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Altrincham crestAltrincham
v
Kidderminster Harriers crestKidderminster Harriers

National League | Tue 27 Oct, 19:45

Altrincham v Kidderminster Harriers Stats

Data last updated: Mon 26 Oct 2026, 12:42 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Altrincham hosts Kidderminster Harriers in a National League clash where recent form heavily favors the home side. Altrincham has collected 12 points in their last matches, showing strong attacking intent and defensive solidity, while Kidderminster has struggled with just 2 points and a less effective offense. The fixture presents a clear opportunity for Altrincham to capitalize on their momentum and home advantage, with tactical discipline and sharper finishing likely to be decisive in securing victory.

BT4Y best bet

Altrincham to Win

  • Altrincham has earned 12 points recently compared to Kidderminster's 2, indicating superior form.
  • Altrincham averages 2 goals scored per game recently, showing strong attacking output.
  • Kidderminster concedes 1.4 goals per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Altrincham ranks 5th in the league with 27 points, well ahead of Kidderminster's 12th place and 20 points.
  • Altrincham's over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, pointing to frequent high-scoring matches at home.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 74% chance for Altrincham to win, reflecting their strong recent form and home advantage. Their superior goal-scoring rate and defensive stability contrast with Kidderminster's struggles, creating a clear statistical edge. The current of 1.9 offer positive value given the model's implied probability of 52.6%, making this a compelling selection based on both data and football context.

Recent form pointsAltrincham 12 vs Kidderminster 2
Strong positive
Goal scoring rateAltrincham 2.0 goals/game
Strong positive
Defensive recordKidderminster concedes 1.4 goals/game
Positive
League positionAltrincham 5th vs Kidderminster 12th
Positive
Value edge67.6% model chance vs 52.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Altrincham's recent form and home standing make them the clear favorite to secure victory. Their ability to score consistently and maintain defensive discipline contrasts with Kidderminster's struggles, suggesting a tactical and statistical advantage that should translate into a win.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Altrincham's blend of attacking efficiency and defensive resilience creates a strong foundation for victory, especially given Kidderminster's recent difficulties in both areas.”

Key Data Signals

Altrincham to Win evidence

Altrincham has earned 12 points recently compared to Kidderminster's 2, indicating superior form.

Altrincham averages 2 goals scored per game recently, showing strong attacking output.

Kidderminster concedes 1.4 goals per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

Altrincham ranks 5th in the league with 27 points, well ahead of Kidderminster's 12th place and 20 points.

What To Watch In The Data

Altrincham to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.4, aligning with Altrincham's high over 2.5 goals rate.
  • This trend suggests a fixture prone to multiple goals, driven by attacking tempo and defensive gaps, particularly favoring the home side's offensive approach.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Altrincham2
Avg goals scored
Kidderminster Harriers0.6
Altrincham1
Avg goals conceded
Kidderminster Harriers1.4
Altrincham60%
BTTS rate
Kidderminster Harriers60%
Altrincham80%
Over 2.5 goals
Kidderminster Harriers40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Altrincham's matches have a high over 2.5 goals rate of 80%, indicating open games with multiple scoring opportunities. Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, suggesting that goals from both sides are likely, supporting an attacking game scenario.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAltrincham to WinBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Altrincham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
The 67.6% for Altrincham to Win sits against roughly 52.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Altrincham have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 2 for Kidderminster Harriers.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Altrincham

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 0D 2L
24 Oct 2026A Yeovil Town2-1
10 Oct 2026H Aldershot Town3-1
03 Oct 2026A Boreham Wood1-3
29 Sep 2026A Gateshead1-0
26 Sep 2026H AFC Hornchurch3-0

Kidderminster Harriers

LDDLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
24 Oct 2026H Worthing1-2
10 Oct 2026A Carlisle0-0
03 Oct 2026H Sutton Utd1-1
29 Sep 2026A Boreham Wood1-3
26 Sep 2026H Yeovil Town0-1
Market aligned with main pickAltrincham to WinBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Altrincham Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Altrincham's recent accumulation of 12 points contrasts sharply with Kidderminster's 2 points, reflecting superior form and . The home side's ability to score twice per game while conceding less than one goal highlights their balanced performance and readiness to control the match tempo.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Altrincham Over 2.5
40%Kidderminster Harriers Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.4, aligning with Altrincham's high over 2.5 goals rate. This trend suggests a fixture prone to multiple goals, driven by attacking tempo and defensive gaps, particularly favoring the home side's offensive approach.

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