Football Stats Hub

Brighton crestBrighton
v
Bologna crestBologna

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 15 Aug, 15:00

Brighton v Bologna Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Brighton face Bologna in Friendlies Clubs on Sat 15 Aug, 15:00. Brighton & Hove Albion reach their final pre-season fixture with a useful combination of momentum and attacking output. Brighton’s strong pre-season form contrasts with Bologna’s inconsistent preparation, suggesting a home win.

BT4Y match pick

Brighton to win and Over 2

  • At 1.67, Brighton to win and Over 2 implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 57%.
  • Bologna’s defensive struggles and attacking potential suggest they can score once, making a 3-1 correct scoreline a fitting reflection of both teams’ recent patterns.
  • Bologna have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Brighton.
  • Brighton have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.5 conceded per match, which helps the Brighton to win and Over 2 angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 57% for Brighton to win and Over 2 sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Bologna have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Brighton. Bologna’s defensive struggles and attacking potential suggest they can score once, making a 3-1 correct scoreline a fitting reflection of both teams’ recent patterns.

Model chance vs price57% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Neutral
Bologna have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Brighton have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.5 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Bologna’s defensive struggles and attacking potential suggest they can.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Brighton Win is the preferred angle because bologna’s defensive struggles and attacking potential suggest they can score once, making a 3-1 correct scoreline a fitting reflection of both teams’ recent patterns. Bologna have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Brighton. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Brighton to win and Over 2 evidence

Bologna’s defensive struggles and attacking potential suggest they can score once, making a 3-1 correct scoreline a fitting.

Bologna have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Brighton.

Brighton have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.5 conceded per match, which helps the Brighton Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Brighton to win and Over 2 notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Brighton3.5
    Avg goals scored
    Bologna1.4
    Brighton1.5
    Avg goals conceded
    Bologna2
    Brighton50%
    BTTS rate
    Bologna60%
    Brighton100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Bologna60%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 64% · edge +14.3 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBrighton to WinBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 60% · edge -2.7 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Brighton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Brighton to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    related match predictionplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Brighton

    WW
    Last 52W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 0L
    08 Aug 2026H AS Roma3-0
    01 Aug 2026H Strasbourg4-3

    Bologna

    LWWDL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 2L
    08 Aug 2026H Pisa1-4
    01 Aug 2026H Cambuur3-1
    25 Jul 2026H Iraklis 19082-0
    22 Jul 2026H 1. FC Heidenheim1-1
    18 Jul 2026H Arminia Bielefeld0-4
    Market aligned with main pickBrighton to WinBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 60% · edge -2.7 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 83%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Brighton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Brighton wins
    0Draws
    0Bologna wins
    Market aligned with main pickBrighton to WinBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 60% · edge -2.7 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Brighton to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Brighton3
    Played
    Bologna6
    Brighton2.7
    Avg goals for
    Bologna1.2
    Brighton1
    Avg goals against
    Bologna1.8
    Brighton2
    Clean sheets
    Bologna1
    Market aligned with main pickBrighton to WinBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 60% · edge -2.7 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Brighton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Season data supports Brighton to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Brighton Over 2.5
    60%Bologna Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Brighton sit at 100% and Bologna sit at 60%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Brighton v Bologna prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

    More stats pages

    Vanuatu United v Central Coast MarinersFriendlies Clubs · Wed 09 Sep 05:00

    Competition and hubs

    related match predictionplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets research

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre