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UEFA Europa League | Thu 15 Oct, 20:00

Celta Vigo v Juventus Stats

Data last updated: Wed 14 Oct 2026, 12:00 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Europa League clash features Juventus visiting Celta Vigo, with Juventus currently top of their group and Celta Vigo yet to gain points. Juventus arrive in strong form, having scored five goals without conceding in their last match, while Celta Vigo have struggled offensively and defensively. Juventus' tactical discipline and attacking efficiency contrast with Celta Vigo's difficulties in creating chances and preventing goals, setting up a contest where Juventus are expected to control proceedings and seek a decisive victory.

BT4Y best bet

Juventus to Win

  • Juventus leads the group with a perfect defensive record and five goals scored.
  • Celta Vigo has yet to score or earn points in the competition.
  • Juventus averages 7 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking threat.
  • Celta Vigo averages 12 corners per game but has a low goal conversion rate.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 70% chance for Juventus to win, reflecting their superior recent form and defensive solidity. Juventus have scored five goals without conceding, while Celta Vigo have yet to score and have a poor defensive record. Juventus' attacking players, including R. Woltemade, show high shot and goal threat metrics, supporting the likelihood of a Juventus victory. The at 2.15 offer positive value given the implied chance is only 46.5%.

Recent FormJuventus unbeaten with 5-0 goals for, Celta Vigo winless with no goals
Strong positive
Player Attacking MetricsKolo Muani 4.74 shots on target per 90, Woltemade 3.25 shots per 90
Strong positive
Defensive RecordJuventus conceded 0 goals recently, Celta Vigo conceded 1
Positive
Market Price47.4% model chance vs 46.5% implied (+0.9 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Juventus' tactical discipline and attacking firepower make them strong favorites to win this match. Their recent clean sheets and goal-scoring form contrast sharply with Celta Vigo's struggles, suggesting Juventus will control the game and secure victory. The data supports backing Juventus to win confidently in this Europa League fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Juventus combine defensive resilience with potent attacking options like Kolo Muani, making them well-equipped to dominate Celta Vigo, who have yet to find their footing in this competition.”

Key Data Signals

Juventus to Win evidence

Juventus leads the group with a perfect defensive record and five goals scored.

Celta Vigo has yet to score or earn points in the competition.

Juventus averages 7 shots on target per game, indicating strong attacking threat.

Celta Vigo averages 12 corners per game but has a low goal conversion rate.

What To Watch In The Data

Juventus to Win notes

  • Over the last matches, Juventus have a 100% rate of games with over 2.5 goals, driven by their attacking efficiency.
  • Celta Vigo's matches have been low scoring, but Juventus' offensive tempo and quality suggest this fixture is likely to see multiple goals, fitting the Over 2.5 goals trend.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Celta Vigo0
Avg goals scored
Juventus5
Celta Vigo1
Avg goals conceded
Juventus0
Celta Vigo0%
BTTS rate
Juventus0%
Celta Vigo0%
Over 2.5 goals
Juventus100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Juventus have scored five goals without conceding in recent matches, while Celta Vigo have failed to score so far. Both teams to score is unlikely given Juventus' defensive solidity and Celta Vigo's scoring struggles, suggesting a low BTTS rate and a match leaning towards a Juventus clean sheet.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickJuventus to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 47% · edge +0.9 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Juventus Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 51%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The 47.4% for Juventus to Win sits against roughly 46.5% implied by the current price (+0.9 pts). Juventus have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Celta Vigo.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Celta Vigo

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
16 Sep 2026A Omonia Nicosia0-1

Juventus

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
17 Sep 2026H NEC Nijmegen5-0
Market aligned with main pickJuventus to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 47% · edge +0.9 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Juventus Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Juventus' recent form is excellent, with a 5-0 goal record and clean sheets, indicating both attacking potency and defensive strength. Celta Vigo's form is poor, with no points and no goals scored, underscoring their struggles and Juventus' advantage going into this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Celta Vigo Over 2.5
100%Juventus Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last matches, Juventus have a 100% rate of games with over 2.5 goals, driven by their attacking efficiency. Celta Vigo's matches have been low scoring, but Juventus' offensive tempo and quality suggest this fixture is likely to see multiple goals, fitting the Over 2.5 goals trend.

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