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Al-Qadisiyah FC crestAl-Qadisiyah FC
v
Abha crestAbha

Pro League | Fri 16 Oct, 14:15

Al-Qadisiyah FC v Abha Stats

Data last updated: Thu 15 Oct 2026, 08:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Al-Qadisiyah FC face Abha in a Pro League clash where the home side's strong recent form contrasts sharply with Abha's struggles. Al-Qadisiyah FC have shown attacking prowess with an average of 3.2 goals scored per game and a high rate of matches featuring multiple goals. Abha, despite their low scoring average, have conceded regularly, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities. The fixture sets up as a contest where both teams have incentives to attack, but defensive lapses on both sides could lead to goals at both ends, making the match open and potentially high-scoring.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Al-Qadisiyah FC average 3.2 goals scored per game, showing strong attacking form.
  • Abha have conceded 1.4 goals per game, indicating defensive weaknesses.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches with goals scored by both sides.
  • Al-Qadisiyah FC take 13.6 shots per game with 6.4 on target, reflecting offensive pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 70% chance for both teams to score, supported by Al-Qadisiyah FC's potent attack and Abha's defensive frailties. Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends. Al-Qadisiyah FC's high shot volume and Abha's conceding pattern create a football context favoring an open game with scoring opportunities for both sides. The data quality is solid, with no limitations affecting the home or away team stats, making this a confident selection.

Model BTTS Chance70%
Strong positive
Al-Qadisiyah FC Attack3.2 goals/game
Strong positive
Abha Defensive Record1.4 goals conceded/game
Positive
BTTS Rate Both Teams60% each
Positive
Shot Volume Al-Qadisiyah FC13.6 shots/game
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown tendencies to concede and score, with Al-Qadisiyah FC's attacking strength and Abha's defensive issues creating a scenario where both sides are likely to find the net. The data supports a BTTS outcome given the offensive pressure and defensive vulnerabilities on display.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“Al-Qadisiyah FC's high shot volume combined with Abha's defensive lapses makes a compelling case for both teams to score in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Al-Qadisiyah FC average 3.2 goals scored per game, showing strong attacking form.

Abha have conceded 1.4 goals per game, indicating defensive weaknesses.

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches with goals scored by both sides.

Al-Qadisiyah FC take 13.6 shots per game with 6.4 on target, reflecting offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In their two recent meetings, the average goals per match is 3, with both fixtures featuring goals from each side.
  • Al-Qadisiyah FC's 80% over 2.5 goals rate and Abha's 40% rate suggest a trend towards open, goal-rich games.
  • This trend panel supports expectations of a lively match with multiple scoring opportunities and BTTS outcomes.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Al-Qadisiyah FC3.2
Avg goals scored
Abha0.8
Al-Qadisiyah FC1.2
Avg goals conceded
Abha1.4
Al-Qadisiyah FC60%
BTTS rate
Abha60%
Al-Qadisiyah FC80%
Over 2.5 goals
Abha40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 80%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches featuring goals at both ends, supported by Al-Qadisiyah FC's 3.2 goals scored per game and Abha's 1.4 goals conceded. The average goals per match in their recent encounters is 3, indicating a tendency for open games with multiple goals and BTTS outcomes.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Abha to WinBetUK guide price · model 22%
15
Check odds @ 15
Al-Qadisiyah FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The 65% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Al-Qadisiyah FC show a 60% BTTS rate and Abha show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Al-Qadisiyah FC

WDWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 1L
09 Oct 2026A Al Kholood5-0
11 Sep 2026H Al-Ettifaq3-3
08 Sep 2026H Al-Ahli Jeddah3-2
03 Sep 2026A Al Diriyah2-0
30 Aug 2026H Al-Faisaly FC3-1

Abha

DLLLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 5L
13 Sep 2026A Al Diriyah0-0
09 Sep 2026A Al-Nassr1-2
04 Sep 2026H Al-Ettifaq0-1
28 Aug 2026A Al-Fayha2-3
25 Aug 2026H Al Khaleej Saihat1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 35% vs implied 20% · edge +15 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
Load more odds for this section
Abha to WinBetUK guide price · model 22%
15
Check odds @ 15
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.03
Check odds @ 1.03
Al-Qadisiyah FC to WinBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Al-Qadisiyah FC have accumulated 13 points recently with an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and a 60% BTTS rate, highlighting their offensive potency and openness. Abha have struggled with just 2 points and a lower scoring average, but maintain a 60% BTTS rate, indicating they often concede and score, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Al-Qadisiyah FC Over 2.5
40%Abha Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
In their two recent meetings, the average goals per match is 3, with both fixtures featuring goals from each side. Al-Qadisiyah FC's 80% over 2.5 goals rate and Abha's 40% rate suggest a trend towards open, goal-rich games. This trend panel supports expectations of a lively match with multiple scoring opportunities and BTTS outcomes.

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