SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
FC AugsburgDFB Pokal | Tue 27 Oct, 17:00
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach v FC Augsburg Stats
Data last updated: Mon 26 Oct 2026, 08:44 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach face FC Augsburg in the DFB Pokal, a knockout fixture where defensive solidity and cautious tactics often prevail. Sonnenhof Grossaspach have struggled to score consistently, while Augsburg's recent form shows a strong defensive record with no goals conceded in their last matches. Both teams have contrasting over 2.5 goals rates, suggesting a tactical battle with limited goal-scoring opportunities. The stakes of this cup tie and the defensive discipline expected from Augsburg set the stage for a low-scoring encounter.
Under 2.5 Goals
- Sonnenhof Grossaspach have conceded only 2 goals recently, showing defensive resilience.
- FC Augsburg have kept clean sheets in recent matches, conceding 0 goals.
- Sonnenhof Grossaspach's matches have all gone over 2.5 goals, but Augsburg's have not, indicating contrasting styles.
- Both teams average around 20 shots per game but with limited conversion, suggesting low scoring efficiency.
- Model projects a 54% chance for under 2.5 goals, with positive value at 2.7 .
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 54% probability, reflecting the defensive strengths and recent clean sheets of FC Augsburg combined with Sonnenhof Grossaspach's inconsistent scoring. Despite Sonnenhof Grossaspach's high over 2.5 goals rate, Augsburg's solid defense and low goals conceded create a balanced scenario favoring fewer goals. The at 2.7 offer positive value, supported by the teams' shot volumes but limited finishing efficiency. No data limitations affect in this pick.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Under 2.5 Goals is a sensible pick given FC Augsburg's recent defensive solidity and Sonnenhof Grossaspach's inconsistent finishing. The tactical nature of a cup tie and Augsburg's clean sheets suggest a cautious game with limited goal-scoring chances, making a low-scoring outcome likely.
A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Defensive strength and tactical caution
“This DFB Pokal clash is set for a tight tactical battle, with Augsburg's defense likely to frustrate Sonnenhof Grossaspach's attack. The data supports a low-scoring game, making Under 2.5 Goals a logical choice.”
Key Data Signals
Under 2.5 Goals evidence
Sonnenhof Grossaspach have conceded only 2 goals recently, showing defensive resilience.
FC Augsburg have kept clean sheets in recent matches, conceding 0 goals.
Both teams average around 20 shots per game but with limited conversion, suggesting low scoring efficiency.
What To Watch In The Data
Under 2.5 Goals notes
- Over the last five matches, Sonnenhof Grossaspach have consistently played games with over 2.5 goals, while Augsburg's recent matches have been under 2.5 goals.
- This trend suggests a clash of styles where Augsburg's defensive approach may suppress the overall goal count, favoring a low-scoring outcome.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
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Useful next reads
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
FC Augsburg
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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