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IF Brommapojkarna crestIF Brommapojkarna
v
Djurgardens IF crestDjurgardens IF

Allsvenskan | Fri 16 Oct, 18:00

IF Brommapojkarna v Djurgardens IF Stats

Data last updated: Thu 15 Oct 2026, 11:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

IF Brommapojkarna face Djurgardens IF in a crucial Allsvenskan clash where the home side seek to halt a challenging run. Djurgardens IF, positioned second in the table, boast a strong defensive record, conceding just 0.4 goals per game, while IF Brommapojkarna have struggled defensively but maintain a high scoring rate. The match promises tactical intensity with Brommapojkarna aiming to leverage home advantage and recent attacking form, while Djurgardens IF look to control the game with disciplined defense and efficient counterattacks. The fixture carries significant stakes as Brommapojkarna aim to close the points gap and avoid defeat.

BT4Y best bet

IF Brommapojkarna Draw No Bet

  • IF Brommapojkarna have a 45% to avoid defeat, with positive value at 3.55 .
  • Brommapojkarna average 1.8 goals per game but concede 2.8, indicating open matches.
  • Djurgardens IF concede only 0.4 goals per game, showing defensive solidity.
  • Recent form shows Brommapojkarna earned 6 points in last matches, Djurgardens IF 12 points.
  • Player data highlights Djurgardens' M. Anderson as a key attacking threat with 2 goals and 3.15 shots on target per 90.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors IF Brommapojkarna Draw No Bet due to their strong attacking output combined with Djurgardens IF's rare defensive vulnerabilities. Brommapojkarna's 80% Over 2.5 goals rate and 60% BTTS rate suggest open, high-scoring games where they can capitalize. The of 3.55 offer a significant of 16.8%, reflecting an underestimation of Brommapojkarna's resilience and scoring potential. is moderate at 64%, acknowledging some uncertainty but highlighting the attractive risk-reward balance. No data limitations affect this analysis.

Model chance43.2% model chance vs 28.2% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied chance vs model43.2% model chance vs 28.2% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Brommapojkarna scoring rate1.8 goals per game
Positive
Djurgardens defensive strength0.4 goals conceded per game
Neutral
Recent form pointsBrommapojkarna 6, Djurgardens 12
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The Draw No Bet on IF Brommapojkarna is a sensible choice given their attacking threat and the value on offer. Brommapojkarna's ability to score and the potential for an open game counters Djurgardens IF's defensive discipline. This bet balances tactical optimism with statistical evidence of Brommapojkarna's resilience and scoring capacity.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · tactical and statistical balance

“Brommapojkarna's offensive dynamism combined with Djurgardens' occasional defensive lapses creates a compelling case for backing Brommapojkarna to avoid defeat at good .”

Key Data Signals

IF Brommapojkarna Draw No Bet evidence

IF Brommapojkarna have a 45% to avoid defeat, with positive value at 3.55 .

Brommapojkarna average 1.8 goals per game but concede 2.8, indicating open matches.

Djurgardens IF concede only 0.4 goals per game, showing defensive solidity.

Recent form shows Brommapojkarna earned 6 points in last matches, Djurgardens IF 12 points.

What To Watch In The Data

IF Brommapojkarna Draw No Bet notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.7, indicating moderately open contests.
  • Brommapojkarna's high Over 2.5 goals rate (80%) in recent matches suggests this fixture could follow a similar pattern with multiple goals, driven by Brommapojkarna's attacking style and Djurgardens' occasional defensive lapses.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

IF Brommapojkarna1.8
Avg goals scored
Djurgardens IF1.4
IF Brommapojkarna2.8
Avg goals conceded
Djurgardens IF0.4
IF Brommapojkarna60%
BTTS rate
Djurgardens IF20%
IF Brommapojkarna80%
Over 2.5 goals
Djurgardens IF20%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 42% · edge +6 pts
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Brommapojkarna's matches frequently feature goals, with an 80% Over 2.5 rate and 60% BTTS rate, contrasting with Djurgardens' more conservative 20% rates. This disparity suggests an open game with scoring opportunities for both sides, supporting a bet that benefits from Brommapojkarna's scoring potential and resilience.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickIF Brommapojkarna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
IF Brommapojkarna to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
The 43.2% for IF Brommapojkarna Draw No Bet sits against roughly 28.2% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Djurgardens IF have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 6 for IF Brommapojkarna.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

IF Brommapojkarna

WLLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
10 Oct 2026A AIK Stockholm6-5
19 Sep 2026H IFK Goteborg0-1
13 Sep 2026A Hammarby FF1-3
06 Sep 2026H IF Elfsborg2-1
31 Aug 2026A Gais0-4

Djurgardens IF

WLWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 0D 3L
11 Oct 2026A Hammarby FF1-0
20 Sep 2026H IF Elfsborg1-2
14 Sep 2026H Gais2-0
07 Sep 2026A Kalmar FF1-0
03 Sep 2026A Mjallby AIF2-0
Market aligned with main pickIF Brommapojkarna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
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Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
IF Brommapojkarna to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Recent form favors Djurgardens IF with 12 points from recent matches, reflecting consistent performance and defensive solidity. Brommapojkarna's 6 points indicate some momentum but also inconsistency. This form contrast highlights Brommapojkarna's need to capitalize on home advantage and attacking strengths to avoid defeat.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%IF Brommapojkarna Over 2.5
20%Djurgardens IF Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.7, indicating moderately open contests. Brommapojkarna's high Over 2.5 goals rate (80%) in recent matches suggests this fixture could follow a similar pattern with multiple goals, driven by Brommapojkarna's attacking style and Djurgardens' occasional defensive lapses.

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