Football Stats Hub

Ross County crestRoss County
v
Hamilton Academical crestHamilton Academical

League One | Sat 12 Sep, 15:00

Ross County v Hamilton Academical Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ross County and Hamilton Academical meet in a tightly contested League One clash, both teams showcasing strong early-season form with 13 and 16 points respectively. Ross County's attacking prowess is notable, averaging 2.4 goals per game, while Hamilton Academical have maintained a solid defensive record, conceding none so far. The fixture promises an intriguing tactical battle between Ross County's offensive momentum and Hamilton's disciplined defense, with both sides eager to assert control and maintain their high league positions.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Ross County averages 2.4 goals per game this season, indicating strong attacking form.
  • Hamilton Academical have yet to concede a goal, showing defensive resilience.
  • Ross County has an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting high-scoring games.
  • Hamilton Academical's over 2.5 goals rate is low at 20%, highlighting contrasting styles.
  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals, supporting potential for goals in this fixture.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 2.5 Goals with a 53.8% chance, slightly above the implied market chance of 52.6%, indicating a small positive . Ross County's high scoring rate and frequent high-goal matches underpin this view, while Hamilton's strong defense tempers expectations but does not negate the attacking threat. The balanced data suggests a moderately open game with potential for multiple goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a reasonable selection with standard stake guidance.

Ross County scoring rate2.4 goals per game
Strong positive
Hamilton Academical defensive record0 goals conceded
Positive
Ross County Over 2.5 rate80%
Strong positive
Hamilton Academical Over 2.5 rate20%
Neutral
Head-to-head average goals2.5 goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a dynamic encounter where Ross County's potent attack challenges Hamilton Academical's solid defense. The data supports a game with multiple goals, driven by Ross County's offensive consistency and the historical average goals in their meetings. This match is likely to produce enough scoring opportunities to surpass 2.5 goals.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · match goal expectation

“Ross County's attacking momentum combined with Hamilton Academical's defensive discipline sets the stage for a competitive match with a good chance of multiple goals, making Over 2.5 Goals a sensible betting angle.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Ross County averages 2.4 goals per game this season, indicating strong attacking form.

Hamilton Academical have yet to concede a goal, showing defensive resilience.

Ross County has an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting high-scoring games.

Hamilton Academical's over 2.5 goals rate is low at 20%, highlighting contrasting styles.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals, reflecting a moderate scoring trend.
  • This sample suggests a balanced tempo with both teams contributing to goal opportunities, supporting the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ross County2.4
Avg goals scored
Hamilton Academical1.4
Ross County0.8
Avg goals conceded
Hamilton Academical0
Ross County60%
BTTS rate
Hamilton Academical0%
Ross County80%
Over 2.5 goals
Hamilton Academical20%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 53% · edge +1.2 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Ross County's high scoring average and 80% Over 2.5 rate contrast with Hamilton Academical's defensive solidity and low Over 2.5 rate, creating a nuanced goals market. The 2.5 average goals in their last 10 meetings supports a moderate tempo game with goal potential from Ross County's side.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 53% · edge +1.2 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Hamilton Academical Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Hamilton Academical to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Ross County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Ross County to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The Over 2.5 Goals market shows a slight with at 53.8% versus the implied 52.6%, suggesting the price is fairly balanced but leans towards a positive expectation for goals. This indicates a reasonable betting opportunity without significant price sensitivity.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

League One fixtures and predictionsplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ross County

DWWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 0L
05 Sep 2026A East Fife2-2
29 Aug 2026H East Kilbride4-0
22 Aug 2026A Airdrie United3-1
08 Aug 2026H Montrose2-1
01 Aug 2026A Peterhead1-0

Hamilton Academical

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 0L
05 Sep 2026A East Kilbride1-0
29 Aug 2026H Cove Rangers1-0
22 Aug 2026A East Fife0-0
15 Aug 2026H Airdrie United4-0
08 Aug 2026H Alloa Athletic1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 55% · edge +11.8 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Hamilton Academical Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Hamilton Academical to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Ross County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Ross County to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Ross County's recent form includes a high goal output with 2.4 goals per game and an 80% Over 2.5 rate, indicating strong offensive momentum. Hamilton Academical's unbeaten defensive record and lower goal concession rate suggest a contrasting form profile, setting up a tactical clash impacting goal totals.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Ross County wins
3Draws
2Hamilton Academical wins
23 Jul 2024Hamilton Academical v Ross County1-2
21 Jan 2023Hamilton Academical v Ross County0-0
12 May 2021Ross County v Hamilton Academical2-1
03 Feb 2021Hamilton Academical v Ross County1-2
19 Dec 2020Ross County v Hamilton Academical0-2
08 Aug 2020Hamilton Academical v Ross County0-1
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 53% · edge +1.2 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Hamilton Academical to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Ross County to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The head-to-head record shows an average of 2.5 goals per match over 10 meetings, indicating a consistent pattern of moderate scoring. This historical data supports the expectation of multiple goals but also highlights the potential for defensive containment, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals prediction.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

League One

Ross County5
Played
Hamilton Academical6
Ross County2.4
Avg goals for
Hamilton Academical2
Ross County0.8
Avg goals against
Hamilton Academical0
Ross County2
Clean sheets
Hamilton Academical6
Best odds for this sectionHamilton Academical Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 39% · edge +9.1 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
Hamilton Academical to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Ross County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Ross County to WinBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Season-long statistics highlight Ross County's attacking efficiency and frequent high-scoring matches, while Hamilton Academical's defensive record stands out. This balance suggests a game where Ross County's offense may overcome Hamilton's defense, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Hamilton Academical16651012
2Ross County1354108
Both teams sit near the top of League One, with Hamilton Academical leading and Ross County close behind. This competitive positioning increases the stakes, likely encouraging attacking intent from Ross County and disciplined defense from Hamilton, influencing the match's goal dynamics.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Ross County Over 2.5
20%Hamilton Academical Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals, reflecting a moderate scoring trend. This sample suggests a balanced tempo with both teams contributing to goal opportunities, supporting the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Queen of the South v East FifeLeague One · Sat 12 Sep 15:00Montrose v Cove RangersLeague One · Sat 12 Sep 15:00Airdrie United v Alloa AthleticLeague One · Sat 12 Sep 15:00East Kilbride v PeterheadLeague One · Sat 12 Sep 15:00

Competition and hubs

League One hubLeague One fixtures and predictionsplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets research

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre