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AZ Alkmaar crestAZ Alkmaar
v
Hapoel Beer Sheva crestHapoel Beer Sheva

UEFA Europa League | Thu 15 Oct, 17:45

AZ Alkmaar v Hapoel Beer Sheva Stats

Data last updated: Wed 14 Oct 2026, 10:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

AZ Alkmaar face Hapoel Beer Sheva in UEFA Europa League on Thu 15 Oct, 17:45. AZ Alkmaar come in with 0 recent points and 0 goals per match, while Hapoel Beer Sheva have 1 points and 0 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS No

  • At 1.95, BTTS No implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • AZ Alkmaar show a 0% BTTS rate and Hapoel Beer Sheva show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • AZ Alkmaar average 0 goals scored and Hapoel Beer Sheva average 0, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for BTTS No sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. AZ Alkmaar show a 0% BTTS rate and Hapoel Beer Sheva show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 51% implied
Strong positive
AZ Alkmaar show a 0% BTTS rate and Hapoel Beer.Visible data support
Positive
AZ Alkmaar average 0 goals scored and Hapoel Beer Sheva.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: BTTS No is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers AZ Alkmaar show a 0% BTTS rate and Hapoel Beer Sheva show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

BTTS No evidence

AZ Alkmaar show a 0% BTTS rate and Hapoel Beer Sheva show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

AZ Alkmaar average 0 goals scored and Hapoel Beer Sheva average 0, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting BTTS No.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

AZ Alkmaar0
Avg goals scored
Hapoel Beer Sheva0
AZ Alkmaar1
Avg goals conceded
Hapoel Beer Sheva0
AZ Alkmaar0%
BTTS rate
Hapoel Beer Sheva0%
AZ Alkmaar0%
Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Beer Sheva0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

AZ Alkmaar

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
16 Sep 2026A Sunderland0-1

Hapoel Beer Sheva

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
16 Sep 2026H Dinamo Zagreb0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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Hapoel Beer Sheva Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 83%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Hapoel Beer Sheva to WinBetMGM guide price · model 17%
9
Check odds @ 9
AZ Alkmaar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
AZ Alkmaar Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Europa League fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionHapoel Beer Sheva Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Hapoel Beer Sheva to WinBetMGM guide price · model 17%
9
Check odds @ 9
AZ Alkmaar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
AZ Alkmaar Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Hapoel Beer Sheva Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%AZ Alkmaar Over 2.5
0%Hapoel Beer Sheva Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: AZ Alkmaar sit at 0% and Hapoel Beer Sheva sit at 0%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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