Shamrock Rovers

Dundalk

Premier Division | Fri 07 Aug, 20:00

Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk Stats

Data last updated: Thu 06 Aug 2026, 05:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shamrock Rovers host Dundalk at Tallaght Stadium in a Premier Division clash where tactical control and attacking threat will be decisive. Shamrock Rovers, leading the league with a strong home record and possession control, aim to convert territorial advantage into goals. Dundalk, fourth in the table, bring consistent scoring form with six consecutive matches finding the net. The fixture promises a tactical battle between Shamrock Rovers' structured 3-5-2 and Dundalk's compact 4-2-3-1, with midfield dynamics and transition moments likely to shape the outcome without revealing the recommended bet.

BT4Y best bet

Shamrock Rovers to Win & Both Teams to Score

Shamrock Rovers average 67.7% possession and 15.7 attempts per match, controlling tempo at home.
Dundalk have scored in six consecutive games, matching Shamrock Rovers' attacking volume despite less possession.
Both teams average 1.3 goals per game recently, supporting a competitive, goal-involved match.
Previous meetings show balanced results with low average goals, indicating tactical caution and narrow margins.
Shamrock Rovers' superior defensive record contrasts with Dundalk's vulnerability, suggesting a close but open game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Shamrock Rovers to win with both teams scoring based on their dominant possession and home form combined with Dundalk's consistent scoring streak. Shamrock Rovers' ability to control matches and create chances aligns with a home win, while Dundalk's attacking threat ensures goals at both ends. The 3.3 offer strong value given the 53.4% versus a 30.3% implied market chance. No data limitations affect , making this a well-supported selection with a solid football rationale.

Model Chance53.4%

Strong positive

Implied Market Chance30.3%

Strong positive

Value Edge+23.1%

Strong positive

Confidence Level58

Positive

Data QualityComplete for both teams

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Shamrock Rovers' control of possession and home advantage provide a tactical edge, while Dundalk's consistent scoring ensures both teams will find the net. This combination of control and threat underpins the expectation of a home win with goals at both ends, reflecting the teams' recent form and tactical setups.

Main risk

Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk show similar scoring consistency but differ in recent match outcomes.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and scoring dynamics

“Shamrock Rovers' ability to dictate play at Tallaght combined with Dundalk's sharp attacking transitions makes for a compelling contest where both sides are likely to score, but the home side's defensive discipline and possession control give them the winning edge.”

Key Data Signals

Shamrock Rovers to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Shamrock Rovers average 67.7% possession and 15.7 attempts per match, controlling tempo at home.

Dundalk have scored in six consecutive games, matching Shamrock Rovers' attacking volume despite less possession.

Both teams average 1.3 goals per game recently, supporting a competitive, goal-involved match.

Previous meetings show balanced results with low average goals, indicating tactical caution and narrow margins.

What To Watch In The Data

Shamrock Rovers to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 1.4, indicating a generally low-scoring, tactical battle.
However, recent trends show both teams scoring regularly, and Dundalk's six-match scoring streak suggests an increased tempo and attacking threat that could push this fixture over 2.5 goals, especially given Shamrock Rovers' possession-based style.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Shamrock Rovers4.25

Avg corners for

Dundalk6.2

Shamrock Rovers7

Avg total corners

Dundalk9.8

Shamrock Rovers1.25

Avg yellow cards

Dundalk1.8

Shamrock Rovers14.25

Avg shots

Dundalk17.2

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Load more odds for this section

Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 50%

1.92

Check odds @ 1.92

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 56%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Dundalk average more corners (6.2) and fouls (1.8 yellows per game) than Shamrock Rovers, indicating a more aggressive and direct style. Shamrock Rovers' slightly lower corner count and disciplined card profile reflect controlled possession and measured pressure, suggesting a match with sustained attacking pressure but also tactical discipline.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Shamrock Rovers1.6

Avg goals scored

Dundalk1.2

Shamrock Rovers0.6

Avg goals conceded

Dundalk1.8

Shamrock Rovers60%

BTTS rate

Dundalk100%

Shamrock Rovers40%

Over 2.5 goals

Dundalk60%

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

Load more odds for this section

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%

Check odds @ 2

Both teams have averaged 1.3 goals per game recently, with Dundalk scoring in six straight matches and Shamrock Rovers maintaining strong attacking output. This balance supports the likelihood of goals at both ends, while Shamrock Rovers' defensive solidity suggests a competitive but open game with scoring opportunities for both sides.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 62% · edge +12.3 pts

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Load more odds for this section

BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 72%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%

1.38

Check odds @ 1.38

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 56%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

The current of 3.3 for Shamrock Rovers to win and both teams to score reflect significant value compared to the model's 53.4% chance. This price sensitivity highlights market underestimation of Shamrock Rovers' home control and Dundalk's scoring consistency, making the selection an attractive proposition without warning flags.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Shamrock Rovers

DWWDW

Last 53W 2D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 105W 2D 3L

31 Jul 2026A Drogheda United0-0

03 Jul 2026A Sligo Rovers2-1

26 Jun 2026H Galway United3-1

22 Jun 2026H Derry City1-1

19 Jun 2026A Waterford2-0

Dundalk

DDLLL

Last 50W 2D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 3D 3L

31 Jul 2026H Sligo Rovers1-1

24 Jul 2026A St Patrick's Athl.1-1

10 Jul 2026H Drogheda United1-2

03 Jul 2026A Shelbourne1-2

26 Jun 2026H Waterford2-3

Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 62% · edge +12.3 pts

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Load more odds for this section

Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%

1.38

Check odds @ 1.38

Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%

1.18

Check odds @ 1.18

Shamrock Rovers have collected 11 points from recent matches, scoring 1.6 goals per game while conceding only 0.6, demonstrating strong form and defensive control. Dundalk's form is less robust with 2 points recently and 1.2 goals scored per game but a higher concession rate of 1.8, reflecting their attacking potency but defensive vulnerability, which supports a home win with goals for both sides.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Shamrock Rovers wins

2Draws

4Dundalk wins

15 May 2026Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers1-0

23 Feb 2026Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk1-1

27 Oct 2024Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers0-1

04 Jul 2024Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk1-0

17 May 2024Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers1-0

16 Feb 2024Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk1-1

Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 62% · edge +12.3 pts

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Load more odds for this section

BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 72%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

The recent six meetings between these teams have been tightly contested with two wins each and two draws, producing only eight goals total. This balanced head-to-head record suggests tactical caution and narrow margins, supporting the expectation of a close match where Shamrock Rovers' home advantage and Dundalk's scoring threat will be key factors.

Season team stats

Premier Division

Shamrock Rovers26

Played

Dundalk27

Shamrock Rovers1.5

Avg goals for

Dundalk1.6

Shamrock Rovers0.8

Avg goals against

Dundalk1.5

Shamrock Rovers10

Clean sheets

Dundalk5

Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 62% · edge +12.3 pts

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

Load more odds for this section

Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%

1.38

Check odds @ 1.38

Shamrock Rovers lead the league with 51 points and a superior defensive record, conceding 22 goals in 26 matches, while Dundalk sit fourth with 37 points but have conceded 38 goals. Both teams have scored 40 goals, indicating similar attacking output but contrasting defensive stability, reinforcing the expectation of a Shamrock Rovers win with both teams scoring.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
1	Shamrock Rovers	54	27	16	6	5	19
4	Dundalk	37	27	9	10	8	1

The 14-point gap between Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk reflects the home side's consistency and league control. Dundalk's fourth-place position shows competitive quality but defensive lapses limit their challenge. The standings underscore Shamrock Rovers' stronger platform for victory, though Dundalk's resilience and scoring ability keep the contest open.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5

60%Dundalk Over 2.5

1.4H2H avg goals

Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 1.4, indicating a generally low-scoring, tactical battle. However, recent trends show both teams scoring regularly, and Dundalk's six-match scoring streak suggests an increased tempo and attacking threat that could push this fixture over 2.5 goals, especially given Shamrock Rovers' possession-based style.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk Stats

Match Report

Shamrock Rovers to Win & Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Shamrock Rovers

Dundalk

Next step

Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk Stats

Match Report

Shamrock Rovers to Win & Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Shamrock Rovers

Dundalk

Related football research

Prediction context

More stats pages

Competition and hubs

Next step