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HNK Hajduk Split crestHNK Hajduk Split
v
Ajax crestAjax

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 15 Oct, 17:45

HNK Hajduk Split v Ajax Stats

Data last updated: Wed 14 Oct 2026, 09:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

HNK Hajduk Split face Ajax in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 15 Oct, 17:45. HNK Hajduk Split come in with 10 recent points and 3.5 goals per match, while Ajax have 13 points and 3.6 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.73, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 73%.
  • HNK Hajduk Split show a 75% BTTS rate and Ajax show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • HNK Hajduk Split average 3.5 goals scored and Ajax average 3.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 73% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. HNK Hajduk Split show a 75% BTTS rate and Ajax show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price73% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Strong positive
HNK Hajduk Split show a 75% BTTS rate and Ajax.Visible data support
Positive
HNK Hajduk Split average 3.5 goals scored and Ajax average.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers HNK Hajduk Split show a 75% BTTS rate and Ajax show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

HNK Hajduk Split show a 75% BTTS rate and Ajax show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

HNK Hajduk Split average 3.5 goals scored and Ajax average 3.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

HNK Hajduk Split3.5
Avg goals scored
Ajax3.6
HNK Hajduk Split1.5
Avg goals conceded
Ajax1.8
HNK Hajduk Split75%
BTTS rate
Ajax100%
HNK Hajduk Split100%
Over 2.5 goals
Ajax100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Europa Conference League hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
HNK Hajduk Split Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
HNK Hajduk Split to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Ajax Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

HNK Hajduk Split

WDWW
Last 53W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 0L
27 Aug 2026A Raków Częstochowa3-2
20 Aug 2026H Raków Częstochowa2-2
13 Aug 2026H FK Zalgiris Vilnius4-0
06 Aug 2026A FK Zalgiris Vilnius5-2

Ajax

WWDWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 0L
27 Aug 2026H FC Sion5-3
20 Aug 2026A FC Sion4-2
13 Aug 2026A Shelbourne2-2
06 Aug 2026H Shelbourne3-1
30 Jul 2026H Vojvodina4-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
HNK Hajduk Split Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 44%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
HNK Hajduk Split to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Ajax Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Ajax to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%HNK Hajduk Split Over 2.5
100%Ajax Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: HNK Hajduk Split sit at 100% and Ajax sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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