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Dinamo Zagreb crestDinamo Zagreb
v
Anderlecht crestAnderlecht

UEFA Europa League | Thu 15 Oct, 20:00

Dinamo Zagreb v Anderlecht Stats

Data last updated: Wed 14 Oct 2026, 09:43 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Dinamo Zagreb face Anderlecht in UEFA Europa League on Thu 15 Oct, 20:00. Dinamo Zagreb come in with 1 recent points and 0 goals per match, while Anderlecht have 12 points and 2.2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 65%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Dinamo Zagreb and 80% for Anderlecht, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Anderlecht are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.2 goals per match, with Dinamo Zagreb at 0.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for Dinamo Zagreb and 40% for Anderlecht show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 65% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Dinamo Zagreb and 80% for Anderlecht, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price65% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Strong positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Dinamo Zagreb.Visible data support
Positive
Anderlecht are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.2.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Anderlecht are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.2 goals per match, with Dinamo Zagreb at 0. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Anderlecht are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.2 goals per match, with Dinamo Zagreb at 0.

BTTS rates of 0% for Dinamo Zagreb and 40% for Anderlecht show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Dinamo Zagreb0
Avg goals scored
Anderlecht2.2
Dinamo Zagreb0
Avg goals conceded
Anderlecht0.8
Dinamo Zagreb0%
BTTS rate
Anderlecht40%
Dinamo Zagreb0%
Over 2.5 goals
Anderlecht80%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 32%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAnderlecht to WinBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 27% · edge +5.7 pts
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
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Anderlecht Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Dinamo Zagreb to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
Dinamo Zagreb Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Anderlecht to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Dinamo Zagreb

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
16 Sep 2026A Hapoel Beer Sheva0-0

Anderlecht

LWWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 1L
16 Sep 2026H Lyon1-2
27 Aug 2026H Kairat Almaty3-0
20 Aug 2026A Kairat Almaty3-0
13 Aug 2026H PAOK3-2
06 Aug 2026A PAOK1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +1.9 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Anderlecht to WinBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Anderlecht Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Dinamo Zagreb to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
Dinamo Zagreb Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Dinamo Zagreb Over 2.5
80%Anderlecht Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Dinamo Zagreb sit at 0% and Anderlecht sit at 80% with the H2H average at 1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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