Santa Fe

Jaguares

Primera A | Thu 15 Oct, 02:05

Santa Fe v Jaguares Stats

Data last updated: Wed 16 Sep 2026, 16:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Santa Fe face Jaguares in Primera A on Thu 15 Oct, 02:05. Santa Fe come in with 9 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Jaguares have 7 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

At 1.67, Over 8.5 Corners implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 75%.
Santa Fe lead the corner sample at 6 per match, with Jaguares lower at 3.75.
Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Santa Fe average 14.6 and Jaguares average 12.25.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 75% for Over 8.5 Corners sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Santa Fe lead the corner sample at 6 per match, with Jaguares lower at 3.75.

Model chance vs price75% model chance against roughly 60% implied

Strong positive

Santa Fe lead the corner sample at 6 per match.Visible data support

Positive

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots.Visible data support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 8.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Santa Fe lead the corner sample at 6 per match, with Jaguares lower at 3.75. Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Santa Fe lead the corner sample at 6 per match, with Jaguares lower at 3.75.

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Santa Fe average 14.6 and Jaguares average 12.25.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Santa Fe1.4

Avg goals scored

Jaguares1.8

Santa Fe1

Avg goals conceded

Jaguares1.6

Santa Fe60%

BTTS rate

Jaguares80%

Santa Fe40%

Over 2.5 goals

Jaguares60%

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts

2.2

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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

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Useful next reads

corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Santa Fe

WDWDD

Last 52W 3D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 6D 1L

12 Sep 2026H Deportes Tolima1-0

06 Sep 2026H Fortaleza FC2-2

03 Sep 2026H Millonarios3-2

30 Aug 2026A Junior1-1

23 Aug 2026H America de Cali0-0

Jaguares

DDDWD

Last 51W 4D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 5D 3L

12 Sep 2026H Fortaleza FC2-2

06 Sep 2026A Junior3-3

29 Aug 2026H America de Cali2-2

21 Aug 2026H Chico1-0

10 Aug 2026H Once Caldas1-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 3

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Jaguares Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 35%

Check odds @ 5

Jaguares to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%

Check odds @ 9

Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 79%

1.07

Check odds @ 1.07

DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

Santa Fe Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 61%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

Santa Fe to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
7	Santa Fe	29	19	7	8	4	7
16	Jaguares	18	19	5	3	11	-13
7	Santa Fe	13	8	3	4	1	3
17	Jaguares	7	8	1	4	3	-5

Santa Fe sit in position 7, while Jaguares sit in position 17, so table pressure belongs in the Over 8.5 Corners assessment.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 61%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Jaguares Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 35%

Check odds @ 5

Jaguares to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%

Check odds @ 9

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

Santa Fe Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 61%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

Over 8.5 Corners is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Santa Fe6

Avg corners for

Jaguares3.75

Santa Fe10.8

Avg total corners

Jaguares12

Santa Fe1.6

Avg yellow cards

Jaguares3.25

Santa Fe14.6

Avg shots

Jaguares12.25

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Santa Fe wins

2Draws

3Jaguares wins

18 Feb 2026Jaguares v Santa Fe3-1

15 Nov 2024Santa Fe v Jaguares3-0

28 Apr 2024Jaguares v Santa Fe1-0

20 Jul 2023Santa Fe v Jaguares1-0

27 Jan 2023Jaguares v Santa Fe2-2

17 Oct 2022Jaguares v Santa Fe2-1

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

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Jaguares to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%

Check odds @ 9

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%

4.5

Check odds @ 4.5

Santa Fe to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Season team stats

Primera A

Santa Fe31

Played

Jaguares27

Santa Fe1.5

Avg goals for

Jaguares1.1

Santa Fe1.1

Avg goals against

Jaguares1.7

Santa Fe7

Clean sheets

Jaguares5

Best odds for this sectionJaguares Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 35% vs implied 20% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 5

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Jaguares to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%

Check odds @ 9

Santa Fe Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 61%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

Santa Fe to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Season data supports Jaguares Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Santa Fe Over 2.5

60%Jaguares Over 2.5

2.7H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Santa Fe sit at 40% and Jaguares sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Santa Fe v Jaguares Stats

Match Report

Over 8.5 Corners

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Santa Fe

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Football Stats Hub

Santa Fe v Jaguares Stats

Match Report

Over 8.5 Corners

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Santa Fe

Jaguares

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