Football Stats Hub

Riga crestRiga
v
Kairat Almaty crestKairat Almaty

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 15 Oct, 17:45

Riga v Kairat Almaty Stats

Data last updated: Wed 14 Oct 2026, 09:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Riga face Kairat Almaty in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 15 Oct, 17:45. Riga come in with 11 recent points and 1.8 goals per match, while Kairat Almaty have 0 points and - goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • At 1.67, Over 8.5 Corners implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 75%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 75% for Over 8.5 Corners sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price75% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Strong positive
Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 8.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Riga

WDDWW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 0L
27 Aug 2026H KI Klaksvik2-1
20 Aug 2026A KI Klaksvik0-0
13 Aug 2026A Gyori ETO FC1-1
06 Aug 2026H Gyori ETO FC1-0
28 Jul 2026H Vardar Skopje5-2

Kairat Almaty

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Kairat Almaty yet.

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 82% · edge -4 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Load more odds for this section
Kairat Almaty Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Riga to WinBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Riga Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Kairat Almaty to WinBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Europa Conference League hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Riga1.8
Avg goals scored
Kairat Almaty-
Riga0.8
Avg goals conceded
Kairat Almaty-
Riga60%
BTTS rate
Kairat Almaty-
Riga40%
Over 2.5 goals
Kairat Almaty-
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 67%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Kairat Almaty Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Riga to WinBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Riga Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Kairat Almaty to WinBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Over 8.5 Corners is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Riga Over 2.5
-Kairat Almaty Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals

Loading deeper match data…