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Benfica crestBenfica
v
Celtic crestCeltic

UEFA Europa League | Thu 15 Oct, 20:00

Benfica v Celtic Stats

Data last updated: Wed 14 Oct 2026, 10:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Benfica face Celtic in UEFA Europa League on Thu 15 Oct, 20:00. Benfica come in with 13 recent points and 3 goals per match, while Celtic have 0 points and 1 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.91, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Benfica show a 80% BTTS rate and Celtic show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Benfica average 3 goals scored and Celtic average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. Benfica show a 80% BTTS rate and Celtic show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Strong positive
Benfica show a 80% BTTS rate and Celtic show a.Visible data support
Positive
Benfica average 3 goals scored and Celtic average 1, so.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Benfica show a 80% BTTS rate and Celtic show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Benfica show a 80% BTTS rate and Celtic show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Benfica average 3 goals scored and Celtic average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Benfica3
Avg goals scored
Celtic1
Benfica0.8
Avg goals conceded
Celtic3
Benfica80%
BTTS rate
Celtic100%
Benfica60%
Over 2.5 goals
Celtic100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more UEFA Europa League analysiscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Celtic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.9
Check odds @ 5.9
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Benfica to WinBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Benfica Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Benfica

WWWDW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 1L
16 Sep 2026A AC Milan2-0
27 Aug 2026A Aarhus3-1
20 Aug 2026H Aarhus3-1
13 Aug 2026A Heart Of Midlothian1-1
06 Aug 2026H Heart Of Midlothian6-1

Celtic

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
17 Sep 2026H Ferencvarosi TC1-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
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Celtic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 32%
5.9
Check odds @ 5.9
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
Benfica to WinBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Benfica Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
Celtic to WinBet365 guide price · model 11%
11
Check odds @ 11
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 16%
6
Check odds @ 6
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Benfica Over 2.5
100%Celtic Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Benfica sit at 60% and Celtic sit at 100% with the H2H average at 1.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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