Demands absolute precision: the match must finish exactly 1-0 in favour of Paris FC after 90 minutes plus stoppage time implies roughly 40%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 48%.
  • Goals at both ends: Nine of Monaco’s last 11 Ligue 1 away games featured goals from both teams.
  • Paris FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Monaco.
  • Monaco have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Demands absolute precision: the match must finish exactly 1-0 in favour of Paris FC after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • Paris FC sit 3 in the table, while Monaco sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 48% for Demands absolute precision: the match must finish exactly 1-0 in favour of Paris FC after 90 minutes plus stoppage time sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price. Paris FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Monaco. Goals at both ends: Nine of Monaco’s last 11 Ligue 1 away games featured goals from both teams.

Model chance vs price48% model chance against roughly 40% implied
Positive
Paris FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 7.Visible data support
Positive
Monaco have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Goals at both ends: Nine of Monaco’s last 11.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Paris FC Win is the preferred angle because goals at both ends: Nine of Monaco’s last 11 Ligue 1 away games featured goals from both teams. Paris FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Monaco. Monaco carry the stronger scoring threat, but Paris FC must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

Monaco carry the stronger scoring threat, but Paris FC must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

Demands absolute precision: the match must finish exactly 1-0 in favour of Paris FC after 90 minutes plus stoppage time evidence

Goals at both ends: Nine of Monaco’s last 11 Ligue 1 away games featured goals from both teams.

Paris FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Monaco.

Monaco have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Paris FC Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Paris FC sit 3 in the table, while Monaco sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Demands absolute precision: the match must finish exactly 1-0 in favour of Paris FC after 90 minutes plus stoppage time notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickParis FC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 41% · edge +6.9 pts
    2.45
    Check odds @ 2.45
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    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 75%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Paris FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 42%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Paris FC to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Paris FC1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Monaco1.2
    Paris FC1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Monaco1.2
    Paris FC60%
    BTTS rate
    Monaco80%
    Paris FC60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Monaco40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
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    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 49%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Paris FC

    LWLWD
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 2L
    24 Oct 2026A Lens1-2
    18 Oct 2026H Rennes4-3
    10 Oct 2026A Lorient0-1
    19 Sep 2026H Strasbourg2-1
    12 Sep 2026H Lyon0-0

    Monaco

    DLDWD
    Last 51W 3D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 1L
    25 Oct 2026H Lille1-1
    18 Oct 2026A Lorient0-1
    10 Oct 2026H Toulouse2-2
    18 Sep 2026H Lens2-1
    12 Sep 2026A Strasbourg1-1
    Market aligned with main pickParis FC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 41% · edge +6.9 pts
    2.45
    Check odds @ 2.45
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    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Paris FC Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 58%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Paris FC Over 2.5
    40%Monaco Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Paris FC sit at 60% and Monaco sit at 40% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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