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SV Elversberg crestSV Elversberg
v
SV Darmstadt 98 crestSV Darmstadt 98

DFB Pokal | Tue 27 Oct, 19:45

SV Elversberg v SV Darmstadt 98 Stats

Data last updated: Mon 26 Oct 2026, 08:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This DFB Pokal clash between SV Elversberg and SV Darmstadt 98 promises an open and attacking encounter. Both teams have shown a strong propensity for high-scoring games recently, with each side averaging over 3 goals per match in their latest fixtures. SV Elversberg's aggressive offensive style meets Darmstadt's effective forward play, setting the stage for a lively contest where goal-scoring opportunities are expected to be plentiful. The cup format adds intensity, increasing the likelihood of an open game as both sides seek progression.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Both SV Elversberg and SV Darmstadt 98 have recorded 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
  • The average goals per game in their seven head-to-head meetings is 3.14, supporting a high-scoring trend.
  • SV Elversberg averages 15 shots and 6 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking intent.
  • Darmstadt contributes an average of 13 shots and 5 corners per match, showing consistent offensive pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 58% probability to Over 3.5 Goals, reflecting the attacking tendencies of both teams. Recent form data shows both sides consistently participate in high-scoring matches, each boasting a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate. The head-to-head average of over 3 goals per game further supports this outlook. The price at 2.25 offers positive value with a 13.6% edge, making this an attractive bet given the offensive profiles and match context. No data limitations reduce in this projection.

Recent Over 2.5 Goals Rate100% for both teams
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.14 goals per game
Positive
Shots and Shots on TargetHigh averages for both teams
Strong positive
Price Value Edge58% model chance vs 44.4% implied (+13.6 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking match as SV Elversberg and SV Darmstadt 98 both have shown strong offensive form recently. The high volume of shots and historical goal averages suggest multiple goals are likely, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling selection for this cup tie.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Offensive strength and goal-scoring trends

“Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking play and a tendency for high-scoring games, which aligns well with the Over 3.5 Goals pick in this fixture. The offensive metrics and recent performances strongly indicate a lively, goal-filled encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Both SV Elversberg and SV Darmstadt 98 have recorded 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

The average goals per game in their seven head-to-head meetings is 3.14, supporting a high-scoring trend.

SV Elversberg averages 15 shots and 6 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking intent.

Darmstadt contributes an average of 13 shots and 5 corners per match, showing consistent offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.14, indicating a historical pattern of open, high-scoring encounters.
  • This trend over a meaningful sample supports the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture, driven by attacking tempo and defensive vulnerabilities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

SV Elversberg3
Avg goals scored
SV Darmstadt 982
SV Elversberg1
Avg goals conceded
SV Darmstadt 981
SV Elversberg100%
BTTS rate
SV Darmstadt 98100%
SV Elversberg100%
Over 2.5 goals
SV Darmstadt 98100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 44% · edge +13.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Both SV Elversberg and SV Darmstadt 98 have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently, with both teams consistently scoring. The head-to-head average of 3.14 goals per game further confirms the tendency for open matches with goals at both ends, indicating a strong route to Over 3.5 Goals.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
SV Darmstadt 98 Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
SV Elversberg Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
SV Elversberg to WinBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
SV Darmstadt 98 to WinBet365 guide price · model 17%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 21%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 44.4% implied by the current price (+13.6 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for SV Elversberg and 100% for SV Darmstadt 98, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

SV Elversberg

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
22 Aug 2026A MSV Duisburg3-1

SV Darmstadt 98

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
23 Aug 2026A FC Carl Zeiss Jena2-1
Best odds for this sectionSV Darmstadt 98 Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 83%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
SV Elversberg Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
SV Elversberg to WinBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
SV Darmstadt 98 to WinBet365 guide price · model 17%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 21%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Recent form data shows both teams have scored multiple goals in their last matches, with SV Elversberg and Darmstadt each having a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate. This consistent high-scoring trend underlines the likelihood of an open game with several goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%SV Elversberg Over 2.5
100%SV Darmstadt 98 Over 2.5
3.14H2H avg goals
Over the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.14, indicating a historical pattern of open, high-scoring encounters. This trend over a meaningful sample supports the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture, driven by attacking tempo and defensive vulnerabilities.

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