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IF Brommapojkarna crestIF Brommapojkarna
v
Djurgardens IF crestDjurgardens IF

Allsvenskan | Fri 16 Oct, 18:00

IF Brommapojkarna v Djurgardens IF Stats

Data last updated: Thu 05 Nov 2026, 14:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

IF Brommapojkarna face Djurgardens IF in Allsvenskan on Fri 16 Oct, 18:00. IF Brommapojkarna come in with 6 recent points and 1.8 goals per match, while Djurgardens IF have 12 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.5, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 40%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 48%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for IF Brommapojkarna and 20% for Djurgardens IF, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • IF Brommapojkarna are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.8 goals per match, with Djurgardens IF at 1.4.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for IF Brommapojkarna and 20% for Djurgardens IF show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 48% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for IF Brommapojkarna and 20% for Djurgardens IF, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price48% model chance against roughly 40% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 80% for IF Brommapojkarna.Visible data support
Positive
IF Brommapojkarna are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers IF Brommapojkarna are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.8 goals per match, with Djurgardens IF at 1.4. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

IF Brommapojkarna are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.8 goals per match, with Djurgardens IF at 1.4.

BTTS rates of 60% for IF Brommapojkarna and 20% for Djurgardens IF show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

IF Brommapojkarna1.8
Avg goals scored
Djurgardens IF1.4
IF Brommapojkarna2.8
Avg goals conceded
Djurgardens IF0.4
IF Brommapojkarna60%
BTTS rate
Djurgardens IF20%
IF Brommapojkarna80%
Over 2.5 goals
Djurgardens IF20%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 40% · edge +7.7 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 80% for IF Brommapojkarna and 20% for Djurgardens IF, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionIF Brommapojkarna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
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Djurgardens IF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
IF Brommapojkarna to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
IF Brommapojkarna Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

IF Brommapojkarna

WLLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
10 Oct 2026A AIK Stockholm6-5
19 Sep 2026H IFK Goteborg0-1
13 Sep 2026A Hammarby FF1-3
06 Sep 2026H IF Elfsborg2-1
31 Aug 2026A Gais0-4

Djurgardens IF

WLWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 0D 3L
11 Oct 2026A Hammarby FF1-0
20 Sep 2026H IF Elfsborg1-2
14 Sep 2026H Gais2-0
07 Sep 2026A Kalmar FF1-0
03 Sep 2026A Mjallby AIF2-0
Best odds for this sectionIF Brommapojkarna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
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Djurgardens IF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
IF Brommapojkarna to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
6.25
Check odds @ 6.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 19%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%IF Brommapojkarna Over 2.5
20%Djurgardens IF Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: IF Brommapojkarna sit at 80% and Djurgardens IF sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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