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Dunfermline crestDunfermline
v
Ross County crestRoss County

League Cup | Sat 15 Aug, 15:00

Dunfermline v Ross County Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 21:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Dunfermline and Ross County meet in a tightly poised Scottish League Cup last-16 tie, each boasting impressive scoring records in their respective home and away fixtures. Dunfermline have netted 10 goals in three home matches, while Ross County have matched that tally across four away games, maintaining perfect away wins. Both sides have shown attacking intent and resilience, with Dunfermline unbeaten at East End Park and Ross County undefeated on the road this season. The absence of Dunfermline's goalkeeper Aston Oxborough adds intrigue to the defensive battle, setting the stage for a potentially open and competitive encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Dunfermline scored 10 goals in 3 home matches, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
  • Ross County have won all 4 away matches, scoring 10 goals on the road.
  • Both teams have consistent scoring patterns supporting goals at both ends.
  • Recent head-to-head includes a 2-2 draw, highlighting balanced attacking and defensive traits.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies strong value in Both Teams to Score given Dunfermline's prolific home scoring and Ross County's flawless away goal record. Dunfermline average 3.33 goals per home match, while Ross County have scored in every outing this season, including 10 goals in four away games. Despite Dunfermline's recent clean sheets, the injury to their goalkeeper and Ross County's attacking consistency create a compelling case for goals at both ends. The model's 66.7% chance exceeds the implied market probability, indicating positive value without price warnings.

Dunfermline Home Scoring10 goals in 3 matches (3.33 per game)
Strong positive
Ross County Away Scoring10 goals in 4 matches, 4 wins
Strong positive
Goalkeeper Injury ImpactDunfermline missing Aston Oxborough
Positive
Recent Clean SheetsDunfermline 3 clean sheets in 5 unbeaten games
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have demonstrated strong attacking form, with Dunfermline's home goal-scoring prowess meeting Ross County's perfect away record. The tactical setup and personnel availability suggest an open game where both sides are likely to score, making Both Teams to Score a well-supported selection for this cup tie.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Dunfermline's attacking efficiency at East End Park combined with Ross County's unbeaten away streak creates a dynamic clash where goals at both ends are highly probable. The goalkeeper injury further tilts the balance towards an open contest.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Dunfermline scored 10 goals in 3 home matches, averaging 3.33 goals per game.

Ross County have won all 4 away matches, scoring 10 goals on the road.

Both teams have consistent scoring patterns supporting goals at both ends.

Recent head-to-head includes a 2-2 draw, highlighting balanced attacking and defensive traits.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.9, with recent encounters featuring multiple goals and draws.
  • Both teams' high Over 2.5 rates (75%) in recent matches suggest a tempo and openness conducive to a goal-rich game, supporting the BTTS market.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Dunfermline2.5
Avg goals scored
Ross County2.75
Dunfermline1
Avg goals conceded
Ross County0.75
Dunfermline25%
BTTS rate
Ross County75%
Dunfermline75%
Over 2.5 goals
Ross County75%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +7.9 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Both Dunfermline and Ross County maintain strong scoring records, with Dunfermline averaging over three goals per home match and Ross County scoring in every game this season. The recent 2-2 draw in their head-to-head further underscores the likelihood of goals from both sides, making BTTS a logical expectation.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +7.9 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Ross County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Ross County to WinBetUK guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Dunfermline to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Dunfermline Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively with reflecting a 57.9% implied chance, while the model estimates a higher 66.7% probability, indicating positive value. The current price offers a solid entry point without requiring caution, supported by the consistent scoring trends of both teams.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Dunfermline5
Avg corners for
Ross County6.5
Dunfermline13
Avg total corners
Ross County9.5
Dunfermline4
Avg yellow cards
Ross County3
Dunfermline0
Avg shots
Ross County0

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Dunfermline

WWWL
Last 53W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 1L
26 Jul 2026A ST Mirren1-0
21 Jul 2026H Cove Rangers5-0
14 Jul 2026H Dumbarton4-1
11 Jul 2026A East Kilbride0-3

Ross County

WDWW
Last 53W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 0L
25 Jul 2026A Airdrie United3-0
21 Jul 2026H Dundee1-1
18 Jul 2026H Clyde3-1
11 Jul 2026A Annan Athletic4-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Ross County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Ross County to WinBetUK guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Dunfermline to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Dunfermline Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Dunfermline have accumulated 9 points with a 2.5 goals per game average and a 25% BTTS rate, while Ross County have 10 points, scoring 2.75 goals per game with a 75% BTTS rate. This contrast highlights Ross County's greater consistency in both scoring and conceding, reinforcing the BTTS selection.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Dunfermline wins
2Draws
6Ross County wins
21 Mar 2026Ross County v Dunfermline2-2
03 Mar 2026Dunfermline v Ross County3-0
25 Oct 2025Ross County v Dunfermline3-2
30 Aug 2025Dunfermline v Ross County2-2
16 Jul 2022Ross County v Dunfermline1-0
09 Apr 2019Ross County v Dunfermline1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +7.9 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Ross County to WinBetUK guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Dunfermline to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
The head-to-head record shows a balanced rivalry with three wins for Ross County, one for Dunfermline, and two draws in the last six matches. The recent 2-2 draw highlights the competitive nature and mutual scoring ability, providing historical support for both teams to score in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League Cup

Dunfermline5
Played
Ross County5
Dunfermline2.2
Avg goals for
Ross County2.8
Dunfermline1.2
Avg goals against
Ross County0.8
Dunfermline2
Clean sheets
Ross County1
Best odds for this sectionRoss County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 46% · edge +12.6 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Ross County to WinBetUK guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Dunfermline to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Dunfermline Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
Dunfermline's season stats show a potent home attack with 10 goals in three matches and a solid defensive record of only two conceded. Ross County's away stats mirror this offensive strength with 10 goals in four matches, though they concede slightly more, aligning with the expectation of goals at both ends.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Dunfermline Over 2.5
75%Ross County Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.9, with recent encounters featuring multiple goals and draws. Both teams' high Over 2.5 rates (75%) in recent matches suggest a tempo and openness conducive to a goal-rich game, supporting the BTTS market.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.