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AC Horsens crestAC Horsens
v
Randers FC crestRanders FC

Superliga | Fri 16 Oct, 18:00

AC Horsens v Randers FC Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 14:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

AC Horsens face Randers FC in Superliga on Fri 16 Oct, 18:00. 19 goals conceded by Horsens in ten league fixtures underline their defensive vulnerability. Horsens have demonstrated considerable firepower despite inconsistent results, while Randers arrive following three consecutive defeats.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS Yes

  • At 2.8, BTTS Yes implies roughly 36%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 42%.
  • A 1-1 draw fits Horsens' defensive frailty and Randers' finishing struggles, balancing both teams' scoring ability and defensive lapses.
  • Randers FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 5 for AC Horsens.
  • AC Horsens sit 7 in the table, while Randers FC sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 42% for BTTS Yes sits against roughly 36% implied by the current price. Randers FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 5 for AC Horsens. A 1-1 draw fits Horsens' defensive frailty and Randers' finishing struggles, balancing both teams' scoring ability and defensive lapses.

Model chance vs price42% model chance against roughly 36% implied
Positive
Randers FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 6.Visible data support
Positive
AC Horsens sit 7 in the table, while Randers FC.Visible data support
Positive
A 1-1 draw fits Horsens' defensive frailty and Randers'.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: AC Horsens Win is the preferred angle because a 1-1 draw fits Horsens' defensive frailty and Randers' finishing struggles, balancing both teams' scoring ability and defensive lapses. Randers FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 5 for AC Horsens. Horsens possess the more productive recent attack, but Randers have traditionally enjoyed greater success in this matchup.

Main risk

Horsens possess the more productive recent attack, but Randers have traditionally enjoyed greater success in this matchup.

Key Data Signals

BTTS Yes evidence

A 1-1 draw fits Horsens' defensive frailty and Randers' finishing struggles, balancing both teams' scoring ability and defensive.

Randers FC have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 5 for AC Horsens.

Randers FC have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the AC Horsens Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

AC Horsens sit 7 in the table, while Randers FC sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS Yes notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    AC Horsens2.4
    Avg goals scored
    Randers FC1.6
    AC Horsens2.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Randers FC1.8
    AC Horsens80%
    BTTS rate
    Randers FC60%
    AC Horsens80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Randers FC80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 86%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    AC Horsens v Randers FC predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickAC Horsens to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 36% · edge +6.1 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    AC Horsens Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    AC Horsens to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    AC Horsens

    DDLWL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 4L
    11 Oct 2026A Silkeborg3-3
    20 Sep 2026H Aarhus2-2
    11 Sep 2026A FC Copenhagen0-2
    06 Sep 2026A Sonderjyske5-2
    28 Aug 2026H Viborg2-3

    Randers FC

    LLLWW
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 6L
    11 Oct 2026H Viborg0-2
    20 Sep 2026A Sonderjyske2-4
    13 Sep 2026H Odense1-2
    06 Sep 2026A Brondby3-0
    30 Aug 2026H Aarhus2-1
    Market aligned with main pickAC Horsens to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 36% · edge +6.1 pts
    2.8
    Check odds @ 2.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    AC Horsens Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%AC Horsens Over 2.5
    80%Randers FC Over 2.5
    2.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: AC Horsens sit at 80% and Randers FC sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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