Football Stats Hub

Union Santa Fe crestUnion Santa Fe
v
Estudiantes L.P. crestEstudiantes L.P.

Liga Profesional Argentina | Mon 26 Oct, 22:00

Union Santa Fe v Estudiantes L.P. Stats

Data last updated: Sun 25 Oct 2026, 07:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Liga Profesional Argentina fixture features Union Santa Fe hosting Estudiantes L.P., both sitting mid-table with 14 points each but separated by one position. Estudiantes arrives with stronger recent form, having collected 7 points in their last matches compared to Union's single point. Estudiantes' attack has been more productive, averaging 1.8 goals per game, while Union has struggled offensively, scoring just 0.6 per match. The tactical setup suggests Estudiantes will press for control and capitalize on their sharper finishing to break down Union's defense, making this a key clash for both sides to improve their league standing.

BT4Y best bet

Estudiantes L.P. to Win

  • has a 70% to win, with offering strong value at 3.2.
  • Estudiantes averages 1.8 goals per game, significantly higher than Union's 0.6, indicating better attacking form.
  • Both teams have a high BTTS rate, with Estudiantes at 80% and Union at 60%, suggesting goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.
  • Estudiantes shows a slight edge in shots on target per game (5.6 vs. 4.2), reflecting more accurate offensive pressure.
  • Recent form favors Estudiantes with 7 points gained recently versus Union's 1 point, highlighting momentum advantage.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Estudiantes L.P. to win due to their superior recent form, stronger offensive output averaging 1.8 goals per game, and better shot accuracy with 5.6 shots on target per match. The at 3.2 provide positive value against the implied 31.3% chance, reflecting a 38.7% . This combination of momentum, attacking efficiency, and price attractiveness underpins the in Estudiantes securing victory in this fixture.

Recent FormEstudiantes earned 7 points recently vs. Union's 1
Strong positive
Goals ForEstudiantes 1.8 goals/game vs. Union 0.6
Strong positive
Shots on TargetEstudiantes 5.6 SOT/game vs. Union 4.2
Positive
Odds Value Edge51.4% model chance vs 36.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
BTTS RateEstudiantes 80%, Union 60%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

appears tactically and statistically better positioned to claim victory, leveraging their recent momentum and more effective attacking play. Their higher goal-scoring rate and shot accuracy suggest they can break down Union Santa Fe's defense, making them the favored side to win this encounter.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match outcome

“Estudiantes L.P.'s recent attacking efficiency and form momentum give them a clear edge in this matchup, especially considering Union Santa Fe's struggles to score consistently at home.”

Key Data Signals

Estudiantes L.P. to Win evidence

Has a 70% to win, with offering strong value at 3.2.

Estudiantes averages 1.8 goals per game, significantly higher than Union's 0.6, indicating better attacking form.

Both teams have a high BTTS rate, with Estudiantes at 80% and Union at 60%, suggesting goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

Estudiantes shows a slight edge in shots on target per game (5.6 vs. 4.2), reflecting more accurate offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Estudiantes L.P. to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.2, indicating a moderately open fixture historically.
  • Estudiantes' 100% Over 2.5 goals rate this season suggests a high-tempo game with attacking intent, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals and an engaging contest.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Union Santa Fe0.6
Avg goals scored
Estudiantes L.P.1.8
Union Santa Fe2
Avg goals conceded
Estudiantes L.P.1.4
Union Santa Fe60%
BTTS rate
Estudiantes L.P.80%
Union Santa Fe60%
Over 2.5 goals
Estudiantes L.P.100%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 83% vs implied 74% · edge +9.8 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
1.65
Check odds @ 1.65
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede goals, with Estudiantes boasting an 80% BTTS rate and Union 60%. Estudiantes' higher average goals per game (1.8) and Union's defensive vulnerability (2 goals conceded per game) suggest a match likely to feature goals at both ends, supporting an open and attacking contest.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickEstudiantes L.P. to WinBetUK guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Estudiantes L.P. Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2
Check odds @ 2
The 51.4% for Estudiantes L.P. To Win sits against roughly 36.4% implied by the current price (+15 pts). To Win sits against roughly 36% implied by the current price. Have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 1 for Union Santa Fe.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Union Santa Fe

DLLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
20 Oct 2026A Deportivo Riestra1-1
10 Oct 2026H Defensa Y Justicia0-2
03 Oct 2026A Boca Juniors0-3
19 Sep 2026H Independiente1-2
13 Sep 2026A Talleres Cordoba1-2

Estudiantes L.P.

LDWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
18 Oct 2026H San Lorenzo1-2
10 Oct 2026A Central Cordoba de Santiago2-2
05 Oct 2026H Gimnasia M.3-0
22 Sep 2026A Lanus1-2
12 Sep 2026H Platense2-1
Market aligned with main pickEstudiantes L.P. to WinBetUK guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Estudiantes L.P. Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
has demonstrated superior recent form, accumulating 7 points compared to Union Santa Fe's 1 point in their latest matches. This momentum reflects improved attacking efficiency and defensive resilience, positioning Estudiantes as the more confident and in-form side heading into this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Union Santa Fe Over 2.5
100%Estudiantes L.P. Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.2, indicating a moderately open fixture historically. Estudiantes' 100% Over 2.5 goals rate this season suggests a high-tempo game with attacking intent, increasing the likelihood of multiple goals and an engaging contest.

Loading deeper match data…