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Rot-Weiß Essen crestRot-Weiß Essen
v
RB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig

DFB Pokal | Tue 27 Oct, 17:00

Rot-Weiß Essen v RB Leipzig Stats

Data last updated: Mon 26 Oct 2026, 08:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rot-Weiß Essen face RB Leipzig in DFB Pokal on Tue 27 Oct, 17:00. Rot-Weiß Essen come in with 3 recent points and 2 goals per match, while RB Leipzig have 3 points and 6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS No

  • At 1.95, BTTS No implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • Rot-Weiß Essen show a 0% BTTS rate and RB Leipzig show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Rot-Weiß Essen average 2 goals scored and RB Leipzig average 6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for BTTS No sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. Rot-Weiß Essen show a 0% BTTS rate and RB Leipzig show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 51% implied
Strong positive
Rot-Weiß Essen show a 0% BTTS rate and RB Leipzig.Visible data support
Positive
Rot-Weiß Essen average 2 goals scored and RB Leipzig average.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: BTTS No is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Rot-Weiß Essen show a 0% BTTS rate and RB Leipzig show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

BTTS No evidence

Rot-Weiß Essen show a 0% BTTS rate and RB Leipzig show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Rot-Weiß Essen average 2 goals scored and RB Leipzig average 6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting BTTS No.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Rot-Weiß Essen2
Avg goals scored
RB Leipzig6
Rot-Weiß Essen0
Avg goals conceded
RB Leipzig0
Rot-Weiß Essen0%
BTTS rate
RB Leipzig0%
Rot-Weiß Essen0%
Over 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionRot-Weiß Essen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts
6.8
Check odds @ 6.8
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RB Leipzig to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
RB Leipzig Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Rot-Weiß Essen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 12%
10
Check odds @ 10
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 14%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Rot-Weiß Essen Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Rot-Weiß Essen

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
23 Aug 2026H FC St. Pauli2-0

RB Leipzig

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
22 Aug 2026A Eintracht Trier6-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.29
Check odds @ 4.29
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Rot-Weiß Essen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 30%
6.8
Check odds @ 6.8
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 84%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
RB Leipzig to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
RB Leipzig Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Rot-Weiß Essen to WinBetMGM guide price · model 12%
10
Check odds @ 10
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 14%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Rot-Weiß Essen Over 2.5
100%RB Leipzig Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Rot-Weiß Essen sit at 0% and RB Leipzig sit at 100% with the H2H average at 5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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