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Galatasaray crestGalatasaray
v
Fenerbahçe crestFenerbahçe

Süper Lig | Mon 26 Oct, 18:30

Galatasaray v Fenerbahçe Stats

Data last updated: Sun 25 Oct 2026, 07:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Galatasaray and Fenerbahçe meet in a high-stakes Süper Lig clash with both teams positioned near the top of the table, separated by just three points. Galatasaray has scored 1.6 goals per game while conceding 1.4, showing a balanced but open style, whereas Fenerbahçe boasts a stingier defense, allowing only 0.4 goals per game and scoring 3 on average. Both sides have shown attacking intent, with Galatasaray averaging 8.8 corners and Fenerbahçe 5 per match, hinting at sustained wing play and set-piece opportunities. This fixture promises tactical intensity and territorial battles that often lead to numerous corners.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Galatasaray averages 8.8 corners per game, indicating strong wing pressure.
  • Fenerbahçe contributes 5 corners per match, supporting a combined high corner count.
  • Recent matches show a combined corner average exceeding 9.5 in similar high-tempo fixtures.
  • Both teams' attacking styles and defensive setups encourage frequent set-piece situations.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 9.5 Corners highly with a 68.6% chance, well above the 55.6% implied by current , offering a 13% . Galatasaray's aggressive wing play and Fenerbahçe's disciplined defense create numerous corner opportunities, supported by their season averages of 8.8 and 5 corners respectively. The level at 83% reflects consistent corner generation in recent matches, making this a solid pick without price warnings or data limitations.

Model Chance68.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+13 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance68.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+13 pts)
Positive
Value Edge68.6% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+13 pts)
Strong positive
Confidence83%
Strong positive
Data QualityGood data for both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a dynamic match with Galatasaray's wide play and Fenerbahçe's counter-attacking style generating numerous corners. Their season averages and recent form support a high corner count, making Over 9.5 Corners a compelling choice for this intense Süper Lig encounter.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“This fixture's tactical balance and attacking intent from both sides naturally lead to many corners, especially given Galatasaray's wing control and Fenerbahçe's set-piece threats.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Galatasaray averages 8.8 corners per game, indicating strong wing pressure.

Fenerbahçe contributes 5 corners per match, supporting a combined high corner count.

Recent matches show a combined corner average exceeding 9.5 in similar high-tempo fixtures.

Both teams' attacking styles and defensive setups encourage frequent set-piece situations.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals stand at 1.9, suggesting moderate scoring but a tempo that encourages attacking transitions.
  • This pace and open play style typically generate numerous corners, as both teams seek to exploit wide areas and force defensive clearances.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Galatasaray1.6
Avg goals scored
Fenerbahçe3
Galatasaray1.4
Avg goals conceded
Fenerbahçe0.4
Galatasaray40%
BTTS rate
Fenerbahçe20%
Galatasaray60%
Over 2.5 goals
Fenerbahçe80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 81%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Galatasaray and Fenerbahçe show contrasting goal profiles, with Galatasaray scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.4 per game, and Fenerbahçe scoring 3 while conceding only 0.4. BTTS rates are moderate, but the attacking styles contribute to open play, indirectly supporting increased corner counts through sustained pressure and attacking transitions.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 67% · edge +7.9 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Fenerbahçe to WinBetUK guide price · model 48%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Fenerbahçe Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Galatasaray Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Galatasaray to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
The 68.6% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+13 pts). Galatasaray lead the corner sample at 8.8 per match, with Fenerbahçe lower at 5.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Galatasaray

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 1L
17 Oct 2026A Gençlerbirliği S.K.1-0
09 Oct 2026H Kasımpaşa3-1
19 Sep 2026A Trabzonspor0-4
13 Sep 2026H Kocaelispor1-0
04 Sep 2026A Başakşehir3-2

Fenerbahçe

WWWDL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 2L
17 Oct 2026H Alanyaspor3-0
10 Oct 2026A Rizespor3-0
20 Sep 2026H Eyüpspor8-0
14 Sep 2026A Gaziantep FK0-0
05 Sep 2026H Beşiktaş1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Fenerbahçe to WinBetUK guide price · model 48%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Fenerbahçe Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Galatasaray Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Galatasaray to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Recent form shows Galatasaray averaging 8.8 corners and Fenerbahçe 5 per game, with both sides frequently exceeding 9.5 combined corners in their latest matches. This trend reflects sustained wing play and attacking intent, reinforcing the likelihood of a high corner count in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Galatasaray Over 2.5
80%Fenerbahçe Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals stand at 1.9, suggesting moderate scoring but a tempo that encourages attacking transitions. This pace and open play style typically generate numerous corners, as both teams seek to exploit wide areas and force defensive clearances.

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