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Virtus Entella crestVirtus Entella
v
Avellino crestAvellino

Serie B | Tue 27 Oct, 19:00

Virtus Entella v Avellino Stats

Data last updated: Mon 26 Oct 2026, 08:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Virtus Entella and Avellino meet in a Serie B clash where both sides have shown attacking intent but also defensive vulnerabilities. Virtus Entella averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 0.8 per game, while Avellino matches the scoring rate but concedes more at 1.4 goals per match. Recent form indicates both teams have found the net consistently, with Avellino boasting a higher BTTS rate of 80%. This fixture promises open play and goal-scoring opportunities, with both teams eager to climb the standings and maintain momentum.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have strong BTTS rates: Virtus Entella 60%, Avellino 80%.
  • Both sides average 1.4 goals scored per game, indicating attacking balance.
  • Avellino concedes 1.4 goals per match, suggesting defensive frailties.
  • Recent form shows both teams scoring regularly, supporting BTTS likelihood.
  • H2H average goals stand at 2.14, reflecting a history of goals in this fixture.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 51.3%, indicating strong value. Both Virtus Entella and Avellino demonstrate consistent attacking output and defensive lapses that favor goals at both ends. Avellino's high BTTS rate (80%) and Virtus Entella's balanced scoring and conceding profile support this. The match context of open play and recent scoring trends further reinforce the likelihood of goals from both sides. No data limitations or price warnings affect this confident selection.

Model Probability66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Virtus Entella BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Avellino BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Scoring FormBoth teams scoring regularly
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Virtus Entella and Avellino have shown consistent attacking threat and defensive vulnerabilities, making both teams to score a logical pick. The data highlights Avellino's particularly high BTTS rate and Virtus Entella's balanced goal stats, suggesting an open game with goals at both ends. This bet aligns with tactical openness and recent form.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“The attacking profiles and defensive lapses of both Virtus Entella and Avellino create a strong case for both teams finding the net. Their recent scoring consistency and open playing styles make BTTS a compelling market for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have strong BTTS rates: Virtus Entella 60%, Avellino 80%.

Both sides average 1.4 goals scored per game, indicating attacking balance.

Avellino concedes 1.4 goals per match, suggesting defensive frailties.

Recent form shows both teams scoring regularly, supporting BTTS likelihood.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last seven head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.14, indicating a moderate scoring tempo.
  • Both teams' recent matches show a 40% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, suggesting that while not overly high-scoring, the fixture often features multiple goals, supporting an open game with chances for both teams to score.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Virtus Entella1.4
Avg goals scored
Avellino1.4
Virtus Entella0.8
Avg goals conceded
Avellino1.4
Virtus Entella60%
BTTS rate
Avellino80%
Virtus Entella40%
Over 2.5 goals
Avellino40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 28%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams average 1.4 goals scored per game and have BTTS rates of 60% (Virtus Entella) and 80% (Avellino), highlighting their offensive capabilities and defensive openness. The head-to-head average of 2.14 goals per match further supports a fixture prone to goals from both sides, reinforcing the BTTS angle.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Virtus Entella

LWDDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 3L
24 Oct 2026H Mantova0-1
17 Oct 2026A Padova2-1
10 Oct 2026H Juve Stabia1-1
19 Sep 2026A Cremonese0-0
11 Sep 2026A Pisa4-1

Avellino

LDWLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 3L
24 Oct 2026H Padova0-1
18 Oct 2026A Cesena1-1
09 Oct 2026H Sampdoria4-1
19 Sep 2026A Ascoli1-3
13 Sep 2026H Palermo1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 84% vs implied 80% · edge +3.8 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Load more odds for this section
Virtus Entella to WinBetUK guide price · model 59%
2
Check odds @ 2
Virtus Entella Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Avellino Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Avellino to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Recent form data shows Virtus Entella scoring 1.4 goals per game and conceding 0.8, while Avellino matches the scoring rate but concedes 1.4 goals per match. Both teams have maintained BTTS rates above 60%, with Avellino notably at 80%, indicating a trend of both sides scoring in recent matches, supporting the BTTS pick.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Virtus Entella to WinBetUK guide price · model 59%
2
Check odds @ 2
Virtus Entella Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Avellino Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Avellino to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
The 66.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 51.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Virtus Entella show a 60% BTTS rate and Avellino show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Virtus Entella Over 2.5
40%Avellino Over 2.5
2.14H2H avg goals
In the last seven head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.14, indicating a moderate scoring tempo. Both teams' recent matches show a 40% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, suggesting that while not overly high-scoring, the fixture often features multiple goals, supporting an open game with chances for both teams to score.

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