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Santa Fe crestSanta Fe
v
Jaguares crestJaguares

Primera A | Wed 26 Aug, 02:05

Santa Fe v Jaguares Stats

Data last updated: Wed 26 Aug 2026, 14:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Primera A fixture features Santa Fe hosting Jaguares in a contest where both teams have shown mixed recent form. Santa Fe has earned 6 points from their last matches with a moderate goal output, while Jaguares have struggled offensively but maintain a resilient defensive shape. The tactical battle is likely to be cautious, with Jaguares aiming to avoid defeat away from home and Santa Fe seeking to capitalize on home advantage. The match stakes include gaining valuable points in a tight league table, adding to the competitive tension and uncertainty of the outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Jaguares Draw No Bet

  • Jaguares have a of 42% to avoid defeat, with a positive of 22%.
  • Santa Fe averages 1 goal per game recently, while Jaguares score only 0.4, indicating low-scoring potential.
  • Jaguares concede 1.4 goals per game, higher than Santa Fe's 0.8, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Santa Fe and Jaguares have a low BTTS rate (40% vs 20%), supporting a cautious game with fewer goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Jaguares Draw No Bet due to their strong defensive resilience and the value presented by the current . Despite scoring less frequently, Jaguares' ability to limit goals against combined with Santa Fe's modest scoring rate suggests a tight match where Jaguares can avoid defeat. The positive indicates the underestimate Jaguares' chances, making this a compelling selection. The data quality is solid, supporting in this defensive and value-based rationale.

Model Chance42% chance Jaguares avoid defeat
Strong positive
Value Edge+22% value at current odds
Strong positive
Recent Goals ForSanta Fe 1.0, Jaguares 0.4 per game
Positive
Defensive ConcessionJaguares concede 1.4 goals per game
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Jaguares Draw No Bet is a tactically sound pick given Jaguares' defensive solidity and the value in the . Jaguares' ability to absorb pressure and avoid defeat away from home aligns with the data showing their defensive resilience despite offensive struggles. This bet balances cautious optimism with statistical backing for a tight, low-scoring encounter.

Main risk

The fixture status adds uncertainty, so prices should be checked again once the match details settle.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive resilience and value in odds

“Jaguares' defensive discipline and the favorable make Draw No Bet a smart choice in this tight Primera A clash, especially given their ability to frustrate opponents away from home.”

Key Data Signals

Jaguares Draw No Bet evidence

Jaguares have a of 42% to avoid defeat, with a positive of 22%.

Santa Fe averages 1 goal per game recently, while Jaguares score only 0.4, indicating low-scoring potential.

Jaguares concede 1.4 goals per game, higher than Santa Fe's 0.8, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

Santa Fe and Jaguares have a low BTTS rate (40% vs 20%), supporting a cautious game with fewer goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Jaguares Draw No Bet notes

  • In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 2.7, indicating a moderately scoring fixture historically.
  • However, recent form and BTTS rates suggest this match may trend lower, with a controlled tempo and fewer goal-scoring opportunities expected.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Santa Fe1
Avg goals scored
Jaguares0.4
Santa Fe0.8
Avg goals conceded
Jaguares1.4
Santa Fe40%
BTTS rate
Jaguares20%
Santa Fe40%
Over 2.5 goals
Jaguares20%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 51% · edge +8.6 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Both teams have low recent BTTS rates, with Jaguares at 20% and Santa Fe at 40%, suggesting a controlled goal environment. Combined with modest scoring averages, this points to a match likely featuring few goals and a cautious approach from both sides.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Santa Fe

DWDLD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 5D 1L
23 Aug 2026H America de Cali0-0
08 Aug 2026H Chico2-0
03 Aug 2026H Once Caldas2-2
26 Jul 2026A Águilas Doradas1-2
24 May 2026A Junior0-0

Jaguares

WDLLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
21 Aug 2026H Chico1-0
10 Aug 2026H Once Caldas1-1
06 Aug 2026A Internacional de Bogota0-1
02 Aug 2026H Atletico Nacional0-3
25 Jul 2026A Deportivo Cali0-2
Market aligned with main pickJaguares Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 35% vs implied 20% · edge +15 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Jaguares to WinBetMGM guide price · model 25%
9
Check odds @ 9
Santa Fe has collected 6 points recently with a goal average of 1.0 per game, showing moderate attacking output. Jaguares have earned 4 points but score only 0.4 goals per game, highlighting offensive struggles. This recent form data supports a cautious game where Jaguares aim to avoid defeat rather than dominate.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Santa Fe29197847
16Jaguares18195311-13
12Santa Fe541211
15Jaguares45113-5
Santa Fe ranks 11th and Jaguares 15th in the league, both near the lower mid-table. The standings reflect the competitive pressure on Jaguares to secure points away from home, reinforcing the tactical emphasis on avoiding defeat in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickJaguares Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 35% vs implied 20% · edge +15 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
Load more odds for this section
Jaguares to WinBetMGM guide price · model 25%
9
Check odds @ 9
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The Jaguares Draw No Bet market shows clear value with a 22% positive edge, reflecting that the underestimate Jaguares' chances to avoid defeat. The of 42% contrasts with an implied 20% chance from the , indicating a price-sensitive opportunity worth backing with standard stakes.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Santa Fe3.4
Avg corners for
Jaguares3.2
Santa Fe6.4
Avg total corners
Jaguares8.4
Santa Fe1.8
Avg yellow cards
Jaguares3.2
Santa Fe9.6
Avg shots
Jaguares9.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Jaguares average more shots (9.4) and corners (3.2) than Santa Fe, indicating they can generate offensive pressure despite scoring struggles. However, their higher average of 3.2 yellow cards suggests a physical approach that could disrupt Santa Fe's rhythm and maintain defensive solidity.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Santa Fe wins
2Draws
3Jaguares wins
17 Feb 2026Jaguares v Santa Fe3-1
15 Nov 2024Santa Fe v Jaguares3-0
28 Apr 2024Jaguares v Santa Fe1-0
20 Jul 2023Santa Fe v Jaguares1-0
27 Jan 2023Jaguares v Santa Fe2-2
17 Oct 2022Jaguares v Santa Fe2-1
Market aligned with main pickJaguares to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 25% vs implied 11% · edge +13.9 pts
9
Check odds @ 9
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 2.7 goals per game, suggesting balanced encounters. While this supports potential for goals, recent low scoring form and defensive tactics by Jaguares weaken the likelihood of a high-scoring game, aligning with the cautious Draw No Bet approach.
Season team stats

Primera A

Santa Fe27
Played
Jaguares24
Santa Fe1.5
Avg goals for
Jaguares0.9
Santa Fe1.1
Avg goals against
Jaguares1.7
Santa Fe5
Clean sheets
Jaguares5
Market aligned with main pickJaguares Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 35% vs implied 20% · edge +15 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
Load more odds for this section
Jaguares to WinBetMGM guide price · model 25%
9
Check odds @ 9
Season-long stats show Jaguares conceding 1.4 goals per game, higher than Santa Fe's 0.8, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. However, Jaguares' ability to limit goals in recent matches and their lower BTTS rate suggest a defensive focus that aligns with the Draw No Bet selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Santa Fe Over 2.5
20%Jaguares Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 2.7, indicating a moderately scoring fixture historically. However, recent form and BTTS rates suggest this match may trend lower, with a controlled tempo and fewer goal-scoring opportunities expected.

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Fixture links

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