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SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg
v
VfL Wolfsburg crestVfL Wolfsburg

Bundesliga | Sun 03 May, 18:30

SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg Stats

Data last updated: Fri 26 Jun 2026, 06:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

SC Freiburg face VfL Wolfsburg in Bundesliga on Sun 03 May, 18:30. SC Freiburg come in with 9 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while VfL Wolfsburg have 4 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 2.75, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 36%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • SC Freiburg show a 60% BTTS rate and VfL Wolfsburg show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • SC Freiburg average 1.4 goals scored and VfL Wolfsburg average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 36% implied by the current price. SC Freiburg show a 60% BTTS rate and VfL Wolfsburg show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 36% implied
Strong positive
SC Freiburg show a 60% BTTS rate and VfL Wolfsburg.Visible data support
Positive
SC Freiburg average 1.4 goals scored and VfL Wolfsburg average.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers SC Freiburg show a 60% BTTS rate and VfL Wolfsburg show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

SC Freiburg show a 60% BTTS rate and VfL Wolfsburg show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

SC Freiburg average 1.4 goals scored and VfL Wolfsburg average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

SC Freiburg1.4
Avg goals scored
VfL Wolfsburg1.2
SC Freiburg1.8
Avg goals conceded
VfL Wolfsburg2
SC Freiburg60%
BTTS rate
VfL Wolfsburg60%
SC Freiburg80%
Over 2.5 goals
VfL Wolfsburg60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +33.6 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +33.6 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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SC Freiburg to WinBetfred guide price · model 67%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
SC Freiburg Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
VfL Wolfsburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

SC Freiburg3.2
Avg corners for
VfL Wolfsburg5.8
SC Freiburg8.4
Avg total corners
VfL Wolfsburg13.6
SC Freiburg1.6
Avg yellow cards
VfL Wolfsburg2
SC Freiburg12
Avg shots
VfL Wolfsburg12.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 55% · edge +14.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

SC Freiburg

LWWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
26 Apr 2026A Borussia Dortmund0-4
19 Apr 2026H 1. FC Heidenheim2-1
12 Apr 2026A FSV Mainz 051-0
04 Apr 2026H Bayern München2-3
22 Mar 2026A FC St. Pauli2-1

VfL Wolfsburg

DWLLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
25 Apr 2026H Borussia Mönchengladbach0-0
18 Apr 2026A Union Berlin2-1
11 Apr 2026H Eintracht Frankfurt1-2
04 Apr 2026A Bayer Leverkusen3-6
21 Mar 2026H Werder Bremen0-1
Best odds for this sectionSC Freiburg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 41% · edge +25.7 pts
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Load more odds for this section
SC Freiburg Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
VfL Wolfsburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
VfL Wolfsburg to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7SC Freiburg wins
0Draws
3VfL Wolfsburg wins
20 Dec 2025VfL Wolfsburg v SC Freiburg3-4
26 Apr 2025VfL Wolfsburg v SC Freiburg0-1
13 Dec 2024SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg3-2
27 Apr 2024SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg1-2
09 Dec 2023VfL Wolfsburg v SC Freiburg0-1
22 Jul 2023SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg2-3
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 36% · edge +33.6 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
SC Freiburg to WinBetfred guide price · model 67%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 23%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
VfL Wolfsburg to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Bundesliga

SC Freiburg34
Played
VfL Wolfsburg36
SC Freiburg1.5
Avg goals for
VfL Wolfsburg1.3
SC Freiburg1.7
Avg goals against
VfL Wolfsburg2
SC Freiburg6
Clean sheets
VfL Wolfsburg3
Best odds for this sectionSC Freiburg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 41% · edge +25.7 pts
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Load more odds for this section
SC Freiburg Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
VfL Wolfsburg Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
VfL Wolfsburg to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Season data supports SC Freiburg to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7SC Freiburg473413813-6
16VfL Wolfsburg29347819-24
SC Freiburg sit in position 7, while VfL Wolfsburg sit in position 16, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%SC Freiburg Over 2.5
60%VfL Wolfsburg Over 2.5
3.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: SC Freiburg sit at 80% and VfL Wolfsburg sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Next step

Betting context

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