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AC Horsens crestAC Horsens
v
Randers FC crestRanders FC

Superliga | Fri 16 Oct, 18:00

AC Horsens v Randers FC Stats

Data last updated: Thu 15 Oct 2026, 08:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Superliga clash between AC Horsens and Randers FC promises an open contest given both teams' recent attacking tendencies. AC Horsens have scored and conceded an average of 2.4 goals per game recently, while Randers FC have been involved in matches with a similar goal rate. Both sides rank mid-table, adding competitive edge without relegation pressure. The tactical setup suggests a willingness to commit players forward, increasing the likelihood of multiple scoring opportunities. The match timing on a Friday evening could also encourage an entertaining, high-tempo game as both teams seek momentum.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • AC Horsens and Randers FC both have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches
  • Average goals in their last 10 head-to-head meetings is 2.9 per game
  • AC Horsens average 14.6 shots and 5.8 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking intent
  • Randers FC contribute 11.6 shots and 4.6 shots on target per game, supporting goal chances
  • Both teams have shown vulnerability in defense, with AC Horsens conceding 2.4 goals and Randers 1.8 on average

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 2.5 Goals as a strong value bet with a 68.1% chance, well above the implied market chance of 55.6%. Both teams have high recent Over 2.5 rates (80%), and their head-to-head average goals of 2.9 reinforce the likelihood of a high-scoring game. AC Horsens' attacking players like K. Ehibhatiomhan and K. Bimpong generate significant shot volume and quality, while Randers FC's offensive patterns also contribute to goal opportunities. Defensive frailties on both sides further support the expectation of multiple goals. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Chance68.1% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+12.5 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Rates80% both teams
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals2.9 goals per game
Strong positive
Shot Volume and QualityHigh shots and shots on target for both teams
Positive
Defensive RecordsConceding 2.4 and 1.8 goals per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as AC Horsens and Randers FC both have shown offensive intent and defensive vulnerabilities. The high volume of shots and recent goal trends suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a sensible call. Tactical openness and key attacking players on both sides increase the likelihood of multiple goals in this fixture.

Main risk

Horsens possess the more productive recent attack, but Randers have traditionally enjoyed greater success in this matchup.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Over 2.5 Goals

“Both teams have demonstrated attacking ambition and defensive lapses, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling selection. The combination of shot volume and historical goal averages underlines the potential for an entertaining, high-scoring encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

AC Horsens and Randers FC both have an 80% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches

Average goals in their last 10 head-to-head meetings is 2.9 per game

AC Horsens average 14.6 shots and 5.8 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking intent

Randers FC contribute 11.6 shots and 4.6 shots on target per game, supporting goal chances

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.9 per game, indicating a trend towards open, attacking matches between these teams.
  • This sample suggests a tempo and style conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both sides contributing to the scoring.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

AC Horsens2.4
Avg goals scored
Randers FC1.6
AC Horsens2.4
Avg goals conceded
Randers FC1.8
AC Horsens80%
BTTS rate
Randers FC60%
AC Horsens80%
Over 2.5 goals
Randers FC80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 56% · edge +12.5 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have strong recent Over 2.5 Goals rates of 80%, with AC Horsens and Randers FC showing a combined average of 2.9 goals in their last 10 meetings. BTTS rates are also notable, especially for AC Horsens at 80%, indicating both sides frequently contribute to the scoreline, supporting a goals-rich match scenario.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

AC Horsens v Randers FC predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 56% · edge +12.5 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
AC Horsens to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
AC Horsens Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Randers FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Randers FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
The 68.1% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+12.5 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for AC Horsens and 80% for Randers FC, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Risk Factor: Seven of Horsens' last ten matches had over 2.5 goals, so the match could exceed two total goals.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

AC Horsens

DDLWL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
11 Oct 2026A Silkeborg3-3
20 Sep 2026H Aarhus2-2
11 Sep 2026A FC Copenhagen0-2
06 Sep 2026A Sonderjyske5-2
28 Aug 2026H Viborg2-3

Randers FC

LLLWW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
11 Oct 2026H Viborg0-2
20 Sep 2026A Sonderjyske2-4
13 Sep 2026H Odense1-2
06 Sep 2026A Brondby3-0
30 Aug 2026H Aarhus2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 65% · edge +6.1 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
AC Horsens to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
AC Horsens Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Randers FC Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Randers FC to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
DrawBetUK guide price · model 30%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Recent form data shows both teams involved in high-scoring matches, with AC Horsens scoring and conceding 2.4 goals per game and Randers FC averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Their consistent Over 2.5 Goals rates of 80% reflect a pattern of open games and goal opportunities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%AC Horsens Over 2.5
80%Randers FC Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 2.9 per game, indicating a trend towards open, attacking matches between these teams. This sample suggests a tempo and style conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both sides contributing to the scoring.

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