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Santa Fe crestSanta Fe
v
Caracas FC crestCaracas FC

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Fri 24 Jul, 01:30

Santa Fe v Caracas FC Stats

Data last updated: Fri 24 Jul 2026, 05:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Santa Fe face Caracas FC in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Fri 24 Jul, 01:30. They have also scored six of their nine Sudamericana group-stage goals away from home, underlining their ability to remain dangerous on their travels.

BT4Y best bet

Santa Fe to win and both teams to score

  • At 16/5, Santa Fe to win and both teams to score implies roughly 24%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Santa Fe’s home scoring frequency paired with Caracas’ regular away goals supports a multi-goal 3-1 outcome.
  • Caracas FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 0 for Santa Fe.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 27% for Santa Fe to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 24% implied by the current price. Caracas FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 0 for Santa Fe. Santa Fe’s home scoring frequency paired with Caracas’ regular away goals supports a multi-goal 3-1 outcome.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 24% implied
Neutral
Caracas FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 8.Visible data support
Positive
Santa Fe’s home scoring frequency paired with Caracas’ regular.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Santa Fe Win is the preferred angle because santa Fe’s home scoring frequency paired with Caracas’ regular away goals supports a multi-goal 3-1 outcome. Caracas FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 0 for Santa Fe. Their opening plans have generally worked, but their ability to protect an advantage remains open to question.

Main risk

Their opening plans have generally worked, but their ability to protect an advantage remains open to question.

Key Data Signals

Santa Fe to win and both teams to score evidence

Santa Fe’s home scoring frequency paired with Caracas’ regular away goals supports a multi-goal 3-1 outcome.

Caracas FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 0 for Santa Fe.

What To Watch In The Data

Santa Fe to win and both teams to score notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSanta Fe to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 73% · edge -45.5 pts
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 72%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Santa Fe Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Santa Fe to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Santa Fe-
    Avg goals scored
    Caracas FC1.6
    Santa Fe-
    Avg goals conceded
    Caracas FC1.6
    Santa Fe-
    BTTS rate
    Caracas FC80%
    Santa Fe-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Caracas FC60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 70%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Santa Fe

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Santa Fe yet.

    Caracas FC

    LDWDW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 4D 1L
    27 May 2026H Botafogo1-3
    22 May 2026A Racing Club2-2
    05 May 2026A Independiente Petrolero3-2
    29 Apr 2026H Racing Club1-1
    15 Apr 2026H Independiente Petrolero1-0
    Market aligned with main pickSanta Fe to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 73% · edge -45.5 pts
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Load more odds for this section
    Santa Fe Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
    1.07
    Check odds @ 1.07
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Santa Fe-
    Avg corners for
    Caracas FC4.2
    Santa Fe-
    Avg total corners
    Caracas FC9
    Santa Fe-
    Avg yellow cards
    Caracas FC2.4
    Santa Fe-
    Avg shots
    Caracas FC11.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 58% · edge +13.7 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Santa Fe wins
    0Draws
    0Caracas FC wins
    Market aligned with main pickSanta Fe to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 73% · edge -45.5 pts
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Santa Fe to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    CONMEBOL Sudamericana

    Santa Fe0
    Played
    Caracas FC7
    Santa Fe0
    Avg goals for
    Caracas FC1.4
    Santa Fe0
    Avg goals against
    Caracas FC1.3
    Santa Fe0
    Clean sheets
    Caracas FC2
    Market aligned with main pickSanta Fe to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 73% · edge -45.5 pts
    1.38
    Check odds @ 1.38
    Load more odds for this section
    Santa Fe Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
    1.14
    Check odds @ 1.14
    Season data supports Santa Fe to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Caracas FC962310
    CONMEBOL Sudamericana standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Santa Fe Over 2.5
    60%Caracas FC Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    Santa Fe’s home scoring frequency paired with Caracas’ regular away goals supports a multi-goal 3-1 outcome.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Santa Fe v Caracas FC prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre