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SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg
v
VfL Wolfsburg crestVfL Wolfsburg

Bundesliga | Sun 03 May, 18:30

SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 2.75, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 36% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +33.6-point value edge.
  • SC Freiburg have scored in 80% of the recent sample and VfL Wolfsburg have scored in 60%, with BTTS rates of 60% and 60%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: SC Freiburg have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: VfL Wolfsburg have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.75, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +33.6 pts
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 67%
2.45
Bet HERE @ 2.45
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

80%SC Freiburg Over 2.5
60%VfL Wolfsburg Over 2.5
3.7H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

SC Freiburg

LWWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
26 Apr 2026A Borussia Dortmund0-4
19 Apr 2026H 1. FC Heidenheim2-1
12 Apr 2026A FSV Mainz 051-0
04 Apr 2026H Bayern München2-3
22 Mar 2026A FC St. Pauli2-1

VfL Wolfsburg

DWLLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
25 Apr 2026H Borussia Mönchengladbach0-0
18 Apr 2026A Union Berlin2-1
11 Apr 2026H Eintracht Frankfurt1-2
04 Apr 2026A Bayer Leverkusen3-6
21 Mar 2026H Werder Bremen0-1
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 41% · edge +25.7 pts
2.45
Bet HERE @ 2.45
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

SC Freiburg1.4
Avg goals scored
VfL Wolfsburg1.2
SC Freiburg1.8
Avg goals conceded
VfL Wolfsburg2
SC Freiburg60%
BTTS rate
VfL Wolfsburg60%
SC Freiburg80%
Over 2.5 goals
VfL Wolfsburg60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +33.6 pts
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

7SC Freiburg wins
0Draws
3VfL Wolfsburg wins
20 Dec 2025VfL Wolfsburg v SC Freiburg3-4
26 Apr 2025VfL Wolfsburg v SC Freiburg0-1
13 Dec 2024SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg3-2
27 Apr 2024SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg1-2
09 Dec 2023VfL Wolfsburg v SC Freiburg0-1
22 Jul 2023SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg2-3
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +33.6 pts
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Home WinBetfred guide price · model 67%
2.45
Bet HERE @ 2.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

SC Freiburg3.2
Avg corners for
VfL Wolfsburg5.8
SC Freiburg8.4
Avg total corners
VfL Wolfsburg13.6
SC Freiburg1.6
Avg yellow cards
VfL Wolfsburg2
SC Freiburg12
Avg shots
VfL Wolfsburg12.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 55% · edge +14.4 pts
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.98
Bet HERE @ 1.98
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleD. Pejčinović Anytime GoalscorerD. Pejčinović · 7 goals · 1.24 SOT/90
77/100
Bet HERE
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K. Shiogai 1+ Shot On TargetK. Shiogai · 1.78 shots on target/90
82/100
Bet HERE
K. Shiogai 2+ ShotsK. Shiogai · 2.38 shots/90
74/100
Bet HERE
C. Eriksen To Assist / Key Pass AngleC. Eriksen · 8 assists · 2.23 key passes/90
70/100
Bet HERE
J. Manzambi To Be FouledJ. Manzambi · 3.35 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Cyriaque Kalou Irié Card RiskCyriaque Kalou Irié · 3 yellows · 2.89 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
D. Pejčinović
D. PejčinovićVfL Wolfsburg · Attacker
Goal threat68/100
Shots /902.35
SOT /901.24
I. Matanović
I. MatanovićSC Freiburg · Attacker
Goal threat65/100
Shots /902.2
SOT /901.03
M. Amoura
M. AmouraVfL Wolfsburg · Attacker
Goal threat61/100
Shots /902.33
SOT /900.88
K. Shiogai
K. ShiogaiVfL Wolfsburg · Attacker
Goal threat49/100
Shots /902.38
SOT /901.78
J. Lindstrøm
J. LindstrømVfL Wolfsburg · Midfielder
Goal threat27/100
Shots /901.62
SOT /901.16
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
Cyriaque Kalou IriéSC Freiburg · Attacker
Goal threat18/100
Shots /901.57
SOT /900.52
M. Svanberg
M. SvanbergVfL Wolfsburg · Midfielder
Goal threat41/100
Shots /901.48
SOT /900.8
M. Jenz
M. JenzVfL Wolfsburg · Defender
Goal threat14/100
Shots /900.1
SOT /900.05
Season team stats

Bundesliga

SC Freiburg32
Played
VfL Wolfsburg32
SC Freiburg1.4
Avg goals for
VfL Wolfsburg1.3
SC Freiburg1.7
Avg goals against
VfL Wolfsburg2.1
SC Freiburg6
Clean sheets
VfL Wolfsburg2
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 41% · edge +25.7 pts
2.45
Bet HERE @ 2.45
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7SC Freiburg443212812-8
16VfL Wolfsburg26326818-25

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.