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Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers
v
Dundalk crestDundalk

Premier Division | Fri 07 Aug, 20:00

Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk Stats

Data last updated: Sat 29 Aug 2026, 14:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Shamrock Rovers face Dundalk in Premier Division on Fri 07 Aug, 20:00. Shamrock Rovers have averaged 67.7% possession across their last 10 league matches, giving them a clear platform to control territory and tempo. Shamrock Rovers' recent home form contrasts with Dundalk's away struggles, shaping the likely outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Shamrock Rovers to win and both teams to score

  • At 23/10, Shamrock Rovers to win and both teams to score implies roughly 30%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 45%.
  • Dundalk’s recurring defensive lapses invite Shamrock Rovers to attack with .
  • Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 2 for Dundalk.
  • Shamrock Rovers sit 1 in the table, while Dundalk sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 45% for Shamrock Rovers to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 30% implied by the current price. Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 2 for Dundalk. Dundalk’s recurring defensive lapses invite Shamrock Rovers to attack with .

Model chance vs price45% model chance against roughly 30% implied
Strong positive
Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 11.Visible data support
Positive
Shamrock Rovers sit 1 in the table, while Dundalk sit.Visible data support
Positive
Dundalk’s recurring defensive lapses invite Shamrock Rovers to attack.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Shamrock Rovers Win is the preferred angle because dundalk’s recurring defensive lapses invite Shamrock Rovers to attack with . Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 2 for Dundalk. Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk show similar scoring consistency but differ in recent match outcomes.

Main risk

Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk show similar scoring consistency but differ in recent match outcomes.

Key Data Signals

Shamrock Rovers to win and both teams to score evidence

Dundalk’s recurring defensive lapses invite Shamrock Rovers to attack with .

Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 2 for Dundalk.

Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Shamrock Rovers Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Shamrock Rovers sit 1 in the table, while Dundalk sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Shamrock Rovers to win and both teams to score notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Shamrock Rovers1.6
    Avg goals scored
    Dundalk1.2
    Shamrock Rovers0.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Dundalk1.8
    Shamrock Rovers60%
    BTTS rate
    Dundalk100%
    Shamrock Rovers40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Dundalk60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Shamrock Rovers

    DWWDW
    Last 53W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 2D 3L
    31 Jul 2026A Drogheda United0-0
    03 Jul 2026A Sligo Rovers2-1
    26 Jun 2026H Galway United3-1
    22 Jun 2026H Derry City1-1
    19 Jun 2026A Waterford2-0

    Dundalk

    DDLLL
    Last 50W 2D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    31 Jul 2026H Sligo Rovers1-1
    24 Jul 2026A St Patrick's Athl.1-1
    10 Jul 2026H Drogheda United1-2
    03 Jul 2026A Shelbourne1-2
    26 Jun 2026H Waterford2-3
    Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 62% · edge +12.3 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Shamrock Rovers5427166519
    4Dundalk4029101091
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 62% · edge +12.3 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 72%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Shamrock Rovers to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Shamrock Rovers3.67
    Avg corners for
    Dundalk6.2
    Shamrock Rovers6.67
    Avg total corners
    Dundalk9.8
    Shamrock Rovers1
    Avg yellow cards
    Dundalk1.8
    Shamrock Rovers13.67
    Avg shots
    Dundalk17.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 52% · edge -1 pts
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Shamrock Rovers wins
    2Draws
    4Dundalk wins
    15 May 2026Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers1-0
    23 Feb 2026Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk1-1
    27 Oct 2024Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers0-1
    04 Jul 2024Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk1-0
    17 May 2024Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers1-0
    16 Feb 2024Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk1-1
    Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 62% · edge +12.3 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 72%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Shamrock Rovers to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premier Division

    Shamrock Rovers27
    Played
    Dundalk29
    Shamrock Rovers1.6
    Avg goals for
    Dundalk1.6
    Shamrock Rovers0.9
    Avg goals against
    Dundalk1.6
    Shamrock Rovers10
    Clean sheets
    Dundalk5
    Market aligned with main pickShamrock Rovers to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 62% · edge +12.3 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Shamrock Rovers Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Season data supports Shamrock Rovers to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5
    60%Dundalk Over 2.5
    1.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Shamrock Rovers sit at 40% and Dundalk sit at 60% with the H2H average at 1.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Shamrock Rovers v Dundalk prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

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