Football Stats Hub

Vicenza Virtus crestVicenza Virtus
v
Modena crestModena

Serie B | Tue 27 Oct, 19:00

Vicenza Virtus v Modena Stats

Data last updated: Mon 26 Oct 2026, 08:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie B fixture features Modena visiting Vicenza Virtus, with Modena currently third in the table and showing strong attacking form. Modena averages 2 goals per game and has an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, reflecting their offensive potency. Vicenza Virtus, ranked 13th, have struggled defensively, conceding 1.6 goals per game and scoring less than Modena. Modena's recent form includes 10 points from recent matches, doubling Vicenza's 5 points, setting up a contest where Modena's attacking edge and defensive solidity could be decisive.

BT4Y best bet

Modena to Win

  • Modena ranks 3rd with 16 points, Vicenza 13th with 9 points.
  • Modena averages 2 goals per game; Vicenza 1.2 goals per game.
  • Modena concedes 1.2 goals per game; Vicenza concedes 1.6.
  • Modena's Over 2.5 Goals rate is 80%, Vicenza's is 60%.
  • Modena averages 19.2 shots and 6.2 shots on target per game, significantly higher than Vicenza.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Modena's strong attacking numbers and superior recent form underpin the model's 70% win probability. Their high shot volume and goal threat from key players like A. Montevago create sustained pressure on Vicenza's defense, which concedes more goals on average. The price at 2.0 offers positive value given the 20% edge over the implied chance. This pick is supported by Modena's consistent offensive output and defensive resilience, making them the clear favorite in this matchup.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance65% model chance vs 50% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Value Edge65% model chance vs 50% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsModena 10 vs Vicenza 5
Strong positive
Shots on Target per GameModena 6.2 vs Vicenza 2.0
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Modena's superior attacking firepower and recent form make them the likely winners in this Serie B clash. Their ability to generate high-quality chances and maintain defensive discipline contrasts with Vicenza's struggles at the back, suggesting Modena will capitalize on their strengths to secure victory.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Modena's attacking and defensive balance

“Modena's dynamic attackers and solid defensive record position them well to control this game and exploit Vicenza's defensive lapses. Their consistent shot volume and goal threat from players like Belotti and Montevago underline their winning potential.”

Key Data Signals

Modena to Win evidence

Modena ranks 3rd with 16 points, Vicenza 13th with 9 points.

Modena averages 2 goals per game; Vicenza 1.2 goals per game.

Modena concedes 1.2 goals per game; Vicenza concedes 1.6.

Modena's Over 2.5 Goals rate is 80%, Vicenza's is 60%.

What To Watch In The Data

Modena to Win notes

  • Recent trends show Modena's matches frequently exceed 2.5 goals, with an 80% rate over the last fixtures, indicating a high-tempo game with attacking intent.
  • Vicenza's 60% Over 2.5 rate also supports the likelihood of a goal-rich encounter, driven by open play and defensive gaps.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Vicenza Virtus1.2
Avg goals scored
Modena2
Vicenza Virtus1.6
Avg goals conceded
Modena1.2
Vicenza Virtus60%
BTTS rate
Modena80%
Vicenza Virtus60%
Over 2.5 goals
Modena80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Modena's matches have a high frequency of goals, with an 80% Over 2.5 rate and 80% BTTS rate, indicating open games with scoring from both sides. Vicenza's 60% rates suggest they also contribute to goal-rich matches, supporting expectations for multiple goals and both teams scoring in this fixture.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickModena to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Modena Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
The 65% for Modena to Win sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Modena have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Vicenza Virtus.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Vicenza Virtus

WDLLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 3L
23 Oct 2026A Empoli2-0
17 Oct 2026A Benevento2-2
10 Oct 2026H Pisa0-3
20 Sep 2026A Hellas Verona1-2
12 Sep 2026H Juve Stabia1-1

Modena

WLWWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 2L
24 Oct 2026H Cesena3-0
17 Oct 2026A Carrarese1-2
11 Oct 2026H Hellas Verona3-2
20 Sep 2026H Empoli2-1
12 Sep 2026A Sudtirol1-1
Market aligned with main pickModena to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Modena Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Modena's recent form is strong, with 10 points gained compared to Vicenza's 5, reflecting better momentum. Their offensive output of 2 goals per game and defensive solidity conceding 1.2 goals per match contrasts with Vicenza's lower scoring and higher concession rates, reinforcing Modena's status as favorites.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Vicenza Virtus Over 2.5
80%Modena Over 2.5
0.5H2H avg goals
Recent trends show Modena's matches frequently exceed 2.5 goals, with an 80% rate over the last fixtures, indicating a high-tempo game with attacking intent. Vicenza's 60% Over 2.5 rate also supports the likelihood of a goal-rich encounter, driven by open play and defensive gaps.

Loading deeper match data…