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CSKA Sofia crestCSKA Sofia
v
Monaco crestMonaco

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 15 Oct, 17:45

CSKA Sofia v Monaco Stats

Data last updated: Wed 14 Oct 2026, 09:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

CSKA Sofia face Monaco in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 15 Oct, 17:45. CSKA Sofia come in with 0 recent points and - goals per match, while Monaco have 6 points and 3.5 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.67, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 75%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 75% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price75% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Strong positive
Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

CSKA Sofia

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for CSKA Sofia yet.

Monaco

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
27 Aug 2026H Gornik Zabrze4-1
20 Aug 2026A Gornik Zabrze3-2
Best odds for this sectionCSKA Sofia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 84%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Monaco to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Monaco Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
CSKA Sofia to WinBet365 guide price · model 17%
6
Check odds @ 6
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 20%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

CSKA Sofia-
Avg goals scored
Monaco3.5
CSKA Sofia-
Avg goals conceded
Monaco1.5
CSKA Sofia-
BTTS rate
Monaco100%
CSKA Sofia-
Over 2.5 goals
Monaco100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
CSKA Sofia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Monaco to WinBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Monaco Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
CSKA Sofia to WinBet365 guide price · model 17%
6
Check odds @ 6
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-CSKA Sofia Over 2.5
100%Monaco Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals

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