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Wealdstone crestWealdstone
v
Solihull Moors crestSolihull Moors

National League | Tue 27 Oct, 19:45

Wealdstone v Solihull Moors Stats

Data last updated: Mon 26 Oct 2026, 10:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Wealdstone hosts Solihull Moors in a National League clash where Wealdstone's recent form and league position suggest an edge. Sitting 18th with 15 points, Wealdstone have accumulated 7 points in their last matches, showing more resilience than 23rd-placed Solihull Moors, who have only 7 points and 3 from recent outings. Both teams have struggled defensively, but Wealdstone's slightly better goal-scoring rate and home advantage could be decisive in this tight contest. Tactical discipline and the ability to capitalize on chances will be key in this mid-table battle.

BT4Y best bet

Wealdstone to Win

  • Wealdstone holds a 67.9% to win, indicating strong in home victory.
  • Recent form favors Wealdstone with 7 points gained versus Solihull Moors' 3 points.
  • Wealdstone concedes fewer goals on average (1.8) compared to Solihull Moors (2.8), suggesting better defensive stability.
  • Over 2.5 goals occur in 60% of Wealdstone's matches, indicating potential for an open game.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.5, supporting a competitive fixture with scoring chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Wealdstone to win with a 67.9% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and defensive solidity compared to Solihull Moors. Wealdstone's home advantage and better points accumulation underpin this . The price offers positive value given the implied chance is only 46.5%, making this a compelling selection. However, the moderate rating suggests some uncertainty, so standard staking is advised.

Recent formWealdstone earned 7 points recently vs. Solihull Moors' 3
Positive
Defensive recordWealdstone concedes 1.8 goals per game vs. 2.8 for Solihull Moors
Positive
Home advantageWealdstone playing at home with better league standing
Positive
Value edge61.5% model chance vs 46.5% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Wealdstone's recent form and home advantage make them the logical choice to secure victory against Solihull Moors. Their slightly better defensive record and points tally provide a solid foundation, while Solihull's struggles away from home reduce their threat. This match should favor Wealdstone's ability to control the game and convert chances into goals.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Wealdstone's edge lies in their home form and tighter defense, which should help them overcome Solihull Moors' attacking efforts in this closely matched National League fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Wealdstone to Win evidence

Wealdstone holds a 67.9% to win, indicating strong in home victory.

Recent form favors Wealdstone with 7 points gained versus Solihull Moors' 3 points.

Wealdstone concedes fewer goals on average (1.8) compared to Solihull Moors (2.8), suggesting better defensive stability.

Over 2.5 goals occur in 60% of Wealdstone's matches, indicating potential for an open game.

What To Watch In The Data

Wealdstone to Win notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored stand at 2.5, indicating a moderately open game with scoring chances for both sides.
  • Wealdstone's 60% Over 2.5 rate versus Solihull Moors' 80% suggests potential for goals but also defensive lapses that could influence the match tempo and outcome.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Wealdstone1.4
Avg goals scored
Solihull Moors1
Wealdstone1.8
Avg goals conceded
Solihull Moors2.8
Wealdstone40%
BTTS rate
Solihull Moors40%
Wealdstone60%
Over 2.5 goals
Solihull Moors80%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 82% vs implied 88% · edge -5.9 pts
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Both teams have moderate scoring rates, with Wealdstone averaging 1.4 goals and Solihull Moors 1.0 per game. BTTS rates are equal at 40%, and the head-to-head average of 2.5 goals suggests a balanced contest with potential for goals but not necessarily a high-scoring affair.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickWealdstone to WinBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Wealdstone Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The 61.5% for Wealdstone to Win sits against roughly 46.5% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Wealdstone have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for Solihull Moors.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Wealdstone

WLLDW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
24 Oct 2026A Aldershot Town1-0
10 Oct 2026H Yeovil Town0-6
03 Oct 2026A Barrow1-2
29 Sep 2026A Forest Green1-1
26 Sep 2026H Gateshead4-0

Solihull Moors

LLLWL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
24 Oct 2026H Carlisle1-2
10 Oct 2026A Worthing0-5
03 Oct 2026H FC Halifax Town0-2
29 Sep 2026A Woking4-2
26 Sep 2026H Boreham Wood0-3
Market aligned with main pickWealdstone to WinBetfred guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Wealdstone Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Wealdstone's recent accumulation of 7 points compared to Solihull Moors' 3 points highlights better momentum and . This form difference, combined with Wealdstone's slightly better goal difference, supports their chances of securing a home victory in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Wealdstone Over 2.5
80%Solihull Moors Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored stand at 2.5, indicating a moderately open game with scoring chances for both sides. Wealdstone's 60% Over 2.5 rate versus Solihull Moors' 80% suggests potential for goals but also defensive lapses that could influence the match tempo and outcome.

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