Football Stats Hub

Woking crestWoking
v
Boreham Wood crestBoreham Wood

National League | Tue 27 Oct, 19:45

Woking v Boreham Wood Stats

Data last updated: Mon 26 Oct 2026, 11:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This National League clash features Boreham Wood, currently top of the table with 38 points, visiting mid-table Woking who sit 13th with 18 points. Boreham Wood have been in strong form, winning five of their last six matches and conceding just 0.4 goals per game, showcasing a solid defense. Woking have struggled to find consistency, scoring 2.6 goals per game but conceding two, and their recent form includes only one win in six. The away side's defensive resilience and superior league position set up a challenging test for Woking at this stage of the season.

BT4Y best bet

Boreham Wood to Win

  • Boreham Wood leads the league with 38 points, showing strong overall form.
  • Boreham Wood concedes only 0.4 goals per game, indicating defensive solidity.
  • Woking concedes 2 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Both teams have an 80% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals, suggesting open games.
  • Boreham Wood has a 40% BTTS rate, lower than Woking's 80%, indicating tighter defense.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Boreham Wood's of 70% to win reflects their dominant league position and defensive strength, conceding just 0.4 goals per game. Their recent form with 15 points in the last six matches contrasts with Woking's 9 points, reinforcing the away side's superiority. The price at 1.73 offers positive value given the 12.2% edge over the implied chance. The data quality is solid for both teams, supporting in this selection.

League PositionBoreham Wood 1st vs Woking 13th
Strong positive
Defensive RecordBoreham Wood concedes 0.4 goals per game
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsBoreham Wood 15 vs Woking 9
Positive
Value Edge70% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+12.2 pts)
Strong positive
BTTS RateBoreham Wood 40% vs Woking 80%
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Boreham Wood's tactical discipline and defensive resilience make them the clear favorite to win this fixture. Their consistent form and top-table status provide a strong statistical foundation for the away win selection, while Woking's inconsistency and defensive frailties reduce their chances of securing points.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Boreham Wood's defensive strength and form

“Boreham Wood's ability to maintain a tight defense while capitalizing on their league-leading form positions them well to secure victory here. Their balanced approach contrasts with Woking's vulnerability at the back, making the away win a compelling choice.”

Key Data Signals

Boreham Wood to Win evidence

Boreham Wood leads the league with 38 points, showing strong overall form.

Boreham Wood concedes only 0.4 goals per game, indicating defensive solidity.

Woking concedes 2 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Both teams have an 80% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals, suggesting open games.

What To Watch In The Data

Boreham Wood to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.5, matching the high over 2.5 goals rate for both teams this season.
  • This trend suggests a balanced tempo with opportunities for both sides, but Boreham Wood's defensive discipline may limit the total goals, shaping a competitive and tactical encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Woking2.6
Avg goals scored
Boreham Wood3
Woking2
Avg goals conceded
Boreham Wood0.4
Woking80%
BTTS rate
Boreham Wood40%
Woking80%
Over 2.5 goals
Boreham Wood80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 85%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for open games. However, Boreham Wood's lower BTTS rate of 40% compared to Woking's 80% suggests the away side often keeps clean sheets, balancing the likelihood of goals with defensive control in this matchup.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBoreham Wood to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Boreham Wood Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The 70% for Boreham Wood to Win sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+12.2 pts). Boreham Wood have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 9 for Woking.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Woking

WLWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
24 Oct 2026A Scunthorpe3-2
10 Oct 2026H Harrogate Town0-1
03 Oct 2026A Eastleigh3-1
29 Sep 2026H Solihull Moors2-4
26 Sep 2026A Carlisle5-2

Boreham Wood

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 109W 1D 0L
24 Oct 2026H AFC Fylde4-0
09 Oct 2026A Sutton Utd2-0
03 Oct 2026H Altrincham3-1
29 Sep 2026H Kidderminster Harriers3-1
26 Sep 2026A Solihull Moors3-0
Market aligned with main pickBoreham Wood to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +12.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Boreham Wood Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Boreham Wood's recent form is impressive, with 15 points from their last six matches, reflecting consistent winning performances and defensive solidity. In contrast, Woking's 9 points in the same period highlight struggles to maintain momentum, suggesting the away side enters this fixture with stronger and match sharpness.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Woking Over 2.5
80%Boreham Wood Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game stand at 2.5, matching the high over 2.5 goals rate for both teams this season. This trend suggests a balanced tempo with opportunities for both sides, but Boreham Wood's defensive discipline may limit the total goals, shaping a competitive and tactical encounter.

Loading deeper match data…