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Venezia crestVenezia
v
Modena crestModena

Coppa Italia | Sat 15 Aug, 19:45

Venezia v Modena Stats

Data last updated: Tue 29 Sep 2026, 14:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Venezia face Modena in Coppa Italia on Sat 15 Aug, 19:45. Venezia’s concession of six goals in two friendlies and the fixture’s history of high-scoring matches support this precise correct score prediction. Venezia's seven consecutive home wins with at least two goals each demonstrate strong attacking form.

BT4Y best bet

Venezia to win and Both Teams To Score

  • At 5/2, Venezia to win and Both Teams To Score implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 30%.
  • Venezia vs Modena: Home Strength Meets a Recent Warning at Stadio Penzo.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 30% for Venezia to win and Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. Venezia vs Modena: Home Strength Meets a Recent Warning at Stadio Penzo.

Model chance vs price30% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Neutral
Venezia vs Modena: Home Strength Meets a Recent Warning.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +1.3 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Venezia Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because venezia vs Modena: Home Strength Meets a Recent Warning at Stadio Penzo. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Venezia to win and Both Teams To Score evidence

Venezia vs Modena: Home Strength Meets a Recent Warning at Stadio Penzo.

What To Watch In The Data

Venezia to win and Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Venezia

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Venezia yet.

Modena

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Modena yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 81% vs implied 89% · edge -8.1 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
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Venezia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Venezia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Venezia-
Avg goals scored
Modena-
Venezia-
Avg goals conceded
Modena-
Venezia-
BTTS rate
Modena-
Venezia-
Over 2.5 goals
Modena-
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 80% · edge -5.5 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

full betting preview for Venezia v Modenaplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickVenezia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 65% · edge -6.8 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Venezia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Venezia to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Venezia Over 2.5
-Modena Over 2.5
3.25H2H avg goals
Venezia vs Modena: Home Strength Meets a Recent Warning at Stadio Penzo.

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