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Cesena crestCesena
v
Empoli crestEmpoli

Serie B | Tue 27 Oct, 19:00

Cesena v Empoli Stats

Data last updated: Mon 26 Oct 2026, 08:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cesena and Empoli meet in a Serie B clash where both sides have struggled defensively but shown attacking intent. Cesena sits 15th with 8 points, while Empoli is just below in 16th with 7 points, highlighting a tight relegation battle. Both teams average less than a goal per game but have a 60% rate of matches with both teams scoring, indicating open games despite defensive frailties. Recent form shows Cesena with slightly better points, but both sides have conceded heavily, setting up a contest likely to feature goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, showing frequent mutual scoring.
  • Cesena concedes 1.8 goals per game, Empoli concedes 2, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Average shots per game are high: Cesena 11.8, Empoli 10.8, supporting attacking chances.
  • H2H matches average 3.57 goals, suggesting open games with scoring from both sides.
  • Key players like C. Shpendi provide goal threats for their teams.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 73.3% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied chance of 58.8%, indicating strong value. Both Cesena and Empoli have a 60% BTTS rate this season, supported by their defensive records conceding nearly two goals per game each. The attacking output, combined with high shot volumes and historical head-to-head averages of 3.57 goals, underpins the expectation of goals at both ends. This data-driven view aligns with the tactical openness and defensive struggles seen in recent matches, making BTTS a compelling selection.

BTTS rate60% for both teams
Strong positive
Goals conceded per gameCesena 1.8, Empoli 2.0
Strong positive
Average shots per gameCesena 11.8, Empoli 10.8
Positive
H2H average goals3.57 goals per match
Positive
Model chance vs implied odds73.3% model chance vs 58.8% implied (+14.5 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown defensive frailties but maintain attacking threat, making both teams to score a logical pick. Cesena's slightly better recent form and Empoli's offensive players like S. Shpendi suggest goals at both ends. The data supports an open game with mutual scoring chances, fitting the BTTS selection well.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture features two sides with defensive vulnerabilities but clear attacking intent, making both teams to score a strong tactical and statistical call.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, showing frequent mutual scoring.

Cesena concedes 1.8 goals per game, Empoli concedes 2, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Average shots per game are high: Cesena 11.8, Empoli 10.8, supporting attacking chances.

H2H matches average 3.57 goals, suggesting open games with scoring from both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.57, indicating open, attacking games.
  • Both teams have a 40% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, suggesting a moderate frequency of higher-scoring matches.
  • The tempo and attacking patterns in these fixtures favor the possibility of multiple goals, reinforcing the BTTS and Over 2.5 goals narratives.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cesena

LDLDD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 5D 2L
24 Oct 2026A Modena0-3
18 Oct 2026H Avellino1-1
10 Oct 2026A Benevento0-2
18 Sep 2026A Juve Stabia1-1
12 Sep 2026H Cremonese2-2

Empoli

LDLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 5L
23 Oct 2026H Vicenza Virtus0-2
17 Oct 2026A Ascoli1-1
10 Oct 2026H Palermo2-4
20 Sep 2026A Modena1-2
11 Sep 2026H Arezzo0-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 80% vs implied 75% · edge +4.3 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
Cesena to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Cesena Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Empoli to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Empoli Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Recent form shows Cesena earning 3 points with 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, while Empoli has 1 point with similar scoring (0.8) but slightly worse defense (2 goals conceded). Both teams have a 40% rate of Over 2.5 Goals matches, indicating occasional high-scoring games. The form data supports an open contest with goals expected from both sides, aligning with the BTTS selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cesena0.8
Avg goals scored
Empoli0.8
Cesena1.8
Avg goals conceded
Empoli2
Cesena60%
BTTS rate
Empoli60%
Cesena40%
Over 2.5 goals
Empoli40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 59% · edge +14.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 33%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, reflecting frequent mutual scoring. Cesena and Empoli concede nearly two goals per game each, and their head-to-head average of 3.57 goals suggests open matches. These factors combined indicate a strong likelihood of goals from both sides, with attacking players regularly finding opportunities despite defensive lapses.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 59% · edge +14.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Cesena to WinBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Cesena Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Empoli to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Empoli Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
The 73.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 58.8% implied by the current price (+14.5 pts). Cesena show a 60% BTTS rate and Empoli show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Cesena Over 2.5
40%Empoli Over 2.5
3.57H2H avg goals
In the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.57, indicating open, attacking games. Both teams have a 40% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, suggesting a moderate frequency of higher-scoring matches. The tempo and attacking patterns in these fixtures favor the possibility of multiple goals, reinforcing the BTTS and Over 2.5 goals narratives.

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