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Udinese crestUdinese
v
Padova crestPadova

Coppa Italia | Sat 15 Aug, 17:30

Udinese v Padova Stats

Data last updated: Tue 29 Sep 2026, 15:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Udinese face Padova in Coppa Italia on Sat 15 Aug, 17:30. Udinese’s stronger league status and recent pre-season wins position them as favourites against Padova’s inconsistent away form. Padova’s recent scoring form and defensive vulnerabilities suggest both sides will find the net despite Udinese’s control.

BT4Y best bet

Udinese to win and both teams to score

  • Udinese to win and both teams to score is rated around 34% by the current BT4Y model.
  • A 2-1 scoreline balances Udinese’s efficient attack against Padova’s open style.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Udinese to win and both teams to score around 34% on the latest available numbers. A 2-1 scoreline balances Udinese’s efficient attack against Padova’s open style.

A 2-1 scoreline balances Udinese’s efficient attack against Padova’s.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Udinese Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because a 2-1 scoreline balances Udinese’s efficient attack against Padova’s open style. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Udinese to win and both teams to score evidence

A 2-1 scoreline balances Udinese’s efficient attack against Padova’s open style.

What To Watch In The Data

Udinese to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Udinese

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Udinese yet.

Padova

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Padova yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 86% vs implied 94% · edge -7.5 pts
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
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Udinese to WinBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Udinese Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Udinese-
Avg goals scored
Padova-
Udinese-
Avg goals conceded
Padova-
Udinese-
BTTS rate
Padova-
Udinese-
Over 2.5 goals
Padova-
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 82% · edge -5.6 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickUdinese to WinBetUK guide price · Model 66% vs implied 74% · edge -7.4 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Udinese Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 74%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Udinese to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Udinese Over 2.5
-Padova Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
A 2-1 scoreline balances Udinese’s efficient attack against Padova’s open style.

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