Football Stats Hub

Santa Fe crestSanta Fe
v
Jaguares crestJaguares

Primera A | Thu 15 Oct, 02:05

Santa Fe v Jaguares Stats

Data last updated: Wed 14 Oct 2026, 02:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Santa Fe face Jaguares in Primera A on Thu 15 Oct, 02:05. Santa Fe come in with 12 recent points and 1.6 goals per match, while Jaguares have 4 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • At 1.67, Over 8.5 Corners implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 75%.
  • Santa Fe lead the corner sample at 5.4 per match, with Jaguares lower at 3.33.
  • Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Santa Fe average 13 and Jaguares average 10.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 75% for Over 8.5 Corners sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Santa Fe lead the corner sample at 5.4 per match, with Jaguares lower at 3.33.

Model chance vs price75% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Strong positive
Santa Fe lead the corner sample at 5.4 per match.Visible data support
Positive
Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 8.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Santa Fe lead the corner sample at 5.4 per match, with Jaguares lower at 3.33. Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Santa Fe lead the corner sample at 5.4 per match, with Jaguares lower at 3.33.

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Santa Fe average 13 and Jaguares average 10.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Santa Fe1.6
Avg goals scored
Jaguares1.4
Santa Fe0.6
Avg goals conceded
Jaguares2
Santa Fe40%
BTTS rate
Jaguares80%
Santa Fe40%
Over 2.5 goals
Jaguares80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 31%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Jaguares Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Santa Fe to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Santa Fe Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Jaguares to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
9
Check odds @ 9
Over 8.5 Corners is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Santa Fe

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
06 Oct 2026A Independiente Medellin1-0
29 Sep 2026A Deportivo Pereira2-1
23 Sep 2026H Deportivo Cali0-1
19 Sep 2026A Alianza Valledupar4-1
12 Sep 2026H Deportes Tolima1-0

Jaguares

WLLLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
11 Oct 2026H Deportes Tolima3-2
03 Oct 2026A Águilas Doradas0-2
27 Sep 2026H Alianza Valledupar1-2
23 Sep 2026A Independiente Medellin1-2
12 Sep 2026H Fortaleza FC2-2
Best odds for this sectionJaguares Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 35% vs implied 20% · edge +15 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
Load more odds for this section
Santa Fe to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%
3
Check odds @ 3
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Santa Fe Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Jaguares to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
9
Check odds @ 9
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Santa Fe Over 2.5
80%Jaguares Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Santa Fe sit at 40% and Jaguares sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Loading deeper match data…