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Leicester crestLeicester
v
Wigan crestWigan

League One | Tue 27 Oct, 19:45

Leicester v Wigan Stats

Data last updated: Mon 26 Oct 2026, 11:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Leicester and Wigan meet in a League One clash where Leicester's recent attacking form contrasts with Wigan's struggles to find the net. Leicester averages 1.8 goals per game and boasts an 80% BTTS rate, while Wigan scores 0.6 goals per game with a 40% BTTS rate. Leicester's offensive pressure and Wigan's defensive vulnerabilities set the stage for a contest where both sides have opportunities to score, despite Wigan's lower scoring output. The match carries importance for both teams as Leicester aims to climb the table and Wigan seeks to improve their position amid challenging form.

BT4Y best bet

Wigan Asian Handicap +1.25

  • Leicester averages 1.8 goals and concedes 1.4 per game, showing attacking strength and some defensive openness.
  • Wigan scores 0.6 goals per game but concedes 1.2, indicating defensive frailty and limited scoring.
  • Leicester's BTTS rate is 80%, Wigan's is 40%, combining for a model BTTS chance of 73.3%.
  • Leicester averages 16.6 shots with 6.8 on target per game; Wigan averages 9 shots with 2.2 on target, suggesting offensive activity from both sides.
  • Recent H2H matches average 2.67 goals, supporting a game with goal-scoring opportunities for both teams.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 73.3% probability, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 58.8%, indicating strong value. Leicester's potent attack and high BTTS rate combine with Wigan's defensive vulnerabilities and occasional goal threat to create a scenario where both teams are likely to find the net. Leicester's high shot volume and Wigan's defensive concessions support this. The data quality is solid, with balanced samples for both teams, reinforcing in this BTTS selection.

Model Probability50.9% model chance
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance50.9% model chance
Strong positive
Leicester BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Wigan BTTS Rate40%
Positive
Shot Volume Leicester16.6 per game
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Teams to Score is a compelling pick given Leicester's attacking prowess and Wigan's defensive lapses. Leicester's consistent goal threat and Wigan's occasional scoring suggest a match where both sides will find opportunities to score. The data supports a lively game with goals at both ends, making BTTS a tactically and statistically sound choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS tactical and data insight

“Leicester's offensive consistency combined with Wigan's defensive struggles creates a fertile ground for both teams to score. While Wigan's scoring is less frequent, their defensive gaps and Leicester's pressure make BTTS a strong tactical call.”

Key Data Signals

Wigan Asian Handicap +1.25 evidence

Leicester averages 1.8 goals and concedes 1.4 per game, showing attacking strength and some defensive openness.

Wigan scores 0.6 goals per game but concedes 1.2, indicating defensive frailty and limited scoring.

Leicester's BTTS rate is 80%, Wigan's is 40%, combining for a model BTTS chance of 73.3%.

Leicester averages 16.6 shots with 6.8 on target per game; Wigan averages 9 shots with 2.2 on target, suggesting offensive activity from both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Wigan Asian Handicap +1.25 notes

  • In the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.67, indicating a relatively open and attacking fixture history.
  • Leicester's 80% Over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Wigan's 40%, suggesting Leicester's games often feature multiple goals.
  • This trend supports an expectation of a lively match with goal opportunities for both sides, aligning with the BTTS selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Leicester1.8
Avg goals scored
Wigan0.6
Leicester1.4
Avg goals conceded
Wigan1.2
Leicester80%
BTTS rate
Wigan40%
Leicester80%
Over 2.5 goals
Wigan40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 59% · edge +14.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 46%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Leicester's high BTTS rate of 80% and Wigan's 40% combine to support a strong BTTS probability. Leicester averages 1.8 goals per game, while Wigan's 0.6 goals per game reflect limited but present scoring ability. The recent H2H average of 2.67 goals further indicates matches between these teams tend to have multiple goals and both teams scoring.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 59% · edge +14.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Wigan Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Leicester Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Leicester to WinBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Wigan to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The model rates Wigan Asian Handicap +1.25 at 50.9% on the latest available numbers.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Leicester

LWWLD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
24 Oct 2026A Luton1-2
20 Oct 2026A Bromley4-0
17 Oct 2026H Doncaster2-1
10 Oct 2026H Peterborough1-3
19 Sep 2026A Barnsley1-1

Wigan

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
24 Oct 2026A Huddersfield1-2
20 Oct 2026A Oxford United1-2
17 Oct 2026H Reading1-0
10 Oct 2026A Stevenage0-1
19 Sep 2026H Wycombe0-1
Best odds for this sectionWigan Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 41% vs implied 26% · edge +15 pts
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Leicester Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Leicester to WinBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Wigan to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Leicester's recent form shows 7 points gained with an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, maintaining an 80% BTTS rate. Wigan has earned 3 points recently, scoring 0.6 goals and conceding 1.2 per game, with a 40% BTTS rate. This contrast highlights Leicester's offensive consistency and Wigan's defensive challenges, supporting a match where both teams can score.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Leicester Over 2.5
40%Wigan Over 2.5
2.67H2H avg goals
In the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.67, indicating a relatively open and attacking fixture history. Leicester's 80% Over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Wigan's 40%, suggesting Leicester's games often feature multiple goals. This trend supports an expectation of a lively match with goal opportunities for both sides, aligning with the BTTS selection.

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