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Annecy crestAnnecy
v
Nancy crestNancy

Ligue 2 | Fri 16 Oct, 19:00

Annecy v Nancy Stats

Data last updated: Thu 05 Nov 2026, 17:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Annecy face Nancy in Ligue 2 on Fri 16 Oct, 19:00. Eight from nine: Nancy have avoided defeat in eight of their last nine away league matches. Nancy look stronger on recent form, while Annecy remain vulnerable after weaker results.

BT4Y match pick

Nancy Asian Handicap +0

  • At 1.8, Nancy Asian Handicap +0 implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.
  • An exact 1-1 scoreline requires both sides to show attacking reliability while maintaining enough defensive organisation to prevent a high-scoring blowout.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Annecy and 40% for Nancy, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Nancy are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.6 goals per match, with Annecy at 1.2.
  • BTTS rates of 80% for Annecy and 40% for Nancy show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for Nancy Asian Handicap +0 sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Annecy and 40% for Nancy, so the goals angle is not just a price call. An exact 1-1 scoreline requires both sides to show attacking reliability while maintaining enough defensive organisation to prevent a high-scoring blowout.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Annecy and 40%.Visible data support
Positive
Nancy are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.6.Visible data support
Positive
An exact 1-1 scoreline requires both sides to show.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because 75% under 2.5 goals: Six of Nancy's eight Ligue 2 matches this season have produced fewer than three goals. Nancy are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Annecy at 1.2. Those results underline their ability to compete but also demonstrate why home advantage alone offers no guarantee.

Main risk

Those results underline their ability to compete but also demonstrate why home advantage alone offers no guarantee.

Key Data Signals

Nancy Asian Handicap +0 evidence

75% under 2.5 goals: Six of Nancy's eight Ligue 2 matches this season have produced fewer than three.

Nancy are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.6 goals per match, with Annecy at 1.2.

BTTS rates of 80% for Annecy and 40% for Nancy show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Nancy Asian Handicap +0 notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Annecy1.2
Avg goals scored
Nancy1.6
Annecy1.2
Avg goals conceded
Nancy1.2
Annecy80%
BTTS rate
Nancy40%
Annecy60%
Over 2.5 goals
Nancy40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 56% · edge -2 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 60% for Annecy and 40% for Nancy, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Annecy v Nancy predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Nancy Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Nancy to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 55%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Annecy Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Annecy to WinBetUK guide price · model 32%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Annecy

WLLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 3L
09 Oct 2026A Dunkerque1-0
18 Sep 2026H Dijon1-2
12 Sep 2026A Guingamp1-2
04 Sep 2026A Grenoble2-1
29 Aug 2026H Metz1-1

Nancy

WWLLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 3L
09 Oct 2026H Guingamp1-0
18 Sep 2026A Rodez4-3
11 Sep 2026H Reims1-2
07 Sep 2026A Nantes0-1
28 Aug 2026H Dunkerque2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 79% vs implied 69% · edge +9.5 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Nancy Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 62%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Nancy to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Annecy Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Annecy to WinBetUK guide price · model 32%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Annecy Over 2.5
40%Nancy Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Annecy sit at 60% and Nancy sit at 40% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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