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Boreham Wood crestBoreham Wood
v
Kidderminster Harriers crestKidderminster Harriers

National League | Tue 29 Sep, 19:00

Boreham Wood v Kidderminster Harriers Stats

Data last updated: Tue 20 Oct 2026, 09:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Boreham Wood face Kidderminster Harriers in National League on Tue 29 Sep, 19:00. Boreham Wood take an unbeaten National League record into Tuesday’s meeting with Kidderminster Harriers at the Colney Training Centre, having won eight and drawn two of their opening 10 matches.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Kidderminster Harriers Asian Handicap +1

  • At 1.48, Kidderminster Harriers Asian Handicap +1 implies roughly 68%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 61%.
  • Kidderminster's recent scoring drought and Boreham Wood's defensive concessions make this a plausible, tight result.
  • Boreham Wood have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 10 for Kidderminster Harriers.
  • Kidderminster Harriers have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Kidderminster Harriers Asian Handicap +1 angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Boreham Wood sit 1 in the table, while Kidderminster Harriers sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Kidderminster Harriers Asian Handicap +1 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 68% while the model sits nearer 61% (-6.5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Kidderminster Harriers Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 3.7.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 61% for Kidderminster Harriers Asian Handicap +1 sits against roughly 68% implied by the current price. Boreham Wood have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 10 for Kidderminster Harriers. Kidderminster's recent scoring drought and Boreham Wood's defensive concessions make this a plausible, tight result.

Model chance vs price61% model chance against roughly 68% implied
Negative
Boreham Wood have the stronger recent points return, taking 13.Visible data support
Positive
Kidderminster Harriers have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.Visible data support
Positive
Kidderminster's recent scoring drought and Boreham Wood's defensive concessions.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Boreham Wood Win is the preferred angle because kidderminster's recent scoring drought and Boreham Wood's defensive concessions make this a plausible, tight result. Boreham Wood have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 10 for Kidderminster Harriers. Boreham Wood average that scoring level per game, while Kidderminster concede 0.8 per match but have allowed that scoring level in 10 games.

Main risk

Boreham Wood average 2.6 goals per game, while Kidderminster concede 0.8 per match but have allowed 11 goals in 10 games.

Key Data Signals

Kidderminster Harriers Asian Handicap +1 evidence

Kidderminster's recent scoring drought and Boreham Wood's defensive concessions make this a plausible, tight result.

Boreham Wood have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 10 for Kidderminster Harriers.

Kidderminster Harriers have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Boreham Wood Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Boreham Wood sit 1 in the table, while Kidderminster Harriers sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Kidderminster Harriers Asian Handicap +1 notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Boreham Wood2.4
    Avg goals scored
    Kidderminster Harriers1.4
    Boreham Wood0.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Kidderminster Harriers0.4
    Boreham Wood80%
    BTTS rate
    Kidderminster Harriers20%
    Boreham Wood80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Kidderminster Harriers20%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 59% · edge +4.5 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 35%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 80% for Boreham Wood and 20% for Kidderminster Harriers, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    full betting preview for Boreham Wood v Kidderminster Harriersplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBoreham Wood to WinBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 68% · edge -6.5 pts
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Boreham Wood Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.26
    Check odds @ 1.26
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Boreham Wood to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Boreham Wood

    WWWDW
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 108W 2D 0L
    26 Sep 2026A Solihull Moors3-0
    19 Sep 2026H Harrogate Town4-1
    16 Sep 2026A Scunthorpe2-1
    12 Sep 2026A Eastleigh1-1
    05 Sep 2026H Carlisle2-1

    Kidderminster Harriers

    LDWWW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 3D 2L
    26 Sep 2026H Yeovil Town0-1
    19 Sep 2026A Woking0-0
    16 Sep 2026H Gateshead1-0
    11 Sep 2026H Hartlepool2-0
    05 Sep 2026A Wealdstone4-1
    Market aligned with main pickBoreham Wood to WinBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 68% · edge -6.5 pts
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Boreham Wood Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.26
    Check odds @ 1.26
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Boreham Wood Over 2.5
    20%Kidderminster Harriers Over 2.5
    2.25H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Boreham Wood sit at 80% and Kidderminster Harriers sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.25 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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