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Sparta Praha crestSparta Praha
v
Lillestrom crestLillestrom

UEFA Europa League | Thu 15 Oct, 17:45

Sparta Praha v Lillestrom Stats

Data last updated: Wed 14 Oct 2026, 09:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sparta Praha face Lillestrom in UEFA Europa League on Thu 15 Oct, 17:45. Sparta Praha come in with 3 recent points and 4 goals per match, while Lillestrom have 4 points and 1 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.8, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 71%.
  • Sparta Praha show a 100% BTTS rate and Lillestrom show a 67% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Sparta Praha average 4 goals scored and Lillestrom average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 71% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. Sparta Praha show a 100% BTTS rate and Lillestrom show a 67% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price71% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Strong positive
Sparta Praha show a 100% BTTS rate and Lillestrom show.Visible data support
Positive
Sparta Praha average 4 goals scored and Lillestrom average 1.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Sparta Praha show a 100% BTTS rate and Lillestrom show a 67% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Sparta Praha show a 100% BTTS rate and Lillestrom show a 67% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Sparta Praha average 4 goals scored and Lillestrom average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Sparta Praha4
Avg goals scored
Lillestrom1
Sparta Praha1
Avg goals conceded
Lillestrom1
Sparta Praha100%
BTTS rate
Lillestrom67%
Sparta Praha100%
Over 2.5 goals
Lillestrom67%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Lillestrom Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Sparta Praha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Sparta Praha Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Sparta Praha

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
16 Sep 2026A Ararat-Armenia4-1

Lillestrom

LWD
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 1L
17 Sep 2026H Torreense1-2
27 Aug 2026H Egnatia Rrogozhinë2-1
20 Aug 2026A Egnatia Rrogozhinë0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 31% · edge +14.2 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
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Lillestrom Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 37%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Sparta Praha to WinBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Sparta Praha Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.19
Check odds @ 1.19
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 14%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Sparta Praha Over 2.5
67%Lillestrom Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sparta Praha sit at 100% and Lillestrom sit at 67%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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