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Borussia Mönchengladbach crestBorussia Mönchengladbach
v
Karlsruher SC crestKarlsruher SC

DFB Pokal | Tue 27 Oct, 19:45

Borussia Mönchengladbach v Karlsruher SC Stats

Data last updated: Mon 26 Oct 2026, 08:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Borussia Mönchengladbach hosts Karlsruher SC in this DFB Pokal clash, both sides showing attacking intent in recent matches. Borussia Mönchengladbach has scored five goals in their last three outings without conceding, while Karlsruher SC has netted twice and kept one clean sheet. Both teams have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently, indicating an open game likely to produce multiple goals. The cup setting adds urgency, with both sides expected to push forward aggressively to secure progression.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Borussia Mönchengladbach and Karlsruher SC both have 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches.
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach scored 5 goals and conceded none in last three games.
  • Karlsruher SC scored 2 goals and conceded 1 in recent form.
  • Average shots per game: 30 for Borussia Mönchengladbach, 15 for Karlsruher SC, indicating offensive pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 3.5 Goals with a 58% chance, reflecting both teams' strong recent scoring and attacking statistics. Borussia Mönchengladbach's prolific shot volume and high shots on target per 90 minutes, combined with Karlsruher SC's willingness to engage offensively, support a high-scoring encounter. The single previous meeting averaged 4 goals, reinforcing the likelihood of multiple goals. No price warning is needed as the offer positive value with an 8% edge and good .

Recent scoring ratesHigh goals scored and over 2.5 goals in all recent matches
Strong positive
Shot volume and qualityBorussia Mönchengladbach averages 30 shots with 13 on target per game
Strong positive
Head-to-head goalsSingle previous match averaged 4 goals
Positive
Price value58% model chance vs 50% implied (+8 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking DFB Pokal tie with Borussia Mönchengladbach's offensive firepower and Karlsruher SC's recent goal-scoring form. The data indicates a match likely to feature multiple goals, driven by both teams' high shot volumes and recent over 2.5 goals trends. This match should provide plenty of goalmouth action and scoring chances.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking roles and shot volume

“Borussia Mönchengladbach's midfielders, especially H. Bolin, create numerous shooting opportunities, while Karlsruher SC's attacking players maintain pressure, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling angle in this cup tie.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Borussia Mönchengladbach and Karlsruher SC both have 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches.

Borussia Mönchengladbach scored 5 goals and conceded none in last three games.

Karlsruher SC scored 2 goals and conceded 1 in recent form.

Average shots per game: 30 for Borussia Mönchengladbach, 15 for Karlsruher SC, indicating offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • The last five matches for both teams have consistently featured over 2.5 goals, with Borussia Mönchengladbach maintaining a 100% rate and Karlsruher SC matching it.
  • The single head-to-head meeting also averaged 4 goals, indicating a trend toward high-tempo, goal-rich encounters.
  • This trend supports expectations for an open game with multiple scoring chances and goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Borussia Mönchengladbach5
Avg goals scored
Karlsruher SC2
Borussia Mönchengladbach0
Avg goals conceded
Karlsruher SC1
Borussia Mönchengladbach0%
BTTS rate
Karlsruher SC100%
Borussia Mönchengladbach100%
Over 2.5 goals
Karlsruher SC100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +8 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Both teams have consistently contributed to high-scoring games recently, with Borussia Mönchengladbach showing a 100% over 2.5 goals rate and Karlsruher SC matching that. However, Borussia Mönchengladbach has a 0% BTTS rate, suggesting they often keep clean sheets, while Karlsruher SC concedes more. This dynamic points to a match with multiple goals but possibly fewer conceded by the home side, supporting a high total goals market.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +8.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Karlsruher SC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 39%
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Borussia Mönchengladbach Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Borussia Mönchengladbach to WinBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
5
Check odds @ 5
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+8 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 100% for Karlsruher SC, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Borussia Mönchengladbach

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
23 Aug 2026A Schott Mainz5-0

Karlsruher SC

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
21 Aug 2026A Preußen Münster2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 31% · edge +14.2 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Karlsruher SC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 39%
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Borussia Mönchengladbach Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Borussia Mönchengladbach to WinBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
5
Check odds @ 5
Karlsruher SC to WinBetfred guide price · model 14%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Recent form strongly favors a high-scoring match, with both teams achieving 100% over 2.5 goals in their last three games. Borussia Mönchengladbach's offense has been prolific, scoring five goals and conceding none, while Karlsruher SC has also been involved in open games, scoring twice and conceding once. This form data underpins the expectation of multiple goals in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Borussia Mönchengladbach Over 2.5
100%Karlsruher SC Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
The last five matches for both teams have consistently featured over 2.5 goals, with Borussia Mönchengladbach maintaining a 100% rate and Karlsruher SC matching it. The single head-to-head meeting also averaged 4 goals, indicating a trend toward high-tempo, goal-rich encounters. This trend supports expectations for an open game with multiple scoring chances and goals.

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