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Ross County crestRoss County
v
Hamilton Academical crestHamilton Academical

League One | Tue 27 Oct, 19:45

Ross County v Hamilton Academical Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ross County face Hamilton Academical in League One on Tue 27 Oct, 19:45. Ross County come in with 15 recent points and 4.4 goals per match, while Hamilton Academical have 15 points and 2.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.57, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Ross County and 100% for Hamilton Academical, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Ross County are carrying more of the scoring load at 4.4 goals per match, with Hamilton Academical at 2.6.
  • BTTS rates of 40% for Ross County and 80% for Hamilton Academical show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Ross County and 100% for Hamilton Academical, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Ross County.Visible data support
Positive
Ross County are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Ross County and 100% for Hamilton Academical, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for Ross County and 100% for Hamilton Academical, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Ross County are carrying more of the scoring load at 4.4 goals per match, with Hamilton Academical at 2.6.

BTTS rates of 40% for Ross County and 80% for Hamilton Academical show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ross County4.4
Avg goals scored
Hamilton Academical2.6
Ross County0.4
Avg goals conceded
Hamilton Academical0.8
Ross County40%
BTTS rate
Hamilton Academical80%
Ross County80%
Over 2.5 goals
Hamilton Academical100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 64% · edge +10.6 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 64% · edge +10.6 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Hamilton Academical Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Ross County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Ross County to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Hamilton Academical to WinBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

League One fixtures and predictionsplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ross County

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 109W 1D 0L
24 Oct 2026H Airdrie United4-0
17 Oct 2026A Queen of the South7-1
10 Oct 2026A Montrose5-0
03 Oct 2026H Alloa Athletic4-1
19 Sep 2026A Cove Rangers2-0

Hamilton Academical

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 109W 1D 0L
24 Oct 2026H East Fife2-1
17 Oct 2026A Airdrie United2-1
10 Oct 2026A Alloa Athletic3-0
03 Oct 2026H Peterhead2-1
19 Sep 2026H Queen of the South4-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 88% · edge -3.9 pts
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
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Hamilton Academical Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3
Check odds @ 3
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Ross County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Ross County to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Hamilton Academical to WinBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Ross County Over 2.5
100%Hamilton Academical Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Ross County sit at 80% and Hamilton Academical sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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