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Sevilla crestSevilla
v
Osasuna crestOsasuna

La Liga | Mon 26 Oct, 20:00

Sevilla v Osasuna Stats

Data last updated: Sun 25 Oct 2026, 18:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sevilla and Osasuna meet in a La Liga clash where both sides have shown a tendency to find the net despite defensive vulnerabilities. Sevilla, currently sixth, have scored 1.4 goals per game but concede twice on average, while Osasuna, placed eleventh, average one goal scored and 2.4 conceded per match. Recent form suggests an open game with Sevilla's 60% BTTS rate contrasting with Osasuna's 40%, indicating potential for goals at both ends. Tactical approaches from both teams favor attacking transitions, making a contest with goals from both sides likely.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Sevilla averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 2 goals per game.
  • Osasuna scores 1 goal per game but concedes 2.4, showing defensive frailties.
  • Sevilla's BTTS rate stands at 60%, Osasuna's at 40%, supporting goal chances for both.
  • Both teams average around 11-12 shots per game, indicating offensive intent.
  • Recent matches show a combined average of 2 goals per game in their last 10 meetings.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 66.7% chance of both teams scoring, well above the implied market chance of 51.3%, indicating clear value in backing BTTS. Sevilla's attacking output combined with Osasuna's defensive concessions create a fertile environment for goals at both ends. Both teams maintain decent shot volumes and BTTS rates, reinforcing the likelihood of mutual scoring. There is no price warning, and data quality is solid, making this a standard stake recommendation with strong .

Model Chance66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance66.3% model chance vs 51.3% implied (+15 pts)
Positive
Sevilla BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Osasuna BTTS Rate40%
Neutral
Shot VolumesSevilla 12, Osasuna 11 per game
Positive
Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Sevilla's offensive strength combined with Osasuna's defensive openness creates a compelling case for both teams to score. The shot and goal data underline the attacking nature of this matchup, making BTTS a logical betting angle.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Sevilla averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 2 goals per game.

Osasuna scores 1 goal per game but concedes 2.4, showing defensive frailties.

Sevilla's BTTS rate stands at 60%, Osasuna's at 40%, supporting goal chances for both.

Both teams average around 11-12 shots per game, indicating offensive intent.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 2, indicating a moderately open fixture historically.
  • Sevilla's 60% Over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Osasuna's 40%, suggesting the tempo and chance quality often lead to multiple goals, aligning with the likelihood of both teams scoring in this match.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Sevilla to WinBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Sevilla Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Osasuna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Osasuna to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The 66.3% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 51.3% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Sevilla show a 60% BTTS rate and Osasuna show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. BTTS requires both teams to score at least once, regardless of the match winner.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sevilla1.4
Avg goals scored
Osasuna1
Sevilla2
Avg goals conceded
Osasuna2.4
Sevilla60%
BTTS rate
Osasuna40%
Sevilla60%
Over 2.5 goals
Osasuna40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
4
Check odds @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Sevilla's 1.4 goals per game and 60% BTTS rate combined with Osasuna's 1 goal per game and 40% BTTS rate suggest a moderate but meaningful chance of goals from both teams. The average of 2 goals per match in their last 10 meetings supports an open game with scoring opportunities at both ends.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sevilla

LDLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 3L
18 Oct 2026A Real Madrid1-4
12 Oct 2026A Levante3-3
19 Sep 2026H Barcelona1-3
16 Sep 2026A Deportivo La Coruna1-0
11 Sep 2026H Valencia1-0

Osasuna

WLDLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 4L
18 Oct 2026H Racing Santander2-0
11 Oct 2026A Real Betis2-5
19 Sep 2026H Rayo Vallecano1-1
16 Sep 2026A Atletico Madrid0-4
12 Sep 2026H Espanyol0-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 85% vs implied 85% · edge +0.5 pts
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Load more odds for this section
Sevilla to WinBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Sevilla Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Osasuna Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Osasuna to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Sevilla's recent form shows 7 points with a 60% BTTS rate and 60% Over 2.5 goals rate, indicating consistent attacking output. Osasuna's 4 points with a 40% BTTS rate and 40% Over 2.5 rate suggest more defensive caution but still some goal threat. This contrast supports a game where both teams can score but with Sevilla more likely to dominate offensively.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Sevilla Over 2.5
40%Osasuna Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 2, indicating a moderately open fixture historically. Sevilla's 60% Over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Osasuna's 40%, suggesting the tempo and chance quality often lead to multiple goals, aligning with the likelihood of both teams scoring in this match.

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