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Estudiantes L.P. crestEstudiantes L.P.
v
Flamengo crestFlamengo

CONMEBOL Libertadores | Fri 16 Oct, 01:30

Estudiantes L.P. v Flamengo Stats

Data last updated: Mon 09 Nov 2026, 12:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

face Flamengo in CONMEBOL Libertadores on Fri 16 Oct, 01:30. come in with 11 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Flamengo have 11 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 2.38, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 42%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 57%.
  • Show a 40% BTTS rate and Flamengo show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Average 1.4 goals scored and Flamengo average 1.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 57% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 42% implied by the current price. Show a 40% BTTS rate and Flamengo show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price57% model chance against roughly 42% implied
Strong positive
Show a 40% BTTS rate and Flamengo show a 60%.Visible data support
Positive
Average 1.4 goals scored and Flamengo average 1.8, so both.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Show a 40% BTTS rate and Flamengo show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Show a 40% BTTS rate and Flamengo show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Average 1.4 goals scored and Flamengo average 1.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Estudiantes L.P.1.4
Avg goals scored
Flamengo1.8
Estudiantes L.P.0.4
Avg goals conceded
Flamengo0.6
Estudiantes L.P.40%
BTTS rate
Flamengo60%
Estudiantes L.P.20%
Over 2.5 goals
Flamengo40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
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Estudiantes L.P. to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Estudiantes L.P. Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Flamengo to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Estudiantes L.P.

WDWDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 5D 1L
17 Sep 2026A Corinthians1-0
10 Sep 2026H Corinthians1-1
19 Aug 2026A U. Catolica3-0
12 Aug 2026H U. Catolica1-1
27 May 2026H Independiente Medellin1-0

Flamengo

DWWDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 3D 0L
18 Sep 2026H Independiente del Valle1-1
11 Sep 2026A Independiente del Valle2-0
20 Aug 2026H Cruzeiro2-1
13 Aug 2026A Cruzeiro1-1
27 May 2026H Cusco3-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.5 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Estudiantes L.P. to WinBetfred guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Estudiantes L.P. Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Flamengo to WinBetfred guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Flamengo Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Estudiantes L.P. Over 2.5
40%Flamengo Over 2.5
1.75H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Estudiantes L.P. sit at 20% and Flamengo sit at 40% with the H2H average at 1.75 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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