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Venezia crestVenezia
v
Modena crestModena

Coppa Italia | Sat 15 Aug, 19:45

Venezia v Modena Stats

Data last updated: Mon 07 Sep 2026, 17:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Venezia face Modena in Coppa Italia on Sat 15 Aug, 19:45. Venezia’s concession of six goals in two friendlies and the fixture’s history of high-scoring matches support this precise correct score prediction. Venezia's seven consecutive home wins with at least two goals each demonstrate strong attacking form.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Venezia to win and Both Teams To Score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 29%, above the 22% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 5/2, Venezia to win and Both Teams To Score implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 22%.
  • Venezia vs Modena: Home Strength Meets a Recent Warning at Stadio Penzo.
Price warning

Venezia to win and Both Teams To Score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 29% while the model sits nearer 22% (-6.7 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Modena Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 3.7.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 22% for Venezia to win and Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. Venezia vs Modena: Home Strength Meets a Recent Warning at Stadio Penzo.

Model chance vs price22% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Negative
Venezia vs Modena: Home Strength Meets a Recent Warning.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -6.7 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Venezia Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because venezia vs Modena: Home Strength Meets a Recent Warning at Stadio Penzo. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Venezia to win and Both Teams To Score evidence

Venezia vs Modena: Home Strength Meets a Recent Warning at Stadio Penzo.

What To Watch In The Data

Venezia to win and Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Venezia wins
2Draws
1Modena wins
10 Feb 2026Venezia v Modena0-2
20 Dec 2025Modena v Venezia1-2
18 Feb 2024Venezia v Modena2-2
30 Sep 2023Modena v Venezia1-3
01 May 2023Venezia v Modena5-0
08 Dec 2022Modena v Venezia2-2
Market aligned with main pickVenezia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 65% · edge -22.4 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The head-to-head sample gives context for Venezia to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Venezia

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Venezia yet.

Modena

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Modena yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 89% · edge -16.3 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Load more odds for this section
Venezia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Venezia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53

Continue the research

Useful next reads

full betting preview for Venezia v Modenaplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Venezia-
Avg goals scored
Modena-
Venezia-
Avg goals conceded
Modena-
Venezia-
BTTS rate
Modena-
Venezia-
Over 2.5 goals
Modena-
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 80% · edge -5.5 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickVenezia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 79% · edge -25.9 pts
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Venezia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Venezia Draw No Bet is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Coppa Italia

Venezia2
Played
Modena1
Venezia2
Avg goals for
Modena2
Venezia2
Avg goals against
Modena3
Venezia0
Clean sheets
Modena0
Market aligned with main pickVenezia Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 79% · edge -25.9 pts
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Load more odds for this section
Venezia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Season data supports Venezia Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Venezia Over 2.5
-Modena Over 2.5
3.25H2H avg goals
Venezia vs Modena: Home Strength Meets a Recent Warning at Stadio Penzo.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Venezia v Modena prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

full betting preview for Venezia v Modenaplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets research

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre